FL Cane
Senior
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2018
- Messages
- 3,827
Why would Miami be the only team in the P4 to have to get a “trial run” to get into the P2 when no other team has to? Despite us having better metrics, NIL, brand recognition, and a much larger investment in our program than almost any other schools that are considered shoe ins? It only makes sense if you ignore what we bring to the table and magnify every negative.F&ck off with your accusations of trolling. I started posting on UM fan forums while you were still trying to fingerbang your fat 6th grade girlfriend on the back of the school bus.
Big12 will probably raid the ACC if the ACC doesn’t survive in some form. Big12 has a joint media deal where Fox and ESPN both carry games. So from a networks perspective, what is the disincentive to tell the P2 it wants to see if UM has turned a corner or not by giving us a trial run in the B12 (whose media agreement ends in 2030). If we prove to be contenders , then we get an invite when the B12 deal runs out. If we aren’t, both networks say they dodged a bullet by not getting played by a UM admin that literally only started taking football seriously when Kirk Herbstreit publicly embarrassed UM, which resulted in the BOT being embarrassed by the snickering at the Country Club. And even then, we saw investments in football and basketball, but baseball has been the same old garbage .
We are not in a UNC situation where both B1G and SEC know if they don’t reel them in, they are going to the other conference.
We are really only be considered by the B1G. The problem is leverage. We have none, so they have the luxury of time, knowing we will still be available 7 years from now.
I’ll tell you what the incentive is for the BIG to pick us up as soon as possible. Let’s play out your scenario despite how unlikely I think it is to transpire (I’ll reiterate what I’ve said before, Miami is not going to the Big 12). FSU, Clemson, and UNC go to the Big or SEC, and we end up in the Big 12. We continue our investment and become consistent CFP contenders despite being in the Big 12. When the contract is up, we get a Big 10 invite. Except now because we’re contenders, and since we’re the only big prize left in realignment, we also get an invite from the SEC. Now because we’re contenders, the networks will put more pressure on the Big or SEC to land us. Now because we’re contenders, we have leverage and we won’t initially take a partial share. Instead, we’ll demand a full one. Now because we’re a contender, instead of getting us on the cheap just a few years earlier, the Big would have to pay up big time. And if you think both conferences would just hold out till we accepted the cheapest offer, that’d be the equivalent of two gluttons staring down the last piece of cake on a table. And we all know one of them is gonna get that piece eventually.
The incentive is pretty clear. Get us now on the cheap while they have leverage, or leave it to chance and pay an arm and a leg down the road, and maybe even lose the chance altogether. Sure, there’s the chance we don’t become a contender. That can happen and is realistic. But to me, it seems the Big would rather have a brand in its club that could very quickly appreciate in value then pass on it and regret it down the road, even if the brand doesn’t become a contender. Why do I think this? Because half of the Big is comprised of non-contender brands that we already beat out in almost every metric. And that’s with us not being great. It’ll cost them a **** of a lot more if it turns out that we’re right and they’re wrong.