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Biased Officiating?

I have been saying this since last year.
We have to lead the country in TDs taken off the board by penalty in the past 2 seasons.
I feel like there were 5 or 6 last season
Then we had Malachi’s taken off vs FSU
Are these stats available anywhere?
 
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QuattroCane said:
Exactly. I’ve said this numerous times. We are deeply hated by a lot of people for beating the **** out of their team back in the day. If you don’t think there’s inherent bias in a lot of folks then you either naive or disingenuous.
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We took fückin souls & scarred the innocent minds of an entire generation.

We will rise again. Job NOT Finished


( the fact that the masses crowned / crown disgusting sub humans like Sandusky / Paterno, Lou Holtz, Wabo, Aaron Hernandez, Maurice Clarrett, Peion Sanders, Peter Warrick, Jimbob, Jameis, but went / go this far to discredit our tiny independent institutions’ insanely improbable story makes me fückin sick. )
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404Usernamenotfound said:
Like most on here, I'm sick of the one-sided officiating we see. I recall a few years back when we had 2 first round DE (phillips and greg) and didn’t get a hold call all year (or something like that). This past Saturday, we saw some very obvious missed calls. The intentional grounding that wasn’t called. The hold on bain that would have been a safety. The illegal motion that wasn’t called for them. No holding calls against their oline. I could go on.

I decided to look at the stats. It is as you would expect.

Out of 136 teams

Miami is 123rd in Penalties Per Game, with 8.5

Miami is 104th in Penalty yards per game, with 66

Miami Opponents are 130th in penalties per game

Miami Opponents are 133rd in penalty yards per game.


Miami averages ~8.5 penalties (66 yards) per game—among the top ~10% most penalized teams. In contrast, their opponents average only ~3.8 penalties (27.5 yards)—among the bottom ~5% least penalized.

View attachment 338596

Penalty Differentials Across All Teams​


  • Differential Penalties per Game= Own Penalties - Opponent Penalties
    • League Mean: 0.02
    • League Median: 0.0
    • League Std Dev: 1.87
  • Differential Yards per Game= Own Yards - Opponent Yards
    • League Mean: 0.14
    • League Median: -0.25
    • League Std Dev: 18.38
Miami's differentials:

MetricMiamiOpponentDifferential (Mia–Op)National “Neutral” RangeResult
Penalties per game8.53.8+4.7~0 (avg diff ±1)Enormous gap — one of the largest in FBS
Penalty yards per game66.027.5+38.5~0 (avg diff ±10)Massive discrepancy — among bottom 3 teams nationally

Miami commits nearly 2.2× as many penalties and incurs 2.4× as many yards in penalties compared to their opponents.

Comparison with Peers​

TeamPenalties (PG)Opp Penalties (PG)Net GapBias Direction
Miami8.53.8+4.7Against
Florida St4.87.5-2.7In Favor
Georgia5.06.5-1.5Slight Favor
Ohio St4.34.30.0Neutral
Texas8.84.8+4.0Against
Michigan4.03.0+1.0Slight Against

Miami’s differential (+4.7) is the largest gap among these major programs.

Here’s the scatter plot — each point represents a team’s average penalty yards per game versus their opponents’ average.

The dashed line indicates perfect parity (equal calls both ways).
Miami (in red) sits far below that line — a clear visual outlier showing that their opponents are penalized far less despite Miami drawing far more flags

View attachment 338599


SUMMARY - **** THESE REFS
SUMMARY 2 - As they say. the squeeky wheel gets the grease. Until UM staff and AD start lodging formal complaints, maybe even public complaints, it wont change. Perhaps Mario with his tough guy persona, refuses to acknowledge this or allow it to be used as an excuse, but it will cost us. I respect the players for not constantly flopping or trying to draw a penalty, but sometimes they need to speak up. It is better to complain now after a win, then do it after a loss.

Disclaimer: I used AI to help analyze the data. All data is from www.teamrankings.com


EDIT:
as per @TriStarCane , he asked about the opponents baseline agaisnt other teams. Here you go (fyi its ugly)

All 4 of our FBS opponents had penalty yards against us below their season average (whether you include their game agasint Miami or not)

The proability of this, on its face is 6.25%
Assuming independence across the four games, the joint probability that all four teams had below-average penalty yards is:
P(all four below average)=0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5=0.0625

However, if you account for the standard deviation, it is 0.0000571%!!!!!!


OpponentPenalty YardsSeason Avg (μ) (excludes miami)Season Std Dev (σ)Comparison to AvgProbability (Below Avg)
ND1553.7539.21Below0.1611
USF1565.513.43Below0.0001
UF2080.3319.62Below0.0011
FSU4549.339.50Below0.3228

P(all four below average)=0.0011×0.3228×0.1611×0.0001≈0.000000571P

This is approximately 0.0000571% or 5.71 × 10⁻⁷.
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Send this stuff to national media people
 
Mario has to do what Spurrier did against Bowden in the rematch in 1997 Sugar Bowl. He kept talking about all the "late" hits prompting refs (and announcers) on the lookout. Mickey said they hit at the "echo of the whistle."
 
Thanks for the graphics but they’re not needed. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to know the team that leads the country in QB pressures should have tons of holding penalties called for them. Having just a couple defies all logic.
 
404Usernamenotfound said:
Like most on here, I'm sick of the one-sided officiating we see. I recall a few years back when we had 2 first round DE (phillips and greg) and didn’t get a hold call all year (or something like that). This past Saturday, we saw some very obvious missed calls. The intentional grounding that wasn’t called. The hold on bain that would have been a safety. The illegal motion that wasn’t called for them. No holding calls against their oline. I could go on.

I decided to look at the stats. It is as you would expect.

Out of 136 teams

Miami is 123rd in Penalties Per Game, with 8.5

Miami is 104th in Penalty yards per game, with 66

Miami Opponents are 130th in penalties per game

Miami Opponents are 133rd in penalty yards per game.


Miami averages ~8.5 penalties (66 yards) per game—among the top ~10% most penalized teams. In contrast, their opponents average only ~3.8 penalties (27.5 yards)—among the bottom ~5% least penalized.

View attachment 338596

Penalty Differentials Across All Teams​


  • Differential Penalties per Game= Own Penalties - Opponent Penalties
    • League Mean: 0.02
    • League Median: 0.0
    • League Std Dev: 1.87
  • Differential Yards per Game= Own Yards - Opponent Yards
    • League Mean: 0.14
    • League Median: -0.25
    • League Std Dev: 18.38
Miami's differentials:

MetricMiamiOpponentDifferential (Mia–Op)National “Neutral” RangeResult
Penalties per game8.53.8+4.7~0 (avg diff ±1)Enormous gap — one of the largest in FBS
Penalty yards per game66.027.5+38.5~0 (avg diff ±10)Massive discrepancy — among bottom 3 teams nationally

Miami commits nearly 2.2× as many penalties and incurs 2.4× as many yards in penalties compared to their opponents.

Comparison with Peers​

TeamPenalties (PG)Opp Penalties (PG)Net GapBias Direction
Miami8.53.8+4.7Against
Florida St4.87.5-2.7In Favor
Georgia5.06.5-1.5Slight Favor
Ohio St4.34.30.0Neutral
Texas8.84.8+4.0Against
Michigan4.03.0+1.0Slight Against

Miami’s differential (+4.7) is the largest gap among these major programs.

Here’s the scatter plot — each point represents a team’s average penalty yards per game versus their opponents’ average.

The dashed line indicates perfect parity (equal calls both ways).
Miami (in red) sits far below that line — a clear visual outlier showing that their opponents are penalized far less despite Miami drawing far more flags

View attachment 338599


SUMMARY - **** THESE REFS
SUMMARY 2 - As they say. the squeeky wheel gets the grease. Until UM staff and AD start lodging formal complaints, maybe even public complaints, it wont change. Perhaps Mario with his tough guy persona, refuses to acknowledge this or allow it to be used as an excuse, but it will cost us. I respect the players for not constantly flopping or trying to draw a penalty, but sometimes they need to speak up. It is better to complain now after a win, then do it after a loss.

Disclaimer: I used AI to help analyze the data. All data is from www.teamrankings.com


EDIT:
as per @TriStarCane , he asked about the opponents baseline agaisnt other teams. Here you go (fyi its ugly)

All 4 of our FBS opponents had penalty yards against us below their season average (whether you include their game agasint Miami or not)

The proability of this, on its face is 6.25%
Assuming independence across the four games, the joint probability that all four teams had below-average penalty yards is:
P(all four below average)=0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5=0.0625

However, if you account for the standard deviation, it is 0.0000571%!!!!!!


OpponentPenalty YardsSeason Avg (μ) (excludes miami)Season Std Dev (σ)Comparison to AvgProbability (Below Avg)
ND1553.7539.21Below0.1611
USF1565.513.43Below0.0001
UF2080.3319.62Below0.0011
FSU4549.339.50Below0.3228

P(all four below average)=0.0011×0.3228×0.1611×0.0001≈0.000000571P

This is approximately 0.0000571% or 5.71 × 10⁻⁷.
Click to expand...
I've been asking for a statistical analysis of this for years, this is great
 
Well if there truly is biased officiating the ACC better put a halt to that pronto as Miami is their best chance at the playoff & Natty. Don’t bite the hand.
 
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BOLTY said:
I have been saying this since last year.
We have to lead the country in TDs taken off the board by penalty in the past 2 seasons.
I feel like there were 5 or 6 last season
Then we had Malachi’s taken off vs FSU
Are these stats available anywhere?
Click to expand...
Someone would have to go back through all the games and analyze the reason for the TD being taken off, conference crew affiliation, opponent, down and yardage, and all other relevant metrics. It would take quite some time, and the issue of TDs being taken away has been going on for much longer than just the past two years. It started when we joined the ACC.

The one in the UF game this year was way more egregious than Mali’s in the FSU game. That one was an SEC crew though, not ACC. It does feel like the ACC has been responsible for the majority of those.
 
This is some Beautiful mind type **** man. You A Genius beee ( busta rhymes accent).
 
caneingville said:
Good analysis, but the one thing I would add from your data is the conference affiliation of the refs from each game each team plays. As I mentioned in the other thread, a huge problem that has led to officiating issues is that officiating is not standardized nationally (see the Josh Pate videos). Each conference manages, trains, and thus implements their own officiating standards. This has led to uneven officiating across the country and across conference and games. What constitutes holding in the Big 10 is now not the same as in the SEC and the ACC, etc. So I would break the analysis down further to attempt to identify if there are patterns among particular conferences.

Also, coaches face extreme penalties for public complaints of officiating. It is not limited to fines; they can be suspended or further sanctioned. We do know that Miami has complained directly to the ACC before, per the rules.
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Take the fine
Call a presser and rip their asses apart w facts so that espn announcers can monitor it during the games they call

Sunshine on this is the best disinfectant
 
YLCANE said:
Take the fine
Call a presser and rip their asses apart w facts so that espn announcers can monitor it during the games they call

Sunshine on this is the best disinfectant
Click to expand...
It’s not just a fine, as I said in my post. Mario would get suspended for what you’re suggesting.
 
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