The more I see the more I think our Run offense will actually succeed quite well and we will force them into run blitzes and they will be very susceptible to play action shots.
Regarding their great 3rd down defense. Their average 3rd down distance is something like 8 yards while for our defense it's like 6.5... so sure their defense stops 3rd downs at a marginally higher rate than ours, but they are in much more pure rush situations when doing so which plays into their strength as a Defense. Cause as you point out they aren't REALLY a great run defense team.