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Virginia and Louisville Lost đź‘€

Tru C said:
Chances of getting into the playoffs as an at large is about to go up significantly. It was 8%
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These %’s right now are complete bull****. I mean we were 90+ percent this time last year so that tells you all you need to know about that. This isn’t the NFL where it’s clear who gets in the playoff and who doesn’t. Yes there are only 3 games left but so much **** can happen in that amount of time and it only takes one game to completely shift these hypothetical percentages.
 
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Shooter McGavin said:
Virginia has to lose again, Duke has to lose, SMU has to lose twice, Louisville has to lose again, and Miami has to win out. That’s asking a lot so no.
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Well UVA’s QB got injured tonight, Duke lost to UConn, SMU plays Louisville and Cal, and Louisville has Clemson and SMU. By no means a given, but all of that could for sure happen.
 
First and foremost, Miami must win out.

We need 3 of 4 teams to have 3 ACC losses or hold the tie breaker against them. The only teams Miami would hold a favorable tie breaker with are GT and UVA, if GT loses to Pitt in 2 weeks, Miami would own the tiebreaker.

Miami could would a tiebreaker with UVA, if UVA loses to VT. Miami would have beaten VT, but UVA beat Louisville. Miami would hild the tiebreaker with UVA due to better conference wins.

If GT wins their last 2 ACC games, we would need Louisville, Virginia, and SMU to have 3 conference losses for Miami to get the ACC title game. It' unlikely SMU loses 2 more ACC games.

Miami's best possible changce is for Pitt to beat GT, Clemson beats Louisville, and VT beats UVA in their final game of the season. Miami would face SMU in a rematch game in the ACC title game.

There is a path to Charlotte.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
Literally yes. Miami was 50/1 to win the ACC this week. That number will be much better tomorrow.

I don’t think we got much (any?) help for an at-large bid tonight. But we got both results we were looking for in the ACC. Only thing better would’ve been if BC upset SMU.
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We'll get some help next week, hopefully. Need Bama to down OU, and UGA to down Texas. That would give them both 3 losses, and they're out.

As for the ACC. UL and SMU play, so someone is getting another loss. Ideally, Clemson beats UL, and UL beats SMU. UVA loses to Duke/VT, and Duke loses to UNC/Wake. At that point you're left with GT and Pitt. We play Pitt. Ideally, Pitt beats GT. We win on tie breakers if we're 10-2 and GT is 10-2 our opponent record is far better than theirs.
 
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I've never bet on anything since online betting has been a thing....but crunching some math and looking at schedules....I might take a flyer for $100 to win the ACC championship game....if it weren't for the Pitt game. lol
 
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Number1CanesFan said:
First and foremost, Miami must win out.
W need 3 of 4 teams to vave 3 ACC losses or hold the tie breaker against them. The only team Miami would hold a favorable tie break is GT, if GT loses another gsme. They play Pitt in 2 weeks.

If GT wins their last 2 ACC games, we would need Louisville, Virginia, and SMU to have 3 conference losses for Miami to get the ACC title game. It'sunlikely SMU loses 2 more ACC games. It's possible Miami could hold a tiebreaker with UVA if UVA loses to VT. Miami would have beaten VT, but UVA beat Louisville wirh Miami losing to Louisville. In this scenario Miami would the tiebreaker with UVA due to better conference wins.

Miami's best possible changce is for Pitt to beat GT, Clemson beats Louisville, and VT beats UVA in their final game of the season. Miami would face SMU in a rematch game in the ACC title game.

There is a path to Charlotte.
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Disagree on SMU losing another one. UL and SMU play. Could very well see UL lose to Clemson and beat SMU the next week. We would beat GT and UVA in tiebreakers, on account of our better opponent records.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
Literally yes. Miami was 50/1 to win the ACC this week. That number will be much better tomorrow.

I don’t think we got much (any?) help for an at-large bid tonight. But we got both results we were looking for in the ACC. Only thing better would’ve been if BC upset SMU.
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I think we got a lot of help as an At large. Because the losses that happened tonight with teams ahead of us were the least likely to happen. Other teams ahead of us this is what they have left:

11. Texas @ Georgia, vs A&M
12. Oklahoma @ Alabama, vs Mizzou, vs LSU
13. Utah should win out
14. Virginia @ Duke, vs Va Tech (but will they drop below us now?
15. Louisville vs Clemson, @ SMU, vs Kentucky (how far will they drop after tonight)
16. Vandy vs Kentucky, @ Tenn
17. Ga Tech vs Pitt, @ Georgia
18. Miami

If Miami wins out (big if) I would be SHOCKED if we aren't at least waiting until after Conference championships for a resolution.
 
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Santana Sosa said:
I've never bet on anything since online betting has been a thing....but crunching some math and looking at schedules....I might take a flyer for $100 to win the ACC championship game....if it weren't for the Pitt game. lol
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Shoulda done it this morning. Miami was 50/1. They won’t be tomorrow.
 
FL Cane said:
Disagree on SMU losing another one. UL and SMU play. Could very well see UL lose to Clemson and beat SMU the next week. We would beat GT and UVA in tiebreakers, on account of our better opponent records.
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Yes, SMU could lose another one, but we need SMU to lose 2 more ACC gsmes. They hold the tiebreaker with us. I don't see SMU losing 2 more ACC games for a total of 3 ACC losses.

However, Cal could give SMU problems.
 
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