There are enough variables that the committee can argue for whatever decision they want to make. There should be a clear and transparent formula to make playoffs. D3 does it, why can't D1? (Because they want some control to make sure bigger media draws get in if there are 2 teams where it is close)
If ND and USF are both in, Miami is one of 2 or 3 teams MAX that have 2 regular season wins over playoff teams....don't see how you could leave Miami out in this scenario
If we win out and ND win out, we'll be ranked close to each other and it could ultimately come down to ND vs Miami..... If that happens, I'd have to imagine the committee has their hands tied and has to pick Miami because of H2H. Otherwise why play the games?
Ultimately if Miami wins out and there are minimal upsets going forward that completely rock the boat, Miami is most likely in