forums

The CFP Committee will be fully exposed as frauds Tuesday night

Utah is done, they are +650 to make the playoff now. Going by the odds we are similar to vandy which makes me think we will stay at 13 and get jumped by vandy based on the fact we do have a punchers chance for ACC ship now.

Regardless in the at large conversation we need OU or bama to lose and I think vandy losing to Tennessee and BYU losing B12 ship will take care of itself
 
Advertisement
Canesbro31 said:
Utah is done, they are +650 to make the playoff now. Going by the odds we are similar to vandy which makes me think we will stay at 13 and get jumped by vandy based on the fact we do have a punchers chance for ACC ship now.

Regardless in the at large conversation we need OU or bama to lose and I think vandy losing to Tennessee and BYU losing B12 ship will take care of itself
Click to expand...
Can you link the odds? Not questioning it just want to see where all the teams stand.
 
CanesDynasty said:
When comparing Oklahoma's resume with ND, it's not even close. And with USC losing by 20 yesterday, Notre Dame's best win is now a fringe top 25 team.
Click to expand...

Same when comparings ours to ND. We have 3 ranked wins to there one. We obviously have the H2H. Notre Dames 9 wins, let's include the 10th against Stanford are against opponents with a 49-60 combined record. If we beat Pitt, our 10 wins will be against opponents with a combined record of 55-46.
 

Attachments

  • IMG_0698.jpeg
    IMG_0698.jpeg
    219.8 KB · Views: 0
aleahy said:
I don’t think the first 11 change. Miami to 12, Vandy to 13, Utah to 14. They will wait to see how next weekend goes.
Click to expand...

Again, they will be exposed if we are in the last quadrant and not ranked ahead of ND. The chairman just said last week they will only look at H2H if we are in the same pool as ND. So if they put us in the last quadrant, we would need to be #10 with Bama #9, ND #11, and BYU #12.
 
Advertisement
dycane said:
There is a ton of Marcus Freeman hype and propaganda circulating on the networks, too, if you pay attention. The TV execs want ND. Go Tigers (LSU or Auburn, I don’t care).
Click to expand...

Not enough. Miami has to be #10 to get in. Need both to lose if we don't get ranked ahead of ND based on H2H or we need to get in and win the ACC.
 
They’re going to switch narratives and use certain metrics depending on the week we know this ..

One thing I think that can help and justify jumping Utah is if SMU is ranked next week+ the eye test of Utah vs K state .

I think although we didn’t get the losses we wanted this week .. GT losing was huge in overall landscape and 3 teams 20-25 lost.

SMU & PITT should be ranked imo .. as well as JMU.. all 3 of these 3 things could be good for us .. strengthening our losses and giving us a golden opportunity to destroy a ranked Pitt leaving a lasting impression the committee strengthening our resume & strengthening G5 over ACC champ

18. Virginia
19. USC
20. Tulane
21. GT
22. ASU
23. Pitt
24. JMU
25. SMU

Mizzou , Houston, Illinois out.

If we are 12.. and destroy a 23 ranked Pitt (45-7 type).. the ND h2h becomes a real thing

.. BYU has to beat TT to get in imo they will
Be punsihed for losing their conference champ.. and/or struggling vs UCF..

If we squeak by Pitt (when nd whooped them) then I think we going to need help a Bama L, Oregon L, Ole MIss L, Oklahoma L, Georgia L to GT.. need 1 or 2 of those to happen assuming no ACC champ game

We gotta finish , I think that’s part of it .. our history in November . if we lose it will justify their ranking all along. they will continue to ignore the ND h2h until we actually finish the season 10-2 .. Let’s get this W ! And let the football gawds work
 
A couple of things. One I don’t think the committee has defined what these groups/pools/quadrants are. Ie., is it 1-4, 5-9 or 1-3,4-6, 1-4, 5-7,8&9….whatever. You’re just buying into the narrative. We could be ranked 1 behind ND and they could say we’re in different groups. They’ve tipped their hands that ND is getting in unless Stanford beats them. Second, we need someone else to drop, but even that isn’t a sure thing because if Bama drops a 3rd and Texas beats #3 they’ll push Texas ahead of us in a heartbeat. Our only real chance is to get lucky, back into the ACCCG and win it.

Regardless they knew all of this coming in. They gladly ate up the media attention during the 3 week bye period/FSU game and then came out and laid an egg against Louisville and then played like **** against Stanford and even more embarrassingly got beat by a glorified G5 SMU team. I’m glad they started playing better because I’m told they’re not doing much different as far as play calling.

Our chance to get in goes through Charlotte. Otherwise they need to do what they can to get to 11 wins and just push the we got cheated narrative in the offseason. I’d also drop the ND game and any other OOC that isn’t a guaranteed 40 point win.
 
NC_Canes_11 said:
We’re not jumping BYU if they go 11-1. They’re SMU last year. TT would have to beat them by 40 for the committee to put us in their spot.
Click to expand...
SMU didn’t get destroyed in the regular season by Clemson last year … think that’s a distinct difference.
 
STG said:
If we are in the last quadrant come Tuesday night, we should not be 12th as we would be in the same pool as Notre Dame and H2H would have to be factored in per the committee chairman, meaning Notre Dame would need to be below us and if we win next week, they would be out.
Click to expand...
They will move the goal posts before putting us ahead of ND
 
Advertisement
Canesrule230 said:
ND at -2000 seems insane to me. Basically admitting that the powers that be will make sure ND get in no matter the h2h loss. This sport is so corrupt.
Click to expand...
They've already done that. ND and Miami are not in the same bucket of teams the committee discusses. Its possible that they end up in the same bucket should a lot of stuff happen - examples: Ole Miss losing the Egg Bowl, becoming a 2 loss team and losing Kiffin to LSU changes their math; Lance Leipold and Scott Frost get bowl eligible; Auburn wins the Iron Bowl, Vols beat the Commies, among other meltdown scenarios around CFB. tldr looking for more 2 and 3 loss teams ahead of us.
 
After ND put up 70 yesterday, regardless of how bad the Cuse QB was, and their schools brand name there is no way at this point they remove them from the playoff bracket. We are all kidding ourselves here thinking that they will regardless of where they rank us.
It would take a loss to Stanford to make that happen and although I think Stanford has the potential with their style to keep it somewhat close, I just don't see how they get within 20 of ND by the end of the game.
Our best hope is to obviously beat Pitt and hope things fall into line for us in the ACC and we sneak back into the title game and win our spot in the bracket. Otherwise, we are going to be ****ed on that final week when we are the first team left out in the bracket.
Hope I am wrong but I'm not going to get hopeful just to be punched in the gut.
 
BoxingRobes said:
They've already done that. ND and Miami are not in the same bucket of teams the committee discusses. Its possible that they end up in the same bucket should a lot of stuff happen - examples: Ole Miss losing the Egg Bowl, becoming a 2 loss team and losing Kiffin to LSU changes their math; Lance Leipold and Scott Frost get bowl eligible; Auburn wins the Iron Bowl, Vols beat the Commies, among other meltdown scenarios around CFB. tldr looking for more 2 and 3 loss teams ahead of us.
Click to expand...
I almost doubt they move Ole Miss out even if they do lose the Egg Bowl. Unless they move Vandy into that spot if they beat UT.
 
TheNation305 said:
SMU didn’t get destroyed in the regular season by Clemson last year … think that’s a distinct difference.
Click to expand...

Yea, losing by 3+ scores should be weighted way more heavily as a negative. I mean, comparing a team that lost two games, one by 3 and another in OT, to a team that got blown out should be seen as equal.

I know they said they don't punish teams for making a conference championship game but if they lose to Texas Tech again by multiple scores then they should be out of the conversation.
 
Back
Top