Clarification on how Canes can play in OB

[streetja]

I would imagine Miami just due to the geographical relevance.

Wake Forest has one of the smallest enrollments in the FBS. I'd imagine the OB committee will do everything they possibly can to keep them out of the game. It'll be someone from the Coastal, IMO.

Would be AMAZING if that were to happen. I'd do anything for meaningful December football.

 

[MiamiChris]

Outside of traveling for a Bowl trip, why in the **** would anybody not want to go to the Orange Bowl????? It’s a big time bowl

 

[OrangeBowlMagic]

Outside of traveling for a Bowl trip, why in the **** would anybody not want to go to the Orange Bowl????? It’s a big time bowl

If somebody on here tells you they don't want to go to the Orange Bowl, ignore them immediately. Weed out the idiots.

 

[mdpcane]

Before we declare anyone GENIUS, I’d like to see the mathematical proof.

i assure you ..... sarcasm was in full force here

 

[Cane44]

Someone from the ACC has to go to the Orange Bowl. Obviously assume Clemson goes to the playoff. So they *HAVE* to take the next highest ranked team. Problem is, there will probably not be a ranked team at the end of the year. Notice I said probably. It's not definite. But the candidates are:

Wake Forest -- 7-2, playing Clemson this week
Virginia -- 7-3, most likely playing Clemson in Charlotte
VT -- 6-3, will lose a 4th game at least either to UVA or Clemson if they win the Coastal
Louisville -- 5-4.....no
Pitt -- 6-3, still has 3 toss-up games left, and if somehow they get to Charlotte, they'll get another loss as well


Miami -- 6-4....2 winnable games left to finish 8-4....no loss by more than 1 score. Local to the OB, will fill the stadium (or at least more than most of the teams above would).

I think there's a good shot Miami gets the OB with 2 big wins over FIU and Duke. Let's win em both by 20+ (well, FIU by 40+) and see what happens.

and I dont think any of the teams you mentioned would bring over 10-20k in attendance. Mean while, Miami would guarantee about 50k+ tickets sold...

 

[Klamalama]

i assure you ..... sarcasm was in full force here

As it was in mine

 

[reg]

Someone from the ACC has to go to the Orange Bowl. Obviously assume Clemson goes to the playoff. So they *HAVE* to take the next highest ranked team. Problem is, there will probably not be a ranked team at the end of the year. Notice I said probably. It's not definite. But the candidates are:

Wake Forest -- 7-2, playing Clemson this week
Virginia -- 7-3, most likely playing Clemson in Charlotte
VT -- 6-3, will lose a 4th game at least either to UVA or Clemson if they win the Coastal
Louisville -- 5-4.....no
Pitt -- 6-3, still has 3 toss-up games left, and if somehow they get to Charlotte, they'll get another loss as well


Miami -- 6-4....2 winnable games left to finish 8-4....no loss by more than 1 score. Local to the OB, will fill the stadium (or at least more than most of the teams above would).

I think there's a good shot Miami gets the OB with 2 big wins over FIU and Duke. Let's win em both by 20+ (well, FIU by 40+) and see what happens.

I am going to trust you on regarding this Orange Bowl debate. There's something about you that leads me to believe that you are familiar with this topic.

 

[htownkidd]

I want Notre Dame or UF in the OB. If not OB then give me whatever the Orlando game is vs. Texas.

 

[CaneSince4Ever]

Put me in the category that says UM needs to be in the easiest, most winnable bowl we can land this year.

You sound crazy AF, the OB payout is $18M, I'll risk an *** kickin' for $18M. **** we'll lose money by playing in a faraway, non-descript bowl, the OB is a win win.

 

[SFbayCane]

You sound crazy AF, the OB payout is $18M, I'll risk an *** kickin' for $18M.

The Payout to UM is the exact same regardless of what bowl we play in.

 

[OrangeBowlMagic]

So Miami’s Coastal fate is on the line Saturday at 3:30.

If VT beats GT in Atlanta, Miami is eliminated from ACCCG consideration.

But with 2 wins to end the season and some carnage to VT, UVA, and Wake....Miami might sneak into the OB.

 

[OriginalCanesCanesCanes]

View attachment 101930

So Miami’s Coastal fate is on the line Saturday at 3:30.

If VT beats GT in Atlanta, Miami is eliminated from ACCCG consideration.

But with 2 wins to end the season and some carnage to VT, UVA, and Wake....Miami might sneak into the OB.

It’s been quite a while since I took statistics, but a quick and dirty back of the napkin calculation tells me we have about 3% chance of all those things happening.

For those of you that want to check my math, I took each game as a coin flip. Each team at a 50% chance of winning or losing. That’s the only assumption that I made.

 

[Go Canes!!]

The thought of not wanting to play the best team we can on the biggest stage possible just won’t compute with me.

I’d love to play a team like Texas or Georgia in a top bowl somewhere if we can somehow pull it off.

 

[2FNFST4U]

Keep moving nothing to see here.
I want to go to Nashville and the Music City Bowl let’s party

This ^^^^^

 

[JD08]

It’s been quite a while since I took statistics, but a quick and dirty back of the napkin calculation tells me we have about 3% chance of all those things happening.

For those of you that want to check my math, I took each game as a coin flip. Each team at a 50% chance of winning or losing. That’s the only assumption that I made.

Stranger things have happened. Who would have expected FSU would fire Taggart midway through only his second season with such a huge buyout? Who would wonder if the Dolphins were going to extend a win streak after trading away their best players?

 

[plantcity3]

The thought of not wanting to play the best team we can on the biggest stage possible just won’t compute with me.

I’d love to play a team like Texas or Georgia in a top bowl somewhere if we can somehow pull it off.

Anybody, anytime, anywhere

 

[OriginalCanesCanesCanes]

Stranger things have happened. Who would have expected FSU would fire Taggart midway through only his second season with such a huge buyout? Who would wonder if the Dolphins were going to extend a win streak after trading away their best players?

Of course, it could happen. There was no emotion involved in my post, it’s just math.

So again, assuming there’s a 50/50 chance of each game result we want happening, the probability of the combination of all those things needing to happen for us to win the Coastal, is just 3%.

That’s taking all the emotion out of it. You can argue the statistics if you like, and you can argue my assumption of a 50-50 chance for each game, but in the end you can’t argue against the result.

Adjust your expectations accordingly.

 

[JD08]

Of course, it could happen. There was no emotion involved in my post, it’s just math.

So again, assuming there’s a 50/50 chance of each game result we want happening, the probability of the combination of all those things needing to happen for us to win the Coastal, is just 3%.

That’s taking all the emotion out of it. You can argue the statistics if you like, and you can argue my assumption of a 50-50 chance for each game, but in the end you can’t argue against the result.

Adjust your expectations accordingly.

After GT, my expectations have already been exceeded.

This has been a very strange year of football, both college and pro. I honestly have no idea what to reasonably expect anymore.

 

[OriginalCanesCanesCanes]

After GT, my expectations have already been exceeded.

This has been a very strange year of football, both college and pro. I honestly have no idea what to reasonably expect anymore.

I would suggest expect NOT to win the coastal. But that’s your choice.

 

[JD08]

I would suggest expect NOT to win the coastal. But that’s your choice.

I'm 50-50 on Duke, so...