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Wisconsin favored by 7
- Thread starter jkh305
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LoungeLord
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Well we can't kick, punt, throw, run, block or tackle, so......
Awsi Dooger
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I don't have any feel for this one. Hadn't even thought about this matchup.
I do know that Wisconsin travels very well. When I lived in Las Vegas they played at UNLV several times and you'd always see thousands of Badger fans in town walking the Strip and everywhere else.
Not an easy test for our challenged passing game. Wisconsin is 3rd nationally in yards per pass attempt allowed at 5.7.
Not exactly a shock that 3 of the 4 playoff teams are within the top 4 in that category: Alabama is first at 5.5, Georgia second at 5.6, and Clemson tied for 4th at 5.8.
cfbstats.com - 2017 National Team Leaders
Oklahoma winning the championship would be the all time statistical outlier because the Sooners allow a laughable 7.5 YPA. I have never seen a number like that successful in the postseason. Highest I remember was Auburn in 2010 overcoming a 7.0 pass defense with Cam Newton. Mayfield has an even greater challenge. Nobody in the Big 12 allowed less than 7.1 YPA this season. It is similar in that regard to 2008 and all the fraud Big 12 teams. Oklahoma will often be a bit shell shocked at plays that unfolded comfortably in their conference but will be spit out here.
I do know that Wisconsin travels very well. When I lived in Las Vegas they played at UNLV several times and you'd always see thousands of Badger fans in town walking the Strip and everywhere else.
Not an easy test for our challenged passing game. Wisconsin is 3rd nationally in yards per pass attempt allowed at 5.7.
Not exactly a shock that 3 of the 4 playoff teams are within the top 4 in that category: Alabama is first at 5.5, Georgia second at 5.6, and Clemson tied for 4th at 5.8.
cfbstats.com - 2017 National Team Leaders
Oklahoma winning the championship would be the all time statistical outlier because the Sooners allow a laughable 7.5 YPA. I have never seen a number like that successful in the postseason. Highest I remember was Auburn in 2010 overcoming a 7.0 pass defense with Cam Newton. Mayfield has an even greater challenge. Nobody in the Big 12 allowed less than 7.1 YPA this season. It is similar in that regard to 2008 and all the fraud Big 12 teams. Oklahoma will often be a bit shell shocked at plays that unfolded comfortably in their conference but will be spit out here.
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Exactly what I was thinking. And I'm pessimistic as ****. I normally don't think this way after a loss like last night.
Richt's record in bowl games is legit. We need some rest as well. We'll come out and dominate at home like ND. Maybe not THAT bad but I see a 10-14 point win.
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Well duh! What did U expect? hUh. Oh, and one more notion. Wisconsin has a SOLID defense and all that. dUh. And the ' punters ' absolutely KNOW that Miami's offense is CRAPPY and what not.
However, the only POSITIVE notion, is Richt and his OFFENSIVE staff have ample time to get their QB and offensive line and wide-outs, on the SAME page and what not. Yikes. Because IF they don't, it could be another major bowl game BEAT DOWN! OUCH, OUCH!
jkh305
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I remember my first beer.
What! U still believe Miami will defeat mighty Wisconsin? With that BELOW-AVERAGE offense and what not. SMH:sanford:
Nevertheless, I'm a firm believer Miami will win a NAIL BITER game and all that. I just hope South Florida DOESN'T ABANDON Miami and all that. Because Miami needs the fan base against mighty Wisconsin.
W
westcoastcanes
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Generous, seems our brand is getting respect again despite the product we put on the field.
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I think you're underestimating Wisconsin a little. Sure they're boring and all but that's a very solid team. The kind of teams Miami always seems to struggle with.. like Pitt, UVA, VT, etc
Give Richt time to prepare for a bowl and he'll have us ready. Can we complete a pass though?
Badgers are my #2 team behind the Canes, so I've seen some games this year. Running game is elite, QB is trash (more accurate than Rosier but weak arm and no threat to run), and their biggest receiving weapon is the TE. Defense has good stats but, as we saw last night, they don't have much experience facing the speed we'll have. Of course we'll have to play well in all facets to win, but I like our chances against Wisconsin vastly more than against Bama, for example.
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BoxingRobes
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I'm in on Georgia in that semi-final matchup. Those types of teams (Oklahoma has a similar profile to Miami in some ways - however we are better against the pass) find it really difficult to be as efficient and move the ball against the big boy defenses of college football. They won't be getting the wide open Hollywood Brown touchdowns from deep nor will they get the flukey Anderson touchdown runs against a defense as tough and disciplined as Georgia, who has the profile of a legitimate National Championship team.
re: Miami-Wisconsin.
Usually, I'd favor the athletic advantage of a deep south team (Miami included) over a B1G team 10 times out of 10. Usually, the athleticism is just too much if the team is sound and disciplined (which, Miami, I'd consider slightly above average nationally). However, Wisconsin is a team that is sneaky athletic.
With that said, Wisconsin hasn't played anyone worth a **** BUT Ohio State this year, so their statistical measures, IMO, are a bit skewed, but still significant. They are a good team.
Like you said, I really don't have a feel for it and I'll be monitoring lines leading up to the game. This game has a "which team actually gives a ****" vibe to it with two teams that are likely disappointed with how their season finished. The metrics and trends are likely to point Wisconsin (things usually come back to where we thought of them in the pre-season - whataboutisms aside)...pre-season, Wisky was 8, Miami was 19, and a Wisconsin W puts both teams right around there by the end of the season. But, much like most Miami games, if they can get the turnovers, they'll win the game. Just not sure Miami is going to give a **** in a month, but they desperately need the rest.
I'm leaning Miami early, FWIW. I'll at least take the touchdown. They'll be limited on the number of drives they put together, so they need to be more efficient then they have in recent weeks, but I have faith they have another Virginia Tech / Notre Dame type game in them somewhere...just hope they aren't demoralized.
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I don't see wisky in shotgun trying to run their back and qb wide against us.. I see more like Pitt where they line up and test us in trenches.. try to run right at us in traditional sets.. doubt they try to run spread..
Their defense is decent and we will be missing many weapons
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Dream matchup for us considering what the other options were. If we lose to Wisconsin in our own stadium then this season was a huge failure.
Hurricanemike32
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That elite rushing attach put up 60 yards last night. I am significantly more concerned about our offense going up against there defense.