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  1. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Wow, it’s now 49. Jumped from 47.5 to 49 in one move.
  2. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Huge move to us now -3.5, -170. As for the Under, what scares me is that the defenses can create short fields tonight. 46.5 is a bad number, I’d take Under 47 or pass.
  3. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Atta boy, back up in our favor.
  4. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Still plenty of time to move more - and it will - but I'm not liking the latest moves. A 25 cent drop on the ML in one minute is not good (9:23AM below). And we should all only be paying attention to the line at certain sites because some casinos take positions on games themselves and others...
  5. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Huge move on Michigan -2.5 👀
  6. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Not at Pinnacle, it's still -162. I mostly pay attention to the lines at Pinnacle, Heritage, and The Greek because they don't move on air.
  7. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    @Hemsleysalmons can eat a d!ck. That is all.
  8. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    @Cribby OK, so just as I say the line should marinate at -3 for a while, it moves. But it moved in our favor and is now -3.5 at most outs so I'm happy. That's usually a great sign, but from a pure gambling perspective the move coincided with the official announcement that Burrow is starting...
  9. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Just that book. "National Football Lottery" is good, but it's dated. Most of the stuff is available for free online. Check out the 60 Minutes video on youtube about Billy Walters. Learn to read the screen, there's a free one at sportsbookreview.com and vegasinsider.com that shows you how the...
  10. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    And that CSU game is the type of game that sets back anyone doing the bonus hustle. Line rose linearly from -14.5 to -17, ML went from -500 to over -800 and they outright lose. A lot of sites won't even let you bet the ML on a spread that high. Perfect example of how the bonus game isn't free...
  11. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    I think if you're not used to betting a grand a game you may want to scale down. The ML price at Pinnacle has yet to budge. It opened as Miami -148, LSU +131 and that's where it is now. The spread has gone up linearly from -2.5 to -3, but I'd be quite surprised if this climbs to -4, so I...
  12. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    I want to talk about our game even though it's very far out in advance. Typically you'll see some real movement on CFB games Friday before the game, but since our game is on a Sunday I'm expecting some movement on Saturday. Anything on gameday is something to seriously watch out for since we...
  13. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Late $ all over Wyoming. Wyoming -5.5 is the side.
  14. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    To be clear, a wager of $300-$500 could have moved it half a point, not all the way from 6 to 3.5.
  15. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    It was +6 and is now +3.5 at Pinnacle. ML and juice rising now in Wyoming, but the limits were so small up until 8/21 that a wager of $300 or $500 could have moved it down from +6.5 to +3.5. I’d check the movement throughout the day, particularly as it gets an hour or so before kickoff. I’m...
  16. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Got it. Momentum is a powerful thing with pointspreads, much like with stocks. If the market disagrees with me and the line is dropping when I'm expecting it to climb, I'd wait it out for some higher juice on Miami, if not a bounce back of 1/2 a point or so before even considering going...
  17. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    This is not true at all. As a Miami bettor, if I lay -2.5 or -3, I then want to see that spread climb as high as possible after I bet.
  18. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    It's not a winning strategy to lay -130 for -2.5 when you can lay -110 for -3. Is half a point worth 20 cents? No. Even on the 3 which is the most valuable number for football spreads. You can use a half point calculator at sportsbookreview.com to find out that the "3" will push 9.79% of...
  19. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    Hardly, but I learned from the best. The most beautiful part? Once you transfer that $2k out of SBG over to Bookmaker, you deposit another $1k at SBG for another 100% bonus and they'll gladly accept your money. In fact, even if SBG knew what you were up to, they wouldn't care. You're using...
  20. Poptimus

    Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

    3x rollover is great for a 100% bonus. So now let me clue you in on something that will blow your mind: the Bonus Game. You invest, say, $1,000 at Bookmaker and decline any bonus they may offer so you have the freedom to withdraw when you want. You invest $1,000 at SBG and have $2,000 in...
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