Week 9 Stat Roll

Joined
Jul 13, 2014
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As always, these are only numbers from FBS vs FBS competion

Offense:

Yards per play: 1st (7.77 YPP) -- Much closer than last week, but still #1 and only 11 teams averaging 7.0+, we are still close to 8.0
Yards per game: 1st (562.4 YPG) -- Only 3 teams in the country averaging over 500+ a game. We are at 562. Incredible.
Points per game: 1st (45.4PPG) -- Over a field goal better than #2 (Boise State - 42.3)
Passing yards per game: 2nd (372.9 YPG) -- Slipped to #2 but still only 10 teams averaging 300+, we are at 373.
Passing completion percentage: 11th (68.0%)
Passing yards per attempt: 5th (9.7 YPA)
Passer rating: 6th (174.04)
Passing TDs: 1st (23 TDs)
Rushing yards per game: 30th (189.57 YPG)
Rushing yards per attempt: 10th (5.58 YPA)
Rushing TDs: 16th (17)
Sacks given up per game: 67th (2.00 per game)
3rd down conversion %: 1st (58.9%) -- Mind-blowing. 2nd place is 51.52%. I can't even articulate how good ~59% is. Literally historic.
4th down conversion %: 2nd (90.91%, 10 for 11 on the season) - So we have the best 3rd down offense in a decade, and when we miss, we're at 90.9% on 4th. Mmkay.
TFLs allowed per game: 17th (3.86 per game) -- Context: A sack is a TFL. We give up 2 sacks per game. So that means on all other plays, we give up less than 2. Insane ability to gain positive yardage in the run game.
Red Zone TD %: 7th (78.79% TD rate, 26 TDs in 33 chances) -- 2023: 96th, 2022: 121st, 2021: 78th, 2020: 72nd. Hello, Cam Ward
Red Zone Scoring %: 14th (31 scores in 33 chances)
Field goal %: 10th (12 for 13) - Borregales is absolutely money
PAT %: 1st (44 for 44)
10+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 1st (145)
20+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 1st (59) Only 4 teams in America have 50+. 2 of the other 3 besides us have played one more game. We have FIFTY-NINE in 7 games. Guess how many we had last year in 12 FBS games? Fifty-Nine.
30+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 8th (20)
40+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 9th (12)
50+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 6th (7)
60+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 5th (4)
70+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 3rd (3)


Defense:

Yards per play allowed: 38th (5.14 YPP)
Yards per game allowed: 17th (314.4 YPG)
Points per game allowed: 47th (23.3 PPG)
Passing yards per game allowed: 47th (210.9 YPG)
Passing completion percentage allowed: 12th (54.5%)
Passing yards per attempt: 19th (6.1 YPA)
Passer rating allowed: 20th (113.63)
Rushing yards per game allowed: 16th (103.57 YPG)
Rushing yards per attempt allowed: 41st (3.90 YPA)
Sacks per game: 13th (3.0 sacks per game)
3rd down % allowed: 8th (29.89% allowed)
4th down % allowed: 86th (58.82% allowed)
TFLs per game: 25th (6.71per game)
Red Zone td % allowed: 87th (60% allowed -- 11 TDs in 17 chances)
Red Zone Scoring % allowed: 53rd (82.3% allowed -- 14 scores in 17 chances)
Punting: 41st (44.23 Yard average) -- We have punted 13 times in 7 games. Tied with LA-Lafayette for fewest in the country
10+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 38th (86)
20+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 61st (30)
30+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 24th (9)
40+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 96th (9)
50+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 117th (7)


Team Stats:


Penalties: 96th (6.9 penalties per game)
Penalty yards: 125th (76.1 Yards per game)
Turnover margin: 58th (+0.14 per game -- 8 takeaways, 7 giveaways) -- Not many good teams this poor here. 8 takeaways in 7 games is not good.
Time of possession: 5th (34:15 per game)
Number of offensive plays: (Avg 72.4 plays per game)

Takeaways:

Offensively, we had our worst performance of the season, only getting 5.86 yards per play, and scoring 36 points. It happens. We're not going to average 8 yards a play against every team, every week. Just look at Ohio State, for example. 6.06 a play, at home against a team that got absolutely bludgeoned the week before, and only scored 21 points. Our offense had been genuinely HISTORIC up to this point. Not just good. Historic. We came back to earth a little bit against a pretty talented defense. I said all week that FSU had the most talent we'd face the rest of the season on defense, and obviously they're going to play hard, at least at the beginning of the game. They were, and they did. But some context on this "terrible" offensive performance. We ran the ball for 230 yards, at 5.75 a clip. This is now back to back games running for 219+ yards. The last time we did that against FBS teams was 3 straight in 2018 (Toledo, FIU, UNC). 2017 was the last time we did it against 2 Power 4 teams. We're now up to almost 190 a game on the ground, which would be our best season average in at least the last decade, oh all while our QB is very much in the running for the Heisman Trophy due mainly to his passing prowess.

This offense remains a wagon. I have zero concerns whatsoever going forward. Even in a "bad" performance, we got 445 yards of offense, scored 7 times in 8 drives, punted once, went 8/14 on 3rd down, 3/3 on 4th down, and controlled the game from the literal opening minutes. And that was a bad game.

I need to highlight the 3rd down offense again and also the overall efficiency. We continue to just blister opponents on 3rd down. As I've been saying in this space every week, this is a truly historic 3rd down offense we're watching. We're now at 58.9% conversions on the season. UGA led the country last year at 55.9%, and only 5 teams averaged better than 50%. Going back to 2016, if you remove the 2020 season where there were no fans at games, the best mark for any team in the last 8 years is 2022 Washington, at 56.07%. We are well above that. It's insane how good these kids are on 3rd down. AND, if we don't get it on 3rd down, we're 10/11 on 4th down, good for #2 nationally. You simply cannot get this offense off the field.

Additionally, the 3 and out percentage is truly comical. We have THREE 3-and-out's all SEASON. THREE!! In 92 drives. That is incomprehensible. Again, I truly believe this is the best offense in the country, and will give us a very real chance to win every single game this year. Duke is much better defensively than offensively, but I trust we'll see a bounce back performance on Saturday and drop 40+.

On defense, this was obviously a "get right" game for us, and that's exactly what we did. Fewest yards per play allowed except for Ball State and FAMU, fewest points allowed except for Ball State and FAMU. FSU's offense is truly pathetic, I mean genuinely one of the very worst in the country, and I do think that fact and how the game played out contributed to the offense's "struggles" as well. I said it all week, I was 0.0% concerned about this game because FSU simply couldn't score at a Pornhub pool party. They are DREADFUL, and I think the staff knew that and the game played out the same way, so once you get 14 or 17 points, you're pretty confident you're going to win.

FSU had 248 total yards on 60 plays. One of them was a 42 yard run on a ******* quarterback sneak. 75 more were on the last drive of the game when I think we had ushers from the stands playing defense. If you take away the 42 yard sneak, going into the last drive they had 48 plays for 191 yards. Less than 4 yards a play. Absolutely gross, it's hard to overstate how genuinely awful they are on that side. So, I took very little from the defensive performance on Saturday. When you play a truly inferior team, you bury them. And we did. This was the stat padding game for us. And I expect this Saturday to be much more of the same. Duke is dreadful on offense. Better than FSU, but not by much. I expect the game to go exactly the same way, a few bumps on offense, but a wire-to-wire, easy victory where the defense gives up very little.

Overall, it was a great night. Any time you can play FSU and not even feel threatened, you know it's a great time. We had a postgame win expectancy of 99.1%. Make no mistake about it, we beat the **** out of that team all night long. We led for 95% of the game, most of the time by 2+ scores. We were winning 36-7 at the 2 minute warning. Sitting in that stadium, there was not a single second where I felt even the slightest bit like the game was in doubt. That has never happened for me at an fsu game, and I've been to 19 of the last 21 of them in person. They are totally inferior, and we treated them as such. **** of a turnaround from 2 years ago, isn't it?

Enjoy the **** out of it, and enjoy the **** out of the ride. I have no idea where this season ultimately ends up, but I know for a 100.0% fact that, in just 3 years, Mario Cristobal has us with one of the very best teams in the entire country. THE best? Top 3? Top 5? Remains to be seen, but I am fully convinced this is one of the best football teams in the entire country, and it's been fun as ****. 8 games down, guaranteed at least 4 more. Let's smack people around, and have fun doing it.

Go Canes.
 
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Our D statistically isn’t bad. Especially 3rd down D which is 8th in the country. Fantastic.
 
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Get used to teams going for it on 4th down on their side of the field.

It is amazing we could not get one pick of that sorry FSU team. They got so lucky that two balls that got batted 40 feet in the air did not get picked. One the second one Harris was one step away from a pick 6. Sometimes that is the way the ball bounces.
 
Get used to teams going for it on 4th down on their side of the field.

It is amazing we could not get one pick of that sorry FSU team. They got so lucky that two balls that got batted 40 feet in the air did not get picked. One the second one Harris was one step away from a pick 6. Sometimes that is the way the ball bounces.

It’s why a large percentage of turnovers is luck.
 


Seems like our run defense is more of a problem than our pass defense. Im thinking its because most of the explosive plays allowed are runs, pass defense gets picked apart but dont allow as much explosives its kinda bend dont break for pass defense
 
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Seems like our run defense is more of a problem than our pass defense. Im thinking its because most of the explosive plays allowed are runs, pass defense gets picked apart but dont allow as much explosives its kinda bend dont break for pass defense


This is somewhat true. Here is where we stand on explosives both versus the run and pass:

10+ yard runs allowed: 27th
20+ yard runs allowed: 81st
30+ yard runs allowed: 66th
40+ yard runs allowed: 108th
50+ yard runs allowed: 83rd

10+ yard passes allowed: 59th
20+ yard passes allowed: 48th
30+ yard passes allowed: 9th
40+ yard passes allowed: 68th
50+ yard passes allowed: 119th (Only 7 teams in the country have allowed more)

So it's a bit of the same and what we've been saying. We're not HORRENDOUS in explosives. And that's why a lot of our metrics look very good. EPA per play isn't off the page bad, it's middle of the road. The problem is, when teams do get explosives, they're REALLY explosive. 9th in 30+ yard passes allowed but 119th in 50+ passes allowed tells you what? When teams get 30, they get 50+. They're massive busts, they're massive plays. Similar in the run game. Only giving up the 27th most 10+ yard runs. But 108th in 40+ yard runs allowed. Giving up 10 isn't the end of the world, but every run for 10 can't really be for 40.
 
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