Let’s put the Kool-Aid down for a second and have a rational conversation.
We all love this program.
We are all confident in this team.
But I’m going to stop listening to my heart for a second and give my brain a chance to jump into the discourse.
What concerns us about this matchup? I’ll go first….
1) Our LBs ability to cover their WRs underneath.
2) Keeping Reed contained in the pocket. Broken plays have been our enemy before. The ND and SMU games come to mind. Even the FSU game in the 4th quarter.
3) Beck zeroing in on Toney. Elko is too smart of a coach to allow one player to beat him. His scheme will be structured to neutralize Toney’s impact. Carson has to be patient, go through his progressions, and find the open receiver.
4) WRs other than Toney creating separation. With Toney most likely being bracketed, can CJ take advantage of 1-on-1 opportunities? What about Marion? Mark my words: to win this game, we’re going to need a couple of big time, contested catches from someone other than Toney.
5) Pringle in pass protection. Can he handle what Elko throws at us in 3rd and long situations? We’re going to have to trust him. You can’t only bring him in if we’re running the ball — that’s too predictable.
6) Pre-snap penalties. If we can’t avoid more than one or two of these over the course of the game, we’re probably in bad shape. Getting behind the chains hurts the type of offense Dawson wants to call.
What other things worry you guys?
Good post. I agree with most of the concerns, but I think A&M’s receiver group is being a little overrated from a matchup standpoint.
Yes, they’re fast. But they’re also small. There’s a reason NFL teams consistently look for receivers in the 6’2”–6’4”, 200-plus range. Size gives you answers when the defense takes space away.
Speed-based receivers have to live in space, and more importantly, they have to be on time. Their entire game is built around clean releases and precise timing. Free releases allow them to hit their landmarks on schedule so the QB can throw with anticipation. That’s when speed shows up.
That’s also why they’re very schemable. You don’t have to erase them, you just have to disrupt them. A quick jam, a collision at the line, or forcing a release that’s opposite of the route design throws off the timing. Even a half-second delay matters. Once the timing is off, the QB has to hold the ball, reset, or move on, and now that speed advantage is neutralized.
This is where big receivers are harder to deal with. They don’t need perfect timing. If the picture isn’t clean, the QB can still throw a back-shoulder, a slant through contact, or a contested ball and trust size and catch radius. With smaller WRs, if they’re covered and late, the play is basically dead.
So when people talk about A&M’s perceived strength at receiver, the real question isn’t “are they fast?” It’s “can they get free releases and stay on schedule?”