forums

Week 5 Stat Roll

OrangeBowlMagic

OrangeBowlMagic

CEO
Joined
Jul 13, 2014
Messages
19,223
As always, these are only numbers from FBS vs FBS competition.

Offense:

Yards per play: 46th (5.94 YPP)
Yards per game: 35th (419.7 YPG)
Points per game: 27th (34.0 PPG)
Passing yards per game: 47th (245.3 YPG)
Passing completion percentage: 20th (68.9%)
Passing yards per attempt: 35th (8.2 YPA)
Passer rating: 38th (149.25)
Passing TDs: 58th (5 TDs)
Rushing yards per game: 43rd (174.33 YPG)
Rushing yards per attempt: 64th (4.29 YPA)
Rushing TDs: 27th (8)
Sacks given up per game: 20th (1 per game)
First Downs per game: 32nd (22.7 per game)
3rd down conversion %: 24th (47.5%)
4th down conversion %: 13th (80%, 4 for 5 on the season, only "miss" was failed FG vs ND)
TFLs allowed per game: 2nd (2.67 per game)
Red Zone TD %: 18th (77% TD rate, 10 TDs in 13 chances)
Red Zone Scoring %: 40th (12 scores in 13 chances)
Field goal %: 1st (5 for 5)
PAT %: 1st (18 for 18)
10+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 80th (44)
20+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 87th (13)
30+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 114th (4)
40+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 113th (1)
50+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 70th (1)
60+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 88th (0)
70+ Yard Scrimmage Plays: 88th (0)


Defense:

Yards per play allowed: 13th (4.42 YPP)
Yards per game allowed: 9th (262.3 YPG)
Points per game allowed: 12th (14.3 PPG)
Passing yards per game allowed: 38th (191.3 YPG)
Passing completion percentage allowed: 32nd (58.5%)
Passing yards per attempt: 23rd (6.0 YPA)
Passer rating allowed: 28th (116.07)
Rushing yards per game allowed: 5th (71.0 YPG)
Rushing yards per attempt allowed: 9th (2.54 YPA)
Sacks per game: 19th (3.0 sacks per game)
3rd down % allowed: 15th (26.8% allowed)
4th down % allowed: 34th (38%, opponents 3/8 on 4th down)
Red Zone td % allowed: 99th (71% allowed -- 5 TDs in 7 chances)
Red Zone Scoring % allowed: 72nd (86% allowed -- 6 scores in 7 chances)
Punting: 65th (43.67 Yard average)
10+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 4th (25)
20+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 11th (9)
30+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 32nd (5)
40+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 48th (3)
50+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 65th (2)
60+ Yard Scrimmage Plays allowed: 47th (1)


Team Stats:

Penalties: 89th (7.0 penalties per game)
Penalty yards: 61st (50 Yards per game)
Turnover margin: 45th (+0.33 per game -- 4 takeaways, 3 giveaways)
Time of possession: 3rd (35:29 per game)
Number of offensive plays: (Avg 70 plays per game)

Advanced Metrics:

Total ADJ/EPA per play: 18th
Success Rate %: 6th
Offensive Adj/EPA per play: 34th
Passing EPA/dropback: 44th
Rushing EPA/rush: 28th
Offensive Success Rate: 11th
Defensive Adj/EPA per play: 18th
Passing Defensive EPA/dropback: 29th
Rushing Defensive EPA/rush: 12th
Defensive Success Rate: 15th


Takeaways:

We obviously didn't play last week, but as I expected, almost every single one of our numbers improved as other teams around the country start playing better competition. I won't get too much into the numbers this week, again as they didn't change as far as values, only where the ranking nationally is. But I will point out that this defense is now firmly in the "elite" category nationally through the first month of the season. 13th in YPP allowed, 12th in PPG allowed, 15th in sacks, 5th in rushing yards per game allowed, 9th in yards per attempt allowed, 15th in 3rd down defense and only 3 teams in the country have allowed fewer 10+ yard plays than we have. Simply spectacular stuff. I said all off-season, if we could just stay in the Top 30-ish on offense after the inevitable slide from last year's historic group AND we could somehow improve into the Top 30-ish on defense, we'd be one of the best teams in America. Well, so far through a third of the season, the defense has been better than I could've possibly imagined. I will mope away for a second here and point out that, through 4 non-conference games last year, the defense looked pretty **** good as well. So we have a long way to go. But my eyeballs tell me this truly is one of the best units in the country. Next big test this week, FSU lost to UVA but they still got 6.35 YPP on Friday night, which would be good for the 15th to 20th best mark in the country historically. So, they still were very good on offense. Let's humble them, again.

On offense, as I mentioned all the numbers ticked up some, and we are Top 30 in scoring now, but we know we need to be better on this side if we're going to truly compete for a natty. As we all know, the explosives are poor. 80th in 10+ yard plays and 87th in 20+ yard plays isn't going to cut it for the next 3 months. Again, another challenge this week, first game on the road, and we know FSU lost but they faced 84 plays from UVA and only allowed 5.24 per. That's a good number.

Massive game this week, obviously. Get out of there with a dub, however you have to, get more reps between Beck and the pass-catchers, and get another bye next week to continue improving.
 
Advertisement
Great stuff.

USF definitely exposed our defense last year. They just didn’t have the horses to sustain it for 4 quarters. Plus I think Brown was hurt early. But I agree, this year’s defense is different. A great defense will shut down the Mickey Mouse Malzahn offense. Imagine the great Bama and Georgia defenses going up against Mighty Mouse. They would have feasted. So let’s see how we stack up. It should be a curb stomp. But you never know.
 
edge said:
Great stuff.

USF definitely exposed our defense last year. They just didn’t have the horses to sustain it for 4 quarters. Plus I think Brown was hurt early. But I agree, this year’s defense is different. A great defense will shut down the Mickey Mouse Malzahn offense. Imagine the great Bama and Georgia defenses going up against Mighty Mouse. They would have feasted. So let’s see how we stack up. It should be a curb stomp. But you never know.
Click to expand...

I won't turn this into an FSU suck fest thread, but their offense was still really good last week. As you'd expect, the UVA defense is terrible. But FSU had a 14% explosive rate, which is 95th percentile good. 53% success rate, which is 91st percentile. They were 80th percentile or better in just about every metric on offense. Their offense was legit good, again. We have a **** of a challenge Saturday night, but I will say FSU is going to see a MUCH different beast than they saw in Charlottesville. We are brining DUDES, and they have bad intentions. UVA's defense is confusing, because I don't know if they're small with a side of slow, or slow with a side of small. But it's bad.

Where I think we have a big advantage is our offense. It hasn't been great, but UVA straight up moved FSU on Friday. NINETY-SIXTH PERCENTILE EPA per rush. Elite success rate, elite EPA per play, great on 3rd down. FSU had a ZERO percentile run stuff rate. If you're going to let UVA just push you around the field, never stuff them, let them have over 50% success rate, and then Miami is coming to town? Yikes.

We need to get 35+ this week. I want to say 40, but we're probably not going to play fast enough to get there. But I think if we can get to 35, our defense can hold fsu under 30. If we don't give them non-offensive TDs and/or short-fields, I think if we drop 35, we win by 2 scores.
 
ShadowSpring said:
Pretty shocking TBH the D is more dominant than our #1 offense from a year ago. Feel mush better about it
Click to expand...

This defense is 100.0% NOT more dominant than our #1 offense last year. Certainly not on paper. Last year's offensive numbers were genuinely historic, and that's not hyperbole. It was one of the best offenses of the past 10 seasons. This defense has been really good, but it's not "best in a decade" type. Yet. Keep grinding.
 
Advertisement
Tackles for loss allowed 2nd +

Offensive success rate 11th =

This offense stays on schedule and plays with favorable down and distance. That is a recipe for success.

I still cringe at Mario’s puckered up *******. I’d much rather have a guy like Lanning that goes for it on 4th when you should and will always step on the gas. But we have who we have, and he is making it work.
 
scrantoncane said:
Tackles for loss allowed 2nd +

Offensive success rate 11th =

This offense stays on schedule and plays with favorable down and distance. That is a recipe for success.

I still cringe at Mario’s puckered up *******. I’d much rather have a guy like Lanning that goes for it on 4th when you should and will always step on the gas. But we have who we have, and he is making it work.
Click to expand...
Lanning was a maniac Saturday
 
The nonstop rain for 4 straight home games has hampered the offense for sure. I expect to see that improve just with dry conditions…if it ever stops raining in Miami.
 
I expect our numbers to greatly improve as we get into the soft part of our schedule. I don’t see any good defenses left during the regular season.
 
Back
Top