Virginia and Louisville Lost 👀

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I'm gonna keep posting this. The rankings are a lot more interesting than people realize. Yes, we actually have to win out. But assuming we do..

Louisville and Virginia lost, so we will be the committee's second highest ranked ACC team on Tuesday by default, behind GT.

GT still has to play UGA (and Pitt). If they lose to UGA (as they're widely expected to) the committee will move us ahead of them.

It gets REALLY interesting if USF is the group of 5 rep and ND is in their top 10.

Yes we probably miss out on the ACCCG. But we would still be the committee's highest ranked ACC team AND we would have wins over 2 of playoff teams.

Buckle up.
Why would that be by default? Louisville can absolutely still rank ahead of us. It depends how much you think Louisville should drop if you have then dropping within 3 of us, then they WILL end up ranked ahead.
 
Why would that be by default? Louisville can absolutely still rank ahead of us. It depends how much you think Louisville should drop if you have then dropping within 3 of us, then they WILL end up ranked ahead.
I actually agree with this.

BUT, unlike teams in the SEC/B1G, ACC teams that lose to unranked ACC teams at home, usually drop more than 3 spots.
 
I actually agree with this.

BUT, unlike teams in the SEC/B1G, ACC teams that lose to unranked ACC teams at home, usually drop more than 3 spots.
BYU will still probably be ahead of us given they'll only have 1 loss. I actually expect UVA to have the largest drop of any team.

But let's say UVA and Louisville were gonna drop below us, that'd push us up 2 to 16. Will Louisville drop below Michigan? Both have 2 losses and Michigan's best win was against ....? Lol. So like furthest I see Louisville dropping is 20. If they are dropped to 19 though, that means the committee will be looking at Us and them in the same bracket (since they look at teams by 3 each). And they have the H2H at Miami and same record...

My point being I think it'd even be possible for USC to jump us and Louisville to just drop to 17, and we stay at 18. .... But we will see. Mario needs to ******* start killing teams to push us higher in that metric.
 
If we’re tied with SMU with two losses, for purposes of determining a second spot in ACCCG, wouldn’t it go to them since they beat us for head to head purposes? I thought that was first thing that’s looked at for tiebreak rules
Head to head only applies if all tied teams are common opponents or if one of the teams played all of the other tied teams. Wouldn’t apply here so it goes to conference opponent winning percentage.
 
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I’m sure someone already posted something similar but this seems about the most realistic I could come up with

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The mopes will say no
The sleepers will all change their avatar to Mario.
The level headed posters will say, “win out and anything can happen”.
Then I am a mope level headed poster 😃😃😃 In all seriousness I think we blew our opportunity when we decided not control our own destiny, there’s a trend there (stares into the distance) snap back to reality, well, anyway, I would love to win out and make the playoffs but a lot has to happen, either way I’ll be at the Pitt game. Oh, no way will I ever change my avatar from Sean Taylor… never!!!
 
In this scenario, we'd get an SMU/Miami rematch, no? SMU still has the head-to-head. Miami has the best conference opponent record.

If we’re tied with SMU with two losses, for purposes of determining a second spot in ACCCG, wouldn’t it go to them since they beat us for head to head purposes? I thought that was first thing that’s looked at for tiebreak rules
According to that website, it looks like if there’s a 4 way tie @ 6-2, it goes off of common opponent win percentage.
 
You know what's a joke?

People talking **** about the ACC beating each other up.

Yet the SEC is doing the same thing. When it happens there, "the conference is full of talent".

The BIG10 is so top heavy the bottom doesn't have the talent to do it.
Was watching Auburn/Vandy with some SEC types. Every couple minutes it’s “man the SEC is a gauntlet, every team can play!” And “this is why we’re the best of the best, Auburn could win any other conference easy.”

Of course it can’t be that Vandy isn’t actually that great and they’re struggling against a sorry 4-6 (1-6) team. Even with that record, it’s just a stout SEC team who can beat anyone. Which also means Vandy is amazing for pulling it out.
 
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I'm not following all the different permutations and scenarios that would need to take place (cue Zach Galifianakis gif), but I would like to win the ACC. It's really an indictment of this program that we haven't won one. Since that Clemson run, there has been a lot of very mediocre teams in this division and apparently, we are the most mediocre of them all.
 
How funny would it be if Duke wins the ACC but misses the playoffs and Miami doesn’t even play for it and makes it as an at large lol

Would be a massive **** you to the ACC
 
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