Great analysis. Confirms with data a lot of our observations and gut feelings. If we just win the games we should win, we will be 10-2, or 11-1 if Taggert pulls a Taggert on game day.
Always knew Mullen was a good game day coach. I'm just hoping his lack of effective recruiting and the transfers have hurt his roster enough that it's going to show up at game time. I know your BCAvg already adjusts for that, but not position by position. And his team's better players seem to be "lumped together" in specific position groups more than ours, overall, meaning we should be able to exploit weaknesses as the game goes on. But there's no doubt that that game is going to be epic.
I'm surprised at how low the ENWP is for all the Coastal head coaches. Most are in the high 60s to low 70s for games they're supposed to win. That's really bad. Given how we feel about Diaz and Enos, I'm liking our chances even more to run the table and face Clemson in the ACCCG. We really shouldn't settle for less, whether or not we lose to UF next Saturday.