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Clarification on how Canes can play in OB

Well, I don’t want to win the coastal because that means we get a Clemson team that will beat us by two TD’s. While I think the O-line is improved and improving, I don’t see them matching up well against that defense.

Really need a decent bowl and a chance for 9 wins. We go to the ACC championship game it will be rinse and repeat. I think finishing 8-4 gets is to a warmer game. More visibility
 
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raincane said:
Just root for Virginia, Virginia Tech, and Wake Forest to look as bad as possible these next few weeks. Those three are the only teams that have a shot at being ranked when the season ends.
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Wake has already lost twice and just lost their best player and they’re gonna get boatraced by clempson
 
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This website is great. Sorry if already posted. It shows where Miami is likely ranked now and who is ahead of them, and their probabilities of winning the next game (85%) and winning out (50%). But look at the teams ahead of Miami, much lower probabilities of winning out for the most part.

I hate loser talk, so its always best to win the Coastal and have a chance at upsetting Clemson and winning your conference. BUT, realistically, probably getting killed by Clemson and that might hurt more than it helps. Playing in the Orange Bowl vs a winnable team would be an amazing end to this ****** season. But yes, beat FIU and see what happens with VT/GT, then continue this conversation.
 
Rickd said:
Win the next two and we are 8-4.
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itsacanething said:
ironically the top 25 still HUGE. nobody seems to pay any attention to games between teams outside the top 25. call me dumb or whatever but i would consider 9-4 and a top 20 finish to be pretty good for manny's first year.
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Would pretty much exactly mirror Richt's first year
 
Put me in the category that says UM needs to be in the easiest, most winnable bowl we can land this year. Finishing strong and winning a bowl game will give the staff what they need to close strong in recruiting. Playing a better opponent who has 3+ weeks to prepare against us is not what we need this season. Too many young kids on the field. Just need momentum.

One idiot's opinion.
 
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I'm not convinced beating FIU and Duke would be enough to get us ranked.
 
JD08 said:
I'm not convinced beating FIU and Duke would be enough to get us ranked.
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It's more about just winning and having a few teams ahead of us lose. We aren't going to jump a lot of teams on our own. That being said, if we look great, pollsters will take a closer look at our close losses and say, "Hey, Miami could easily be undefeated." Who knows? Crazier crap has happened than us making the Orange Bowl this year.
 
JD08 said:
I'm not convinced beating FIU and Duke would be enough to get us ranked.
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Correct. Highly unlikely we're top 25 assuming we win next two.

Three straight wins (bowl win) gives us a decent chance at 9-4 of top 20 or 25. Nothing guaranteed though.

Can’t really expect anything more than that. People are always getting ahead of themselves on this site.
 
Last season there were a ton of Top 25 teams with four losses. One even had five.

Finish as strong as we’ve looked and I think we’ll have a decent shot at being ranked going into bowl selection time.

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SFbayCane said:
Put me in the category that says UM needs to be in the easiest, most winnable bowl we can land this year. Finishing strong and winning a bowl game will give the staff what they need to close strong in recruiting. Playing a better opponent who has 3+ weeks to prepare against us is not what we need this season. Too many young kids on the field. Just need momentum.

One idiot's opinion.
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I don't necessarily disagree, although I am not opposed to the OB either.

How much of a recruiting bump would we get by beating a higher ranked team (Penn State, for example) in the Orange Bowl, as opposed to Kentucky in the Music City? Maybe a small one? But the risk/reward isn't there - if we lose or, even worse, get blown out, we potentially waste all the momentum building since mid-October. A win is the most important thing.

One good thing about this year's squad is I don't foresee (m)any players sitting out the bowl game to avoid injury, as has been the recent trend. No way Shaq or Pink sit after the 4 years they dedicated here. Dallas either. Maybe Bandy, Garvin or JT4? Bandy is the only one of those 3 that would be missed in a one-game, must win scenario.

Let's just win out and stay the **** away from El Paso and I will be happy with the season as a whole, and legitimately excited about next year's team.
 
SFbayCane said:
Put me in the category that says UM needs to be in the easiest, most winnable bowl we can land this year. Finishing strong and winning a bowl game will give the staff what they need to close strong in recruiting. Playing a better opponent who has 3+ weeks to prepare against us is not what we need this season. Too many young kids on the field. Just need momentum.

One idiot's opinion.
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Most recruits sign during the early period which is in December and before the results of the game. It would be a much bigger bump to play in OB regardless of results.
 
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SFbayCane said:
Put me in the category that says UM needs to be in the easiest, most winnable bowl we can land this year. Finishing strong and winning a bowl game will give the staff what they need to close strong in recruiting. Playing a better opponent who has 3+ weeks to prepare against us is not what we need this season. Too many young kids on the field. Just need momentum.

One idiot's opinion.
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Agree with this for the most part. I think the best scenario is something winnable (my first choice is whatever the Orlando bowl is called now), but not necessarily easiest. Ending the season on a 6 game winning streak would be awesome but my preference is still to get the best bowl game we can get. Ending the year with a victory in Orlando like we did in 2016 would be fantastic imo and I think we'd have to enter 2020 with tons of momentum.
 
Mr. Crabs Cane said:
Most players


Most recruits sign during the early period which is in December and before the results of the game. It would be a much bigger bump to play in OB regardless of results.
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I don't think the sample size is large enough to say that "most" recruits sign in December - last year was the first year for that. It was a novelty. I think the early signing period is more for fringe players, where the team says "prove it and sign now or we open your spot."

The big fish will have their spot held for them, and have no incentive to sign early. Why not wait and make sure your OC/DC/primary recruiter doesn't bolt after the bowl game to take a new job?

Makes no sense for the player to sign early, so long as he has the leverage to keep his spot held open.
 
Miami wouldn’t be ranked, even at 8-4. For God’s sake, we’d have 3 losses to unranked teams, including a GT team that’ll probably finish 1-10 vs everybody else. And we probably wouldn’t have a win vs anybody that even finishes in also receiving votes.

The only hope for the Orange Bowl is that Clemson makes the playoffs, everybody in the ACC except Clemson finishes unranked, and the Orange Bowl decides that since every option is bad they might as well take the local team.
 
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