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Who are we running through in Charlotte?

OrangeBowlMagic said:
Maybe. I think it’s more schedule, honestly. Louisville doesn’t play Miami, already played SMU (and won). They’ll likely be a favorite in all their ACC games going forward. And yes, totally understand they lost 2 games as a favorite. But that’s not how odds work, Vegas is still looking at them as a favorite to win all their remaining games. Maybe I’m jumping the gun saying 2 losses eliminates you, though. I’ll admit that. I think somehow 2 teams come out of this with 0 or 1 loss.
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2 losses wont eliminate you it just puts you in tie breaker ****
 
This is the correct answer…

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OrangeBowlMagic said:
I was looking at the ACC standings and thinking about how the league is going to play out, so I figured I'd lay it out in case anyone else was thinking the same.

Until proven otherwise, I'm assuming we are donkey punching the rest of the league for the next 6 ACC games, we are finishing 9-0 in the ACC, and finally getting our *** to Charlotte. So, in the immortal words of Brian in Half Baked.....who's comin' with me???

Here are the current standings and this weeks games. I don't believe there's any chance for a 2-loss team to make it to Charlotte this year, so I'm not including anyone with 2+ losses in this. If we get pure carnage at some point and it looks like it might be possible, I'll add them, but for now, if you've got a 2 in the loss column, you're not partying with me in Charlotte.

1. Miami 3-0
2. Pitt 2-0
3. Duke 1-0
4. SMU 2-1
5. Wake 2-1
6. Clemson 2-1
7. VT 1-1
8. FSU 1-1
9. UVA 1-1
10. NC State 1-1
11. Cal 1-1
12. UNC 0-1
13. GT 0-1

So we're down to 12 possible victims. Louisville, Stanford, BC, and Syracuse all have 2+ losses, and we'll see ya next year.

So what's this week look like and who do we want to win?

FSU @ Louisville on Friday -- Louisville is eliminated, FSU is facing elimination. Louisville is -3.5. I don't think this matters for us, as UL is already done, and we play FSU next week, so even if they win, we're giving them loss #2 next week.

UNC @ Pitt Saturday Noon -- UNC is facing elimination, Pitt is -3.5 with their backup QB. We play both these teams down the road, so even with a win, we'll be giving UNC loss #2, and if Pitt loses they're probably done as we'll be giving them loss #2 in a couple weeks.

Wake @ NC State Noon -- IMO we're going to play Wake, Duke, or SMU in Charlotte, so this is a big one for Wake. If they lose, they're likely out of that race. Wake is -3.5 on the road, big game for both teams as both have 1 ACC loss and the loser of this game is very much on life support.

Duke @ GT 3:30 -- Duke is -7 on the road, GT is BAD, but you never know in this league. No safety net for GT, Duke is undefeated but they do have to play us, GT does not.

VT @ Cal 3:30 -- Elimination game for both, VT is -9.5. We do play VT, we do not play Cal.

Cuse @ UVA -- Cuse is already out, UVA cannot afford another loss. UVA is -9.5, we do not play either team.

If the Vegas lines hold, and knowing this league they most assuredly will not, but if they do, our 12 possible opponents are down to 7. Long way to go, but I think after this week and next, we'll start to see some real separation.

I'll try to do this again next week too if anyone gives a **** to follow all this as well.
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Miami must win out in ACC play.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
Maybe. I think it’s more schedule, honestly. Louisville doesn’t play Miami, already played SMU (and won). They’ll likely be a favorite in all their ACC games going forward. And yes, totally understand they lost 2 games as a favorite. But that’s not how odds work, Vegas is still looking at them as a favorite to win all their remaining games. Maybe I’m jumping the gun saying 2 losses eliminates you, though. I’ll admit that. I think somehow 2 teams come out of this with 0 or 1 loss.
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My comment is a direct response to “they’re the lowest odds for a 2-loss team.”

I do agree their schedule sets up nicely for them as 4 of their acc opponents (@Cuse/Stanford/@GT/@UNC) are a combined 1-7 in conference, they get FSU (1-1) on a Friday night at home, and end the slate at home against 5-0 Pitt (2-0) that’ll be limited without Mason.

i think Duke and Pitt having to play us doom any hopes of another undefeated, however all those one loss teams control their destinies, outside of facing us, which would put them in Charlotte. I would’ve thought VT or Louisville could be one loss teams before their losses this past weekend. Now VT would have to beat us.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
I was looking at the ACC standings and thinking about how the league is going to play out, so I figured I'd lay it out in case anyone else was thinking the same.

Until proven otherwise, I'm assuming we are donkey punching the rest of the league for the next 6 ACC games, we are finishing 9-0 in the ACC, and finally getting our *** to Charlotte. So, in the immortal words of Brian in Half Baked.....who's comin' with me???

Here are the current standings and this weeks games. I don't believe there's any chance for a 2-loss team to make it to Charlotte this year, so I'm not including anyone with 2+ losses in this. If we get pure carnage at some point and it looks like it might be possible, I'll add them, but for now, if you've got a 2 in the loss column, you're not partying with me in Charlotte.

1. Miami 3-0
2. Pitt 2-0
3. Duke 1-0
4. SMU 2-1
5. Wake 2-1
6. Clemson 2-1
7. VT 1-1
8. FSU 1-1
9. UVA 1-1
10. NC State 1-1
11. Cal 1-1
12. UNC 0-1
13. GT 0-1

So we're down to 12 possible victims. Louisville, Stanford, BC, and Syracuse all have 2+ losses, and we'll see ya next year.

So what's this week look like and who do we want to win?

FSU @ Louisville on Friday -- Louisville is eliminated, FSU is facing elimination. Louisville is -3.5. I don't think this matters for us, as UL is already done, and we play FSU next week, so even if they win, we're giving them loss #2 next week.

UNC @ Pitt Saturday Noon -- UNC is facing elimination, Pitt is -3.5 with their backup QB. We play both these teams down the road, so even with a win, we'll be giving UNC loss #2, and if Pitt loses they're probably done as we'll be giving them loss #2 in a couple weeks.

Wake @ NC State Noon -- IMO we're going to play Wake, Duke, or SMU in Charlotte, so this is a big one for Wake. If they lose, they're likely out of that race. Wake is -3.5 on the road, big game for both teams as both have 1 ACC loss and the loser of this game is very much on life support.

Duke @ GT 3:30 -- Duke is -7 on the road, GT is BAD, but you never know in this league. No safety net for GT, Duke is undefeated but they do have to play us, GT does not.

VT @ Cal 3:30 -- Elimination game for both, VT is -9.5. We do play VT, we do not play Cal.

Cuse @ UVA -- Cuse is already out, UVA cannot afford another loss. UVA is -9.5, we do not play either team.

If the Vegas lines hold, and knowing this league they most assuredly will not, but if they do, our 12 possible opponents are down to 7. Long way to go, but I think after this week and next, we'll start to see some real separation.

I'll try to do this again next week too if anyone gives a **** to follow all this as well.
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I hope some hoes b4 & after the game
 
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