We have to win out.

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Hot take: I don't think we want Notre Dame to beat Pitt. Two-loss Notre Dame is going to be competition for two-loss Miami for the final spot and the committee will find a way to put ND in despite the head to head.

Three-loss Notre Dame is out but still good and Pitt beating Notre Dame improves our overall schedule.

I'd also like South Florida to win out. That loss to Memphis was not great for our overall resume but if they win out and win the American, that makes two-loss Miami look more interesting as well.
Bro if we have 2 losses we are ****ed. Unless that 2nd loss is in the ACC Champ game to a team with 1 loss. That’s the only hope with 2 losses. And in that scenario having a big ND win is the most important thing for our strength of record.
 
If we played a rematch right now, Notre Dame is favored anywhere. Home, neutral, and yes, even at Miami (it’s small). Pretty much everyone that matters has them power rated higher.

But H2H has to matter (as it should, otherwise why play the games), and they will not jump us so long as we win out.

We win out, we’re probably 6th-8th range depending on how the rest of the games shake out. Can’t really see us jumping OSU, Indiana, TA&M unless one of those teams really stumbles down the stretch, or has key players injured.

Bama, Ole Miss and Oregon are better (I might push back on Oregon, if only I had more confidence in what I’ve seen from Miami the last three weeks), but those teams are not without flaws just like us. I personally think ND is better than all three of the aforementioned teams.
If you compare Us, Oregon, and Ole Miss schedule there really is no reason they would both be above us except for the fact they are SEC/B1G honestly. We just need to make it easy and have both of them lose though.

Honestly Oregon losing to Iowa+USC is best case scenario, since Ole Miss with SEC will get benefit of doubt even with 1 more loss. If Oregon drops another game or especially two, and given they really have no good wins, that could be the only real path the B1G has to only getting 2-3 teams in. Iowa beating Oregon and losing to Nebraska would single-handedly increase our CFP odds by like 10% I’d bet.
 
If you compare Us, Oregon, and Ole Miss schedule there really is no reason they would both be above us except for the fact they are SEC/B1G honestly. We just need to make it easy and have both of them lose though.

Honestly Oregon losing to Iowa+USC is best case scenario, since Ole Miss with SEC will get benefit of doubt even with 1 more loss. If Oregon drops another game or especially two, and given they really have no good wins, that could be the only real path the B1G has to only getting 2-3 teams in. Iowa beating Oregon and losing to Nebraska would single-handedly increase our CFP odds by like 10% I’d bet.
I think Oregon can lose to USC for sure, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Iowa got them.
 
Seems like our odds would get better if ND knocked themselves out losing to Pitt, if we were to run the table and miss out on the ACC-CG? I think they are in if they win out. Looking a bit closer at the teams in contention, I think I gotta retract my previous porst in this thread. There appear to be a few ways we could win out, miss the ACC-CG, and get screwed.
If Miami wins out in a regular season, it doesn’t matter what Notre Dame does. Miami should be in, especially since we’ve won the head to head battle.
 
If Miami wins out in a regular season, it doesn’t matter what Notre Dame does. Miami should be in, especially since we’ve won the head to head battle.
Yeah you are right. I twisted myself into knots thinking the committee could ***** us if we both won out (and we missed ACC-CG) cause ND is ND. If the last bid comes down to 1 loss Miami and 2 loss ND who we beat, we better get in.
 
It’s gotten to the point where you can’t lose a game if you’re in the ACC and I don’t know if that kind of pressure should fall on a head coach. It doesn’t seem right. I’m not saying we should’ve lost to Louisville. I’m just saying there should be no hot seat. Talk when you have a season like that
 
Mario loses in November every year.

Since at Oregon, Mario from November on...

24 - 1-3
23 - 1-4
22 - 1-3
21 - 3-3
20 - 4-3 (COVID year)
19 - 6-1 (Thanksgiving weekend loss to Arizona State on the road)
18 - 4-1 (Early November loss to Utah on the road)
17 - 2-2 (loss to Washington on the road)

22-20 total record from November 1st through the end of the season.

Man don't know how to close it out.

@SMU 11/1
@Pitt 11/29

Hold on to your butts.
 
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Floks we suck! Why would I want to be embrassed by an OSU, UGA, Alabama team in the playoffs! Our coaching staff sucks and we would get blow out! I like our chances at the Pop Tart bowl!
 
Can we get to 7-5? I’m gonna die betting that we don’t!!!
 
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