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Blue chip ratio: We made it!

Midlo Cane Fan

Midlo Cane Fan

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247sports.com

Blue-Chip Ratio 2022: The 15 teams who can actually win a national title

Our yearly study of the teams with enough talent to win a national title in 2022.
247sports.com 247sports.com
 
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skyman said:
Interesting is our BCR drops 6% WITH transfers..

Expect us to make HUGE jumps in next two classes like Texas 8&4
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I guess failed 4 stars are probably more likely to have hopes their career could still turn around so they transfer away
 
407cane said:
89% is absurd that means either bama just goes after highest rated and doesn't find gems or recruiting services gives them a friendly bump every year.. we know which one it is


i'll take 70-75% blue chip and we'll be running CFB in no time
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It’s probably a little of both. Think Bond last cycle. He was a 3* going into his senior season and ended around top 100. Ivins used to talk about the Bama bump, which is why all their projects end up 4* blue chip kids.
 
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Judging anything solely by "stars" is absolutely idiotic when you consider that the 39th best player in the country and the 400th best player in the country are both 4-stars. One is projected to be a 2nd round pick and the other is projected to be a UFA that doesn't make a practice squad. Figure out a scoring threshold and use that to determine who is a blue chip or not. Whether it's a 247 90.0 or a Rivals 5.9 or whatever, and use the roster AVERAGE, but stars are for suckers. A team that is recruiting like UF is right now (getting low 4-stars) may have a good "blue-chip ratio" but it is going to be devoid of high-impact difference-makers who project to day 1 and 2 of the NFL draft and do damage in CFB.
 
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Cryptical Envelopment said:
Judging anything solely by "stars" is absolutely idiotic when you consider that the 39th best player in the country and the 400th best player in the country are both 4-stars. One is projected to be a 2nd round pick and the other is projected to be a UFA that doesn't make a practice squad. Figure out a scoring threshold and use that to determine who is a blue chip or not. Whether it's a 247 90.0 or a Rivals 5.9 or whatever, and use the roster AVERAGE, but stars are for suckers. A team that is recruiting like UF is right now (getting low 4-stars) maybe have a good "blue-chip ratio" but it is going to be devoid of high-impact difference-makers who project to day 1 and 2 of the NFL draft and do damage in CFB.
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Exactly this.

Weighting towards more highly ranked players is a better way to look at it. Top 100 Ranked players basically project to a Day 1 or Day 2 NFL Draft pick.

Top 100 Players over the last 4 classes - Alabama 53, Miami 8. The "Blue-Chip" gap is actually A LOT wider than the graphic above shows.
 
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