CaneBear0207
Junior
- Joined
- Apr 11, 2021
- Messages
- 2,492
Everyone on this board can tell you the 10-win seasons we've had since 2003. But something Gabby & Lake said the other day on the ITU podcast made me think about 2- and 3-season spans. So, I looked at the numbers.
Everyone knows that 2003 was the last of a 4-year stretch of 10+ wins per season. Combining 2003 and 2004, Coach Coker's teams won 19 games. UM has not won 19 games over 2 seasons since 2004. Coker won 18 between 2004 and 2005. The only other time since 2005 when we've had 2 years with 18 wins was 2016-2017, when Coach Richt won 8 games and then 10. The 2017-2018 span saw 17 wins. The only other 2-year span with 17 wins has been the last 2 years, 2023-2024 with Coach Cristobal. In the transition from Coker to Shannon (2006-2007), the team won 11 games, reflecting the woes @DMoney has been writing about in his recruiting retrospectives.
It gets really sad if we look at 3-year spans. In the first 3 years of the Coker era (2001-2003), the Canes won 34 games. That's dominant. If you look at 2002-2004, Miami won 31 games. We obviously have not had a 3-year span of 30 wins since 2004. Aside from the 2003-2005 span (28 wins), the best 3-year span we've had was the Golden-to-Richt transition, 2015-2017, when we won 26 games. In other words, we've not averaged 9 wins over 3 years since 2005. In Richt's 3 years as head coach (2016-2018), UM won 25 games. Over Coker's last 3 years (2004-2006), he won 24 games, which was unacceptable at the time. But Richt was the only coach whose teams averaged 8 wins per season since Coker was fired.
Here's a hope shot (I hope). Say we go under 9.5 and win 9 games this year. That would give us a 2-year span with 19 wins and a 3-year run with 26. That would be slightly better than the Richt years and, we hope, would show a trajectory back to sustained winning.
Table, if this is easier to follow:
Best 2-year spans since 2004:
18 wins, twice (04-05 under Coker, 16-17 under Richt)
17 wins, twice (17-18 under Richt, 23-24 under Cristobal)
16 wins, 4 times (most recently 2015-16 (Golden to Richt))
Best 3-year spans since 2004:
26 wins (2015 under Golden, '16-'17 under Richt)
25 wins (2016-18 under Richt)
24 wins (2004-06 under Coker)
Everyone knows that 2003 was the last of a 4-year stretch of 10+ wins per season. Combining 2003 and 2004, Coach Coker's teams won 19 games. UM has not won 19 games over 2 seasons since 2004. Coker won 18 between 2004 and 2005. The only other time since 2005 when we've had 2 years with 18 wins was 2016-2017, when Coach Richt won 8 games and then 10. The 2017-2018 span saw 17 wins. The only other 2-year span with 17 wins has been the last 2 years, 2023-2024 with Coach Cristobal. In the transition from Coker to Shannon (2006-2007), the team won 11 games, reflecting the woes @DMoney has been writing about in his recruiting retrospectives.
It gets really sad if we look at 3-year spans. In the first 3 years of the Coker era (2001-2003), the Canes won 34 games. That's dominant. If you look at 2002-2004, Miami won 31 games. We obviously have not had a 3-year span of 30 wins since 2004. Aside from the 2003-2005 span (28 wins), the best 3-year span we've had was the Golden-to-Richt transition, 2015-2017, when we won 26 games. In other words, we've not averaged 9 wins over 3 years since 2005. In Richt's 3 years as head coach (2016-2018), UM won 25 games. Over Coker's last 3 years (2004-2006), he won 24 games, which was unacceptable at the time. But Richt was the only coach whose teams averaged 8 wins per season since Coker was fired.
Here's a hope shot (I hope). Say we go under 9.5 and win 9 games this year. That would give us a 2-year span with 19 wins and a 3-year run with 26. That would be slightly better than the Richt years and, we hope, would show a trajectory back to sustained winning.
Table, if this is easier to follow:
Best 2-year spans since 2004:
18 wins, twice (04-05 under Coker, 16-17 under Richt)
17 wins, twice (17-18 under Richt, 23-24 under Cristobal)
16 wins, 4 times (most recently 2015-16 (Golden to Richt))
Best 3-year spans since 2004:
26 wins (2015 under Golden, '16-'17 under Richt)
25 wins (2016-18 under Richt)
24 wins (2004-06 under Coker)
+1000
