Coming from G5 scares me. That's my holdout on Napier.
Aside from Matt Campbell being above average at Iowa State - who is the last HC to come into the P5 from a G5 school and win at a high level?
It's all been top notch assistants or guys that have went from one P5 HC job to another that are good. Brian Kelly might be the only other one i can think of coming from Cincinnati to ND. Freeze was good for Ole Miss but still lost 3+ every year.
The recent hot names from G5 - Norvell - bum, Taggart - bum, Fuente - bum, McElwain - bum, Satterfield - hasn't worked yet, Drinkwitz - too early to tell, Geoff Collins - hasn't won yet, Bronco Mendenhall - hasn't won anything yet, Charlie Strong - bum, Tom Herman - didn't win anything, Butch Jones - bum.
Obviously I'm not going to count Kiffin coming from FAU because he had 2 P5 jobs before that.