Would an 11-1 season with ACCCG Win be enough for CFP?

Based on what I've seen from notre dame, I would be greatly disappointed if we lost that game

I'm not joking when I say that ND is probably our easiest remaining opponent. They lost to Duke for God's sake.
 
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It depends on what other teams do. Honestly this weak *** OOC schedule may keep us out of the playoffs at 12-1.
 
Playoff talk is ridiculous until after Notre Dame. If we're still undefeated or one loss, let's talk.

Agreed. We don't know how other teams will do either. Wait until at least early November to discuss this, if not mid-November.
 
I think so, I think we beat FSU. But honestly VT on Thursday night in Lane Stadium scares me... but if we drop that game but beat Clemson or Louisville in ACCCG, is that enough? I think it's a no brainer... but the committee will find some way to keep us out of it...

Could also easily go 10-2.... ND and VT... just curious

First, if we drop the VT game then we may miss the ACCCG unless there is a three way tie. Even a 3 way tie may have it out of our hands and into a third parties hands.

Second, 11-1 with wins over all coastal teams and a loss to FSU, NCST, or ND would get us to the ACCCG. If we were to beat FSU, UL, or Clemson then we likely would have 3-5 wins over ranked teams (Pitt, UNC, VT are potential ranked teams by year end).

Third, the ACC has a 3-2 record over the SEC which is considered the best conference by most. By year end it should be even better. Any ACC team at 11-1 will get into the CFP as the B12 likely won't have an undefeated team (Grobe will drop a game or 3, same with WVU) and ND sucks. If Miami goes 11-2 with two losses (say FSU & ND) yet wins the ACCCG it would likely have a hard time making the CFP but I wouldn't say it is impossible.
 
I think so, I think we beat FSU. But honestly VT on Thursday night in Lane Stadium scares me... but if we drop that game but beat Clemson or Louisville in ACCCG, is that enough? I think it's a no brainer... but the committee will find some way to keep us out of it...

Could also easily go 10-2.... ND and VT... just curious

First, if we drop the VT game then we may miss the ACCCG unless there is a three way tie. Even a 3 way tie may have it out of our hands and into a third parties hands.

Second, 11-1 with wins over all coastal teams and a loss to FSU, NCST, or ND would get us to the ACCCG. If we were to beat FSU, UL, or Clemson then we likely would have 3-5 wins over ranked teams (Pitt, UNC, VT are potential ranked teams by year end).

Third, the ACC has a 3-2 record over the SEC which is considered the best conference by most. By year end it should be even better. Any ACC team at 11-1 will get into the CFP as the B12 likely won't have an undefeated team (Grobe will drop a game or 3, same with WVU) and ND sucks. If Miami goes 11-2 with two losses (say FSU & ND) yet wins the ACCCG it would likely have a hard time making the CFP but I wouldn't say it is impossible.

Perception is sec>acc.
 
Perception is sec>acc.


Agree.

That said, the SEC still has the best win % for coaches which means they win more non-conference games than anyone. Miles getting replaced by Ed brought them down 2% from 67 to 65. The ACC jumped 3.5% this year from 61.3 to 64.8 with the four new coaches.

The good news, the ACC likely will finish ahead of the SEC this year which will help with perception.
 
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I think so, I think we beat FSU. But honestly VT on Thursday night in Lane Stadium scares me... but if we drop that game but beat Clemson or Louisville in ACCCG, is that enough? I think it's a no brainer... but the committee will find some way to keep us out of it...

Could also easily go 10-2.... ND and VT... just curious

Ohio st. lost to a crappy VT team and still made the playoffs in 2014..

Ohio state didn't start unranked.
 
This year any one loss ACC team will not get in. Of course things change but..........

Bama undefeated-SEC Champ-in
OSU/Mich/Wis-Big Champ-in
The one loss Big runner up-in [note one very good Big team is left out]
Ark/TexAM loss to Bama-in [note one very good SEC team is left out]
If Stanford goes 13-0 the NCAA would drop one of the 1 loss teams above.
 
This year any one loss ACC team will not get in. Of course things change but..........

Bama undefeated-SEC Champ-in
OSU/Mich/Wis-Big Champ-in
The one loss Big runner up-in [note one very good Big team is left out]
Ark/TexAM loss to Bama-in [note one very good SEC team is left out]
If Stanford goes 13-0 the NCAA would drop one of the 1 loss teams above.

I am on the opposite side of the spectrum here. I don't think there will be any undefeated teams this year and there may be multiple 2 loss Conference Champions.
The committee will not have it easy this year.
 
I think so, I think we beat FSU. But honestly VT on Thursday night in Lane Stadium scares me... but if we drop that game but beat Clemson or Louisville in ACCCG, is that enough? I think it's a no brainer... but the committee will find some way to keep us out of it...

Could also easily go 10-2.... ND and VT... just curious

Ohio st. lost to a crappy VT team and still made the playoffs in 2014..

Ohio state didn't start unranked.

So what? They dropped to #22 after that loss and didn't climb back into the top-10 until week #11 ...
 
This year any one loss ACC team will not get in. Of course things change but..........

Bama undefeated-SEC Champ-in
OSU/Mich/Wis-Big Champ-in
The one loss Big runner up-in [note one very good Big team is left out]
Ark/TexAM loss to Bama-in [note one very good SEC team is left out]
If Stanford goes 13-0 the NCAA would drop one of the 1 loss teams above.


Big 10 Champ is likely in.
SEC Champ is likely in.
ACC Champ is likely in.
Pac champ is likely in.

No way they take a one loss team over the ACC champ unless the ACC champ has two losses. B12 is out yet again but that is due to poor play. The only way the ACC gets left out is IF Houston runs the table and UL wins the ACC and has a bad loss to Houston Nov 19. I think Houston also need OU to win the B12 or at least go 9-3 and tie for the championship.

SEC---
ARK will have two losses if Bama goes 0 for.
TAM and Tenn are the only teams left and they play each other and Bama so those teams also will have two losses if Bama goes 0 for.
Ole Miss already lost to FSU and Bama but could factor into your plans for a second SEC team making it.
The best chance is with Tenn by them beating Bama then dropping the SEC game to Bama.

Big10--
May be IF Michigan beats OSU and OSU runs the table outside of the head-to-head. Michigan plays NO ONE outside of WISC, OSU, and Michigan State. OSU at least beast OU. WISC beat LSU. Neb beat Oregon.

ACC--
UL vs Clemson
Clemson vs FSU
UL vs Houston
ACCCG are the key games left. Of course: UL vs UK, Clemson vs USCe, FSU vs UF, GT vs UGA all could help the W/L vs SEC
 
IMO we have 3 chances to lose in this order of likelyhood.

1. Clemson/UL in ACCTG
2.FSU
3.At ND

VT isn't a very good team they just have played no one since getting thrashed by UT.
 
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I think so, I think we beat FSU. But honestly VT on Thursday night in Lane Stadium scares me... but if we drop that game but beat Clemson or Louisville in ACCCG, is that enough? I think it's a no brainer... but the committee will find some way to keep us out of it...

Could also easily go 10-2.... ND and VT... just curious

Ohio st. lost to a crappy VT team and still made the playoffs in 2014..

Ohio state didn't start unranked.

So what? They dropped to #22 after that loss and didn't climb back into the top-10 until week #11 ...

Nobody will give us the same benefit of the doubt. You have to live in polls for 5+ years or be in the SEC.
 
I disagree 100%. Iowa isn't in the SEC and they haven't been great for 5+ years yet they were ranked really high last year. ND made it in '12 from unranked with no real success prior to '12 (8-5 in '10 & '11). If we win the ACCCG and the ACC wins the majority of the remaining non-conference games (especially UL over Houston), Miami at 11-1 or 12-0 should get into the CFP.
 
Perception is sec>acc.


Agree.

That said, the SEC still has the best win % for coaches which means they win more non-conference games than anyone. Miles getting replaced by Ed brought them down 2% from 67 to 65. The ACC jumped 3.5% this year from 61.3 to 64.8 with the four new coaches.

The good news, the ACC likely will finish ahead of the SEC this year which will help with perception.

One of the 2 conferences has been dominating the in state rivalry games lately and it's not the SEC.

The only exception was Richt dominating the UGA/Ga Tech game but he's no longer coach there.
 
OK but we are talking SEC East with Clemson vs USCe, GT vs UGA, UL vs UK, and FSU vs UF. When you factor in the SEC west, the ACC hasn't been nearly as dominating. This year looks to be a little different.
 
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