Empirical Cane
We are what we repeatedly do.
- Joined
- Sep 3, 2018
- Messages
- 45,178
You note declining OL performance from 22-23.I’m actually going to give Mertz some more credit than I initially intended to. Once I finish my full analysis, I plan on posting a write up about a week or so from the game. Here’s a small snippet.
Mertz had a 20:3 TD to INT ratio in 2023, and finished with double the big-time throws vs. turnover-worthy plays. This essentially means exceptional pass plays vs. plays that should result in turnovers a majority of the time (granted, it’s subjective, but pretty much within a pass or two).. By far the best season of his collegiate career to date (not saying much considering the previous years were trash), but he had 15 big-time throws vs 2 turnover-worthy plays on attempts of over 10 yards. When he does go deep, he’s pretty confident in it.
Now his issue is that he doesn’t push it downfield enough, and tends to lean on the conservative side.
***Obviously they have major issues at OL***- they were 15th in sacks in 2022, but 115th in 2023. Shuffling plenty of guys around + transfers, sliding Damien George from tackle to guard. Center is probably most solidified but Reports are no bueno along the OL thus far.
That plus their yards per carry dropped from 5.8 in 2022 to 4.1 in 2023, and they lost Etienne (4.1 yards after contact on 124 attempts) and now Montrell is banged up. So now you’ve got an OL that significantly regressed from 2022 to 2023 in both run and pass blocking, and is being shuffled around plus relying on a G5 transfer from San Diego State to elevate and stabilize the room.
- What did they do to fix that? Only G5 transfer?
-- Do we assess it was effective? Why? Why not?