2020 By the Numbers: Miami vs. Pitt

2020 By the Numbers: Miami vs. Pitt

Stefan Adams
With Miami set to take on Pitt tomorrow afternoon, CIS took a deep-dive and compared both programs. How do the teams match up in key areas of the game, which players were recruited by the other school, and how does the series history shake out? Let's find out.


Head-to-Head

Miami Rush Offense vs. Pitt Rush Defense


Despite getting shutdown last week vs. Clemson, Miami’s running game is still the strongest unit on their team in relation to the rest of the country, coming in at 23rd nationally with 196.5 ypg. The Canes will look to get their ground game back on track this week behind RB Cam’Ron Harris (6.8 ypc, 5 TD’s) and QB D’Eriq King (60.3 rushing yards per game), who can make life difficult on opposing linebackers and DB’s if he gets into the open field.

Miami’s offensive line failed their biggest test of the season against Clemson’s front last week, but Pitt may be the second toughest front they’ll see in 2020; the Panthers are an elite run defending team in holding opponents to 52 ypg (2nd in the nation). Even though 2019 second team All-ACC selection Jalen Twyman opted out of the season, Pitt’s front 7 hasn’t missed a beat; senior DE Patrick Jones currently leads the nation in sacks (7), while senior DE Rashad Weaver has also been a problem for opposing offenses (7 TFL, 4.5 sacks). Sophomore LB SirVocea Dennis (team-leading 31 tackles, 6 TFL) has also been a productive presence at the second level. Pitt’s defensive strategy will certainly be to stack the box and limit UM’s run game, and they have had success doing that in most every game this season.

Advantage: Pitt


Pitt Rush Offense vs. Miami Rush Defense

In recent years, Pitt has been known for their run game, but they have surprisingly been one of the weakest teams in the country on the ground in 2020 at only 124 ypg (61st of 76 in FBS). Sophomore RB Vincent Davis leads the way in the Panthers backfield, but he has struggled to the tune of just 3.2 yards per carry. That’s somewhat surprising in that Pitt’s OL brings back 4 of 5 starters from last season. Pitt senior QB Kenny Pickett can be dangerous on the ground though (5 TD’s rushing) and he has to be accounted for. Miami has been very underwhelming at stopping the run, coming in at #52 in the nation with 174.5 ypg allowed, and that’s been mostly due to inconsistent LB play that is slow to react and fill gaps. It’s a battle of two weaknesses here, but UM has a history of performing well and inflating their numbers against bad running teams while later getting shredded by the best ones.

Advantage: Miami


Miami Pass Offense vs. Pitt Pass Defense

UM’s pass game took a major hit last week in putting up a dud vs. Clemson and now sits in the back half of the country in passing offense (46th at 230.3 ypg). While Miami has shown the ability to be both efficient and explosive at times behind the arm of King (61.2% completions, 6-2 TD-INT ratio), it is certainly a concern to have leading receiver TE Brevin Jordan (18 receptions) listed as questionable going into the game when Miami’s WR corps has been downright terrible at times.

They’ll be going up against a Pitt secondary that has been above average at defending the pass this season (24th at 213 ypg) and has a star in preseason first team All-ACC pick S Paris Ford (31 tackles, 3.5 TFL, 2 INT). Pitt’s pass rush helps the secondary out a lot as well, as the Panthers lead the country in sacks with 5 per game. On the flip side, UM’s offensive line was good up until last week (3 sacks allowed in 3 games), when they struggled against a similarly talented DL in Clemson (5 sacks allowed).

Advantage: Pitt


Pitt Pass offense vs. Miami Pass Defense

While their run game has been non-existent, the Panthers’ passing game has helped pick up the slack thus far in 2020 (#21 at 284.2 ypg). Pickett is a fourth-year starter at QB against UM, has a ton of experience, and has beaten UM in the past back in 2017. He is the engine that makes the Pitt offense go, accounting for 8 passing TD’s on 60% completions, 3 INT, and he is currently the nation’s leading passer (1,389 yards in 5 games). He is surrounded by freshman phenom WR Jordan Addison, who is 7th in the country with 30 catches, and big-play threat senior WR DJ Turner (18.4 ypc).

UM is 39th in the country in passing defense at 245.8 ypg, and although the secondary has allowed too many receivers running free at times in 2020, they’ve been buoyed by a strong pass rush led by Quincy Roche (5.5 TFL, 2 sacks) that is 16th nationally in sacks per game (2.75). Pitt’s OL has only been slightly above average at protecting the passer this year (#34 at 1.8 sacks per game). The Miami DL needs to really pressure Pickett like they were able to last year (4 sacks in 2019), and force him to make mistakes.

Advantage: Even


Miami Special Teams vs. Pitt Special Teams

Pitt junior punter Kirk Christodoulou has a ton of experience and has been the Panthers’ starting punter since he was a freshman, and he is currently 5th in the ACC in ypp (44.7) in 2020. Pitt has a 4th year starter in kicker Alex Kessman, although he has been a below average kicker in his career (67.1% career on FG’s) and has struggled so far this season (58.3% on FG’s in 2020). On the flip side, Miami has two proven and experienced specialists in junior punter Louis Hedley, who made the Ray Guy Award watchlist (3rd in ACC at 46.1 ypp), and senior kicker Jose Borregales, who has been a true difference maker so far (7-7 on FG’s, long of 57). The Canes are still trying to find an answer at returner with Mark Pope’s struggles (2 fumbles lost in 3 games), and Xavier Restrepo wasn’t much better last week. The Panthers have used a variety of options at returner, and Turner has seen the most opportunities; Turner’s 17.7 yards per return on punts would lead the ACC if he qualified.

Advantage: Miami


Roster Notes

Pitt players recruited by Miami (5):
CB Damar Hamlin, DT Keyshon Camp, OL Carter Warren, RB Daniel Carter, DB Jahvante Royal

Miami players recruited by Pitt (24): QB Tate Martell, RB Robert Burns, OL Corey Gaynor, DT Jon Ford, S Amari Carter, TE Will Mallory, OL John Campbell, DE/LB Patrick Joyner, DT Nesta Silvera, CB Al Blades, S Gurvan Hall, DE Jahfari Harvey, DE Cameron Williams, DT Jared Harrison-Hunte, STRK Keontra Smith, CB Te’Cory Couch, QB Tyler Van Dyke, RB Jaylan Knighton, WR Michael Redding, WR Xavier Restrepo, DL Elijah Roberts, LB Tirek Austin-Cave, CB Marcus Clarke, S Jalen Harrell

Pitt players that were committed to Miami (1): DT Keyshon Camp

Pitt players from South Florida (11): WR Aydin Henningham (Deerfield Beach), DL Rashad Weaver (Cooper City), RB Vincent Davis (Cardinal Gibbons), RB Daniel Carter (St. Thomas), DB Jahvante Royal (St. Thomas), DT Calijah Kancey (Miami Northwestern), LB Leslie Smith (Miami Northwestern), DE Emmanuel Belgrave (Miami Southridge), DE Sam Williams (Calvary Christian Academy), DL Deslin Alexandre (Deerfield Beach), CB Marquis Williams (Cardinal Gibbons)


Series History

**
Miami leads the overall series with Pitt, 27-11-1.

**The Canes are currently on a two game-winning streak vs. the Panthers; the longest-ever winning streak in this series was 8 games, something done by Miami (1984-1996) back when the schools were in the Big East Conference.

**The largest margin of victory in this rivalry is 58 points, something done by Miami when they shutout the Panthers in Pittsburgh during the 1967 season.


Last Time They Played

**
Last season, Miami QB Jarren Williams subbed in for an ineffective N’Kosi Perry late in the fourth quarter against Pitt, leading the Hurricanes on a game-winning drive in the last minute that culminated in a 32-yard TD pass to WR KJ Osborn. Miami defeated the Panthers in a defensive slugfest, 16-12.

**On a day with little offense to spare, Osborn was one of the few stars, recording 6 catches for 94 yards and the game-winning TD. The Canes recorded just 208 total yards as a team.

**Miami DE Gregory Rousseau continued his assault on ACC QB’s in this one, sacking Pitt QB Kenny Pickett 3 times on the day; Miami would record 4 sacks and 7 TFL total.

**Pitt had a strong day on the ground against UM, putting up 176 rushing yards behind a team-leading 54 rushing yards from Todd Sibley.

 

Comments (24)

One of the reasons for their gaudy average against run is all the sacks they are getting. Take nothing away from them but this doesn’t mean we can’t run on them. Look for Lashlee to rebound after getting exposed. He is going to want this win big time. He will find a way to get the right numbers advantage in the box and we will get over 150 on ground.
 
We know about the WR failure against Clemson, but haven't seen much analysis of what went wrong with the OL. Was it an issue of being physically overmatched or was it mostly a communication problem? Did any of the OL actually perform decently relative to the others?

In any case, if Miami lays another egg on offense, then I'm turning the page on Lashlee. He didn't adjust last week, but I am considering that a blip. If he does it again this week, then that's all the info I need to determine that he's an OC who isn't much better than the previous ones- someone who freezes up when a defense takes away his favorite toys. I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt though so I think Miami beats the spread.
 
Last edited:
Pitt gave up:
322 passing yards to NCST
304 passing yards to BC

The passing nbr gets skewed:
Austin Peay - 137 passing yds
Syracuse - 120 passing yds and btw 'Cuse is terrible
Lville - 79 passing yds, great job by Pitt

It would be a major disappointment if King and Lashlee along with all the WR's RB's and TE's the Canes have to not generate at least 30 pts and passing total of 300 yds or more.
 
I wanted Weaver, Kancey and Williams as recruits. Are they starting and any good at Pitt? How's that Northwester LB, Smith, playing? How many of these 4 would start or be in the 2 deep here?
 
I wanted Weaver, Kancey and Williams as recruits. Are they starting and any good at Pitt? How's that Northwester LB, Smith, playing? How many of these 4 would start or be in the 2 deep here?
 
I wanted Weaver, Kancey and Williams as recruits. Are they starting and any good at Pitt? How's that Northwester LB, Smith, playing? How many of these 4 would start or be in the 2 deep here?
I wanted Kancey bad. I remember he covered a Miami offer, but he didn’t really perform well at Paradise (if I recall).
 
This ain't gonna be no cake walk. Their DE's could eat our Tackles alive. They have maybe the best DE duo in the country. And their CB's are going to play press-man. That's what Narduzzi does. (press-quarters to be specific)
 
With Miami set to take on Pitt tomorrow afternoon, CIS took a deep-dive and compared both programs. How do the teams match up in key areas of the game, which players were recruited by the other school, and how does the series history shake out? Let's find out.


Head-to-Head

Miami Rush Offense vs. Pitt Rush Defense


Despite getting shutdown last week vs. Clemson, Miami’s running game is still the strongest unit on their team in relation to the rest of the country, coming in at 23rd nationally with 196.5 ypg. The Canes will look to get their ground game back on track this week behind RB Cam’Ron Harris (6.8 ypc, 5 TD’s) and QB D’Eriq King (60.3 rushing yards per game), who can make life difficult on opposing linebackers and DB’s if he gets into the open field.

Miami’s offensive line failed their biggest test of the season against Clemson’s front last week, but Pitt may be the second toughest front they’ll see in 2020; the Panthers are an elite run defending team in holding opponents to 52 ypg (2nd in the nation). Even though 2019 second team All-ACC selection Jalen Twyman opted out of the season, Pitt’s front 7 hasn’t missed a beat; senior DE Patrick Jones currently leads the nation in sacks (7), while senior DE Rashad Weaver has also been a problem for opposing offenses (7 TFL, 4.5 sacks). Sophomore LB SirVocea Dennis (team-leading 31 tackles, 6 TFL) has also been a productive presence at the second level. Pitt’s defensive strategy will certainly be to stack the box and limit UM’s run game, and they have had success doing that in most every game this season.

Advantage: Pitt


Pitt Rush Offense vs. Miami Rush Defense

In recent years, Pitt has been known for their run game, but they have surprisingly been one of the weakest teams in the country on the ground in 2020 at only 124 ypg (61st of 76 in FBS). Sophomore RB Vincent Davis leads the way in the Panthers backfield, but he has struggled to the tune of just 3.2 yards per carry. That’s somewhat surprising in that Pitt’s OL brings back 4 of 5 starters from last season. Pitt senior QB Kenny Pickett can be dangerous on the ground though (5 TD’s rushing) and he has to be accounted for. Miami has been very underwhelming at stopping the run, coming in at #52 in the nation with 174.5 ypg allowed, and that’s been mostly due to inconsistent LB play that is slow to react and fill gaps. It’s a battle of two weaknesses here, but UM has a history of performing well and inflating their numbers against bad running teams while later getting shredded by the best ones.

Advantage: Miami


Miami Pass Offense vs. Pitt Pass Defense

UM’s pass game took a major hit last week in putting up a dud vs. Clemson and now sits in the back half of the country in passing offense (46th at 230.3 ypg). While Miami has shown the ability to be both efficient and explosive at times behind the arm of King (61.2% completions, 6-2 TD-INT ratio), it is certainly a concern to have leading receiver TE Brevin Jordan (18 receptions) listed as questionable going into the game when Miami’s WR corps has been downright terrible at times.

They’ll be going up against a Pitt secondary that has been above average at defending the pass this season (24th at 213 ypg) and has a star in preseason first team All-ACC pick S Paris Ford (31 tackles, 3.5 TFL, 2 INT). Pitt’s pass rush helps the secondary out a lot as well, as the Panthers lead the country in sacks with 5 per game. On the flip side, UM’s offensive line was good up until last week (3 sacks allowed in 3 games), when they struggled against a similarly talented DL in Clemson (5 sacks allowed).

Advantage: Pitt


Pitt Pass offense vs. Miami Pass Defense

While their run game has been non-existent, the Panthers’ passing game has helped pick up the slack thus far in 2020 (#21 at 284.2 ypg). Pickett is a fourth-year starter at QB against UM, has a ton of experience, and has beaten UM in the past back in 2017. He is the engine that makes the Pitt offense go, accounting for 8 passing TD’s on 60% completions, 3 INT, and he is currently the nation’s leading passer (1,389 yards in 5 games). He is surrounded by freshman phenom WR Jordan Addison, who is 7th in the country with 30 catches, and big-play threat senior WR DJ Turner (18.4 ypc).

UM is 39th in the country in passing defense at 245.8 ypg, and although the secondary has allowed too many receivers running free at times in 2020, they’ve been buoyed by a strong pass rush led by Quincy Roche (5.5 TFL, 2 sacks) that is 16th nationally in sacks per game (2.75). Pitt’s OL has only been slightly above average at protecting the passer this year (#34 at 1.8 sacks per game). The Miami DL needs to really pressure Pickett like they were able to last year (4 sacks in 2019), and force him to make mistakes.

Advantage: Even


Miami Special Teams vs. Pitt Special Teams

Pitt junior punter Kirk Christodoulou has a ton of experience and has been the Panthers’ starting punter since he was a freshman, and he is currently 5th in the ACC in ypp (44.7) in 2020. Pitt has a 4th year starter in kicker Alex Kessman, although he has been a below average kicker in his career (67.1% career on FG’s) and has struggled so far this season (58.3% on FG’s in 2020). On the flip side, Miami has two proven and experienced specialists in junior punter Louis Hedley, who made the Ray Guy Award watchlist (3rd in ACC at 46.1 ypp), and senior kicker Jose Borregales, who has been a true difference maker so far (7-7 on FG’s, long of 57). The Canes are still trying to find an answer at returner with Mark Pope’s struggles (2 fumbles lost in 3 games), and Xavier Restrepo wasn’t much better last week. The Panthers have used a variety of options at returner, and Turner has seen the most opportunities; Turner’s 17.7 yards per return on punts would lead the ACC if he qualified.

Advantage: Miami


Roster Notes

Pitt players recruited by Miami (5):
CB Damar Hamlin, DT Keyshon Camp, OL Carter Warren, RB Daniel Carter, DB Jahvante Royal

Miami players recruited by Pitt (24): QB Tate Martell, RB Robert Burns, OL Corey Gaynor, DT Jon Ford, S Amari Carter, TE Will Mallory, OL John Campbell, DE/LB Patrick Joyner, DT Nesta Silvera, CB Al Blades, S Gurvan Hall, DE Jahfari Harvey, DE Cameron Williams, DT Jared Harrison-Hunte, STRK Keontra Smith, CB Te’Cory Couch, QB Tyler Van Dyke, RB Jaylan Knighton, WR Michael Redding, WR Xavier Restrepo, DL Elijah Roberts, LB Tirek Austin-Cave, CB Marcus Clarke, S Jalen Harrell

Pitt players that were committed to Miami (1): DT Keyshon Camp

Pitt players from South Florida (11): WR Aydin Henningham (Deerfield Beach), DL Rashad Weaver (Cooper City), RB Vincent Davis (Cardinal Gibbons), RB Daniel Carter (St. Thomas), DB Jahvante Royal (St. Thomas), DT Calijah Kancey (Miami Northwestern), LB Leslie Smith (Miami Northwestern), DE Emmanuel Belgrave (Miami Southridge), DE Sam Williams (Calvary Christian Academy), DL Deslin Alexandre (Deerfield Beach), CB Marquis Williams (Cardinal Gibbons)


Series History

**
Miami leads the overall series with Pitt, 27-11-1.

**The Canes are currently on a two game-winning streak vs. the Panthers; the longest-ever winning streak in this series was 8 games, something done by Miami (1984-1996) back when the schools were in the Big East Conference.

**The largest margin of victory in this rivalry is 58 points, something done by Miami when they shutout the Panthers in Pittsburgh during the 1967 season.


Last Time They Played

**
Last season, Miami QB Jarren Williams subbed in for an ineffective N’Kosi Perry late in the fourth quarter against Pitt, leading the Hurricanes on a game-winning drive in the last minute that culminated in a 32-yard TD pass to WR KJ Osborn. Miami defeated the Panthers in a defensive slugfest, 16-12.

**On a day with little offense to spare, Osborn was one of the few stars, recording 6 catches for 94 yards and the game-winning TD. The Canes recorded just 208 total yards as a team.

**Miami DE Gregory Rousseau continued his assault on ACC QB’s in this one, sacking Pitt QB Kenny Pickett 3 times on the day; Miami would record 4 sacks and 7 TFL total.

**Pitt had a strong day on the ground against UM, putting up 176 rushing yards behind a team-leading 54 rushing yards from Todd Sibley.

You forgot head to head coaching.
Advantage Pitt.
 
They do match up surprisingly well against Miami after digging into the numbers. I have it as a 2-2-1 split in the 5 major head-to-head categories. I still think Miami will win, but I would stay away from the -13 point spread.
OK SO YOU THINK IT'LL BE CLOSE.......... I HOPE NOT PITT GOT "A" RECEIVER AND THEY STARTING QB IS HURT OR HE'S GOING TO PLAY WITH A FU.C.KED UP LEG WE GOTTA WIN THIS GAME GOING AWAY.

38 -17 US
 
This ain't gonna be no cake walk. Their DE's could eat our Tackles alive. They have maybe the best DE duo in the country. And their CB's are going to play press-man. That's what Narduzzi does. (press-quarters to be specific)
I UNDERSTAND THAT I DON'T THINK THEY ENDS BETTER THAN CLEMSON BUT I GUESS WE'LL SEE.
 

2021 Commits

S
6'5"
220
Fort Lauderdale, FL
DT
6'4"
255
Miami, FL
OG
6'2"
295
Miami, FL
DT
6'4"
290
Miami, FL
DE
6'5"
210
Miami, FL
WR
6'2"
180
Miami, FL
RB
6'0"
225
Hollywood, FL
TE
6'4"
210
Frisco, TX
STR
6'3"
190
Melbourne, FL
S
5'11"
200
Miami, FL

Latest Predictions

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2020 Schedule

09/10
UAB
Miami Gardens, FL
W 31 - 14
09/19
Louisville
Louisville, KY
W 47 - 34
09/26
Florida State
Miami Gardens, FL
W 52 - 10
10/10
Clemson
Clemson, SC
10/17
Pittsburgh
Miami Gardens, FL
10/24
Virginia
Miami Gardens, FL
11/06
NC State
Raleigh, NC
11/14
Virginia Tech
Blacksburg, VA
11/21
Georgia Tech
Miami Gardens, FL
11/28
Wake Forest
Winston-Salem, NC
12/05
North Carolina
Miami Gardens, FL
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