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****y Cardinals

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They might very well beat us, but they're ****y pieces of ****. They have a thread on there where they basically say the ACC sucks except them and FSU, while they couldn't even win their crap conference last year.
 
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The media and reporters are quick to throw dirt on Miami when they're down but as soon as the wheels get rolling the media is always the first to jump on the Cane bandwagon. Look at the FSU game in 2009, or Florida last season, no one was given the canes a chance but when they won you had people blowing the dust off their canes jersey and removing it from the closet. No one said A&M would go into South Carolina and get the Win let alone destroy them. It's only week 1 let the process play out. 31 hours till kickoff.
 
[]_[]Fan2010;1954280 said:
Just checking out the UL Scout board(yeah, I'm bored) and literally none of them are giving us a chance. Yeah we got smashed in the bowl game but we no longer have 1 read sack/throw away Morris and have both Duke and Dorsett back. They lost a Top 3 QB and won't have their no 1 wr or rb. Both qbs have about the same experience in collegiate games as far as I'm aware. Also, they're installing a 3-4 and this is the first game they'll be using it.

Am I missing something?
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Gorlden don't even know what we got.
 
ProjectMKUltra5 said:
That 3-4 they are switching to is going to be a mess, for that reason alone were going to win. Switching to a 3-4 can be a bumpy process
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It will be Louisville's offense that we need to watch out for. But you're right, they're going to go through the same struggles that we did trying to implement that scheme. However, with the former situation, their best WR along with Dyer being out, we better win this game.
 
I'd like to hear DMoney and Pete's prediction on this game.

I honestly will not be shocked no matter the result. I can see a big Miami win, a big UL win or anything in between. On paper we are better and deeper, but we will be outcoached and starting a true freshman in the road in a hostile environment with a dumpster fire on the right side of the OL is generally not a recipe for success.
 
[]_[]Fan2010;1954280 said:
Just checking out the UL Scout board(yeah, I'm bored) and literally none of them are giving us a chance. Yeah we got smashed in the bowl game but we no longer have 1 read sack/throw away Morris and have both Duke and Dorsett back. They lost a Top 3 QB and won't have their no 1 wr or rb. Both qbs have about the same experience in collegiate games as far as I'm aware. Also, they're installing a 3-4 and this is the first game they'll be using it.

Am I missing something?
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They lost their qb on offense and their qb on defense.

Don't discount how much losing a player like Pryor will hurt them.
As much as they dream they were, Louisville is not like the Miami and FSU teams of the 80's and 90's, where you lose a boatload of players to the draft, and just reload.

Louisville thinks they are one of the big boys, and yes they whipped us last year, but they are not.
They were a big fish in a crappy conference, who only had to get psyched for 1 or 2 games a year.

In my mind they are comparable to Boise State.

Once in a while the stars align and you have a great year, but it is more a fluke than a normality.
 
I still don't know how ya'll can definitively classify the right side as a dumpster fire without seeing them in action. Unless you all were a part of one or both of the scrimmages we really don't know what we have there. They might be serviceable enough to not be a liability or they could over achieve. I just don't think there is a enough data to know what on earth we have there, the first game will give us knowledge so that isn't one of my higher concerns. I worry about the defense far more than our OL.
DJWilliams55 said:
dumpster fire on the right side of the OL is generally not a recipe for success.
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Sabetta said:
No one is picking the Canes. Herbie, Corso, the a$$holes on CFB daily, Tim Brando, Cowherd all picked the Cards. The only one I saw pick the Canes was Stone Cold Steve Austin which is pretty awesome.

All of them said the same thing, Miami is starting a true freshman QB on the road against a team that b fvcked us 6 months ago and now had Booby P. Pretty sound logic. I just want this game to start already. Canes 35- Lv - 31
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And that's the bottom line, 'cause Stone Cold says so.
 
DJWilliams55 said:
I'd like to hear DMoney and Pete's prediction on this game.

I honestly will not be shocked no matter the result. I can see a big Miami win, a big UL win or anything in between. On paper we are better and deeper, but we will be outcoached and starting a true freshman in the road in a hostile environment with a dumpster fire on the right side of the OL is generally not a recipe for success.
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NO way no how should we see this. I can see a close game for the reasons you stated, but we should really win this game comfortably by 10.
 
The most overlooked reason for the Cards being favored is Bobby Petrino..Being somewhat of a proclaimed offensive genius by Sports Illustrated, we'll probably see several things that college football has never seen..Just hope our "D" can adjust and not become the same "not relevants" from Jan bowl game..
 
They are one of those fan bases with a Napoleon complex. They have never won anything in football and have to constantly convince themselves anyon actually cares about Louisville football outside of that awful state.
 
plantcity3 said:
Artist Formerly Known As said:
ProjectMKUltra5 said:
That 3-4 they are switching to is going to be a mess, for that reason alone were going to win. Switching to a 3-4 can be a bumpy process
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Very true. We're going into our 4th year with it and still don't know what the **** we're doing.
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How do you know this when we haven't played one game yet this season.
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Three years is a large sample size of sucking, so until our defense proves through an entire season they don't actually suck, I'm going to assume we still do.
 
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If we were in their shoes, we'd be confident as **** based on one thing alone. We're starting a TRUE FRESHMAN QB on the road. When was the last time we were talking about a brand new QB at whatever university and everyone didn't point to that as a point of weakness? Now before someone says they're breaking in a new guy too, there's a bit of a difference. He's been competing at this level for a few years, hasn't gotten a lot of in-game action though, and has been going against a better defense all along.

We'll see what happens, but you don't have to be a rocket scientist to understand why they're confident.
 
Notsince1985 said:
They might very well beat us, but they're ****y pieces of ****. They have a thread on there where they basically say the ACC sucks except them and FSU, while they couldn't even win their crap conference last year.
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1 poster put that up and pretty much got blasted for it. Please don't make it sound like Card Nation as a whole believe that crap
 
MiamiVille said:
Notsince1985 said:
They might very well beat us, but they're ****y pieces of ****. They have a thread on there where they basically say the ACC sucks except them and FSU, while they couldn't even win their crap conference last year.
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1 poster put that up and pretty much got blasted for it. Please don't make it sound like Card Nation as a whole believe that crap
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Some others agreed with him, but that doesn't change my view of Louisville fans. Read every other thread on that board. They are are ****y, and classless. I see you likely live there, but sorry, it's quite apparent from their board. They have "little school/program" syndrome. They think they're big time because they won a few big games, had a couple of nice seasons, but in reality, they've done nothing nationally. They're not even close to Va Tech as a program.
 
We have to survive their early energy advantage to open the game. It's a FAR, or Fury of Anti-Revenge game. Louisville is going to be incredibly motivated to smack us in the mouth again to reassert the pecking order. That's what happens when a team wins a high profile game on the road or neutral site, particularly if it's an upset or by large margin, and then quickly faces the same team again, but this time at home. The road team assumes it owns the motivational edge based on simpleton revenge. Anti revenge at home is exponentially more powerful, especially early in the season before other variables intervene.

I've bet this angle in the first half since discovering it in 1988. Obviously nothing works every time. But the percentage of covers and number of lopsided wins is startling, far beyond any other angle I've uncovered. It worked easily yesterday in the USC vs. Fresno State game. That's another example of a team winning a lopsided bowl game as small favorite and then hosting the same team to open the season. Early demolition.

I discovered the angle based on Miami's 31-0 shut out of top ranked Florida State in the 1988 opener. The Canes had rallied from 19-3 down to upset the Seminoles 26-25 on the road en route to the national title a year earlier. Miami had so much intensity and ferocity in that 1988 game I realized it had to be a situational variable involved. Didn't take long to figure it out. The home team was enraged that the visitor assumed it could march into their place and take something back, solely due to pathetic fragile revenge.

Suddenly dozens of prior results made sense, college and pro. I was annoyed that I had failed to identify this trend for so many years. The problem is that the media spends so much time fixating on revenge that nobody fails to examine the situations in which revenge doesn't work. Seemingly every losing bettor I know in Las Vegas relies on revenge.

The great aspect of this angle is you can isolate the games months in advance. I remember when UCLA went to Texas in the mid to late '90s and scored something like 65 or 70 points while winning huge as a big underdog. Texas with Ricky Williams yapped about revenge for a full year, since they had a game at UCLA the following season. Meanwhile, UCLA was so energized in the Rose Bowl they put up 28 points almost immediately in the rematch. I was howling. My favorite recent example was Oregon at Boise State in the opener a few years ago. Same thing. Oregon mouthed off after losing at home to Boise State the prior season. Boise State was so energized in the rematch that Oregon basically couldn't manage a first down in the first half. I don't remember the specifics but they didn't have more than 1 or 2 first downs at halftime. Boise State was shattering the backfield and Chip Kelly was in shock, unaware of the situational scenario he inherited for his first game. That was the LeGarrette Blount post game punch game. Many more examples, too many to detail. Several pro games stood out. Remember when Tomlinson whined after New England celebrated on the San Diego field after pulling out an emotional playoff game? New England hosted San Diego on Monday Night in game two the following year. I couldn't wait. Sure enough, the Patriots shattered San Diego from the outset of the first half.

When this angle fails, it's generally due to talent differential that has changed radically since the prior game. That's our hope tomorrow. It's possible we trump Louisville in basic manpower and their early energy and motivational edge will be quickly nullified. It might help that we have a freshman quarterback. He doesn't know or care anything about that bowl result. If he's rattled and ineffective early he can write it off to early jitters and not anything the opponent is doing.

I merely wanted to point out this angle for anyone who wants to use it down the road. The good news is that the FAR advantage tends to wear off in the second half. Sometimes it's a dramatic reversal once the home team has used up all the frantic energy. You'll remember last season when Stanford dominated Oregon for the vast majority of the game and then tried to give it away in the final 8 minutes. That was another FAR game, albeit deeper into the season. Stanford had upset Oregon in overtime on the road in 2012 as two touchdown underdogs, ruining Oregon's national championship hopes. It was hardly surprising when Stanford pushed Oregon all around in the home FAR rematch and took a 26-0 lead. Then Stanford ran out of steam and barely held on, 26-20.

I have friends in Las Vegas who bet the home team in the first half when these FAR situations show up, and often turn around and wager on the road team at halftime. Very profitable. I sometimes hesitate to mention stuff like this on non-gambling websites because the overwhelming tendency is to use the one immediate example and overreact to the extreme based on the result. That's what bar stool types do. Gamblers understand the value of long term volume and an edge.
 
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