Stars do matter, folks.
The chance of a lesser-rated recruit being drafted in the first round is nowhere close to what it is for a blue-chipper.
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Consider this: While four- and five-star recruits made up just 9.4 percent of all recruits, they accounted for 55 percent of the first and second round. Any blue-chip prospect has an excellent shot of going on to be top picks, if he stays healthy and out of trouble.
For those who don't like percentages, here are some more intuitive breakdowns based on the numbers from the entire 2014 draft:
A five-star recruit had a three-in-five chance of getting drafted (16 of 27).
A Four-star recruit had a one-in-five chance of getting drafted (77 of 395).
A three-star recruit had a one-in-18 chance of getting drafted (92 of 1,644).
A two-star/unrated recruit had a one-in-34 chance of getting drafted (71 of 2,434).
www.sbnation.com/college-football-r...96710/nfl-draft-recruits-five-stars-two-stars
The truth is somewhere in the middle. I wont say stars dont matter, but I will say that its not everything. What kills me is when people on this board say that, "The days of finding diamond in the rough types like Ed Reed and Santana Moss are over. Recruiting has changed. They would be 3-4 star guys in todays age." I just dont buy that and that theory is slaughtered every year around draft time. Khalil Mack was some nobody LB out of Fort Pierce and he went to a no name school to play college ball and 3-4 years later ESPN pundits are predicting he will be an All Pro after being a top 5 pick.
Having an eye for talent and developing that talent is what matters. Jarvis Landry was a 5* WR going into LSU. Beckham was a 4*. Who was the 1st round draft pick and who was the 2nd?
Ermon Lane was the 4* stud and Tyre Brady was a 2*. I predict that Brady is the one who will be makin the most noise in 2-3 years.