12 and Climbing ....

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Look around at the schedules of the teams in front and around us. Then look at the opportunity we have this weekend.

Bottom line is you beat #22 Pitt on the road convincingly and we’re in.
I respect your opinions, but there’s no way we jump to #10 without help. The SEC/ESPN goon squad will hang the entirety of the CFP Committee if Miami jumps Bama.

**** there’s a former ESPN employee who led SEC Network film projects on the Committee for some reason
 
It’s been bought down twice from 7.5 in the last week.
It's at -7 dawg

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Serious talk… Miami needs to queue up canceling the ND game next year. If it comes down to us and nd in the cfp and they put nd in immediately cancel the game. I mean as soon as the they announce the final cfp. Before the show is over.
Terrible idea if you did that this year as an example and replaced it with plain UCF you would’ve lowered your strength of schedule strength of record FPI in like four other metrics so yes you’re getting screwed on the head to head but replacing it with a cupcake or even a lower power for you wouldn’t even be 12
 
if OU loses...and we beat Pitt.....we're in with zero doubt imo.
Oklahoma is not losing to LSU. They’re ******* terrible. You’re much better off putting your hopes on Auburn, Washington and Mississippi State all who have better money line odds from
Vegas and maybe for BYU to get screwed if they lose the Texas Tech again.

Plus that only gets you to 11 and you need to get to 10
 
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No. Vandy wouldn't leap over the Canes if Miami beats Pitt and Vandy beats Tennessee...

As to whether you would need chaos to make both the ACCCG and cfp, perhaps, but we don't need to make both... We only need to make the ACCCG (which comes with the opportunity to play into the cfp), OR make it to the cfp directly...

As to games to keep an eye on (other than Canes v. Pitt) that can get us there with a realistic possibility of an upset happening, especially in light of many of the following teams being rivals..., or certain teams' penchant for volatility (e.g, OU's and LSU's issues, etc.), they include:

(i) Bama v. Auburn;
(ii) egg bowl match up, game result and potential coaching change;
iii) Oregon v. Washington,
(iv) OU v. LSU and
(v) ACC results...

Beyond that, the effect of losing a conference championship, which has been largely dismissed as an ineffective way to modify the ranking on the notion that teams shouldn't be punished for losing that game..., the committee pulled back on that, making it clear that they wouldn't ignore that loss in terms of its effect on a team's overall cfp ranking when directly asked if teams that lose that game could slide down the rankings and possibly even out of the cfp... In other words, that's another possibility for Miami to make up enough ground to be in the cfp to the extent that they take care of business with Pitt...

It's the last regular season game of college football, not the last week of college football... Too much left to call it a death blow.

Jesus Christ….OK
 
**** bruh you putting a damper on things with these facts....

Rachel Dratch Snl GIF by Saturday Night Live

I just talk to ppl in the know. We need help, & if u keep listening to these pundits, they’re letting the cat out the bag. It also doesn’t help that The Committee Chairman came on w that stupid 6-7 statement, & gave us an “attaboy” move up in the rankings, yet still have us 3 spots behind ND.

Oklahoma threw in a monkey wrench. Bama had one job & failed, & it screwed us. Everyone I’ve talked to that’s in this space has said “think 2024 w Miami.” Do u know where we were ranked last yr b4 the championship games?

Let me take u fine ppl down memory road:
11/26/2024 we were ranked 8th (after losing to GT)
12/3/2024 we were 10-2 after losing to Syracuse. The committee moved us to 12th.

We stayed 12th until all the championship games were decided. On the final rankings we were 13th.
 
All of us should be excited right now because we’re not limited to just one way of getting in. There’s actually quite a few scenarios that could lead to us getting in, longshots as they may be. Obviously, the ACC Championship seems like the biggest stretch because of who the 3 teams we need to lose are playing(SMU plays Cal, Virginia plays VT, and Duke plays Wake). Right now, it seems like 100% of everyone’s focus is on Miami vs. Notre Dame but we have other options, so to speak.

1.)For instance, what if Ole Miss loses to Miss. St. and immediately after the game Lane announces he’s leaving? Right now, they’re ranked #7 in the CFP and there’s been rumblings out there the last few days that the committee could possibly leave them out.

2.)What if Oklahoma loses to LSU? OU is currently ranked #8 and a third loss would all but guarantee they’d be eliminated from playoff contention.

3.)What if Bama loses to Auburn OR beats Auburn and then turns around and loses in the SEC Championship game? Granted, it would be hard to envision them leaving BAMA out of the playoff after finishing as the SEC runner up, but who knows.

My overall point is this: Everyone keeps focusing on this Miami-ND matchup, and rightfully so, but there’s more scenarios out there for us than one might think. We have options.
 
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This is it. The last two times we have won 10 games we have crapped the bed the last week of the season 2017 and last year. One of those being at Pitt. I know we need to beat Pitt to get to 10 but it would actually show a marked improvement to lose only 1 game in November.
One thing that gives me a little bit of confidence this week is that Mario seems to be able to get his teams up for these games that are hyped up.
 
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