HurricaneVision
Staff Writer
- Joined
- Nov 16, 2012
- Messages
- 943
I think we are all aware of the fact that the game was shortened, and I also think we are all aware that a Miami program should always pound a team like BCC.
With that in mind, I wanted to take a look and see how we compared on a per-play basis against BCC in comparison to other FBS schools playing FBS teams. It might surprise some (our coaches perhaps?) that there is a far greater correlation to points allowed between yards-per-play than there is for simply looking at total yards allowed. Additionally, the correlation is strengthened quite a bit more by regressing the average starting position to account for where the opposing team actually starts their possession with the ball, but given the fact we are talking about FCS vs. FBS games, that sort of analysis should not be necessary, as you would hope not many teams would be having several turnovers and big mistakes such as that.
There were 48 games between FCS and FBS teams in week one, so the data set is actually fairly large (nearly half the teams that played, played FCS programs).
It was interesting to me in the sense that Miami truly and thoroughly dominated a team that was fairly decent offensively last year, and returned many of those same players on offense.
On a per rush basis, Miami ranked 10th of all teams against their FCS opponent. 5th out of the 23 BCS teams who played an FCS team. (1.51 YPC). Rutgers was first at -0.13 YPC. This was in the 78th percentile of all teams against the run.
On a yards per pass basis, Miami ranked 2nd of all teams against their FCS opponent. They were also 2nd among BCS teams who played an FCS team. (2.36 YPA) West Virginia was 1st at 2.23 YPA, but played a triple option team. This was in the 96th percentile of all teams against the pass.
On a total yards per play basis, Miami ranked 3rd of all teams. They were 2nd among BCS teams who played an FCS team. (1.72 YPP). New Mexico was 1st and destroyed a very, very bad FCS team at 1.32 YPP. Syracuse was the top BCS team with an impressive 1.60 YPP. Miami ranked in the 94th percentile on yards per play run.
There is a long way to go, and I won't be fooled again is a song that keeps playing in my head, but for one week at least, Miami's defense truly was dominant. You hear quite a bit about D'Onofrio- and rightly so- but the real worry is the offense. Playing against an undermanned defense replacing nine starters, Miami was mediocre in all facets offensively on a per-play basis. If we want to actually be a good team this year, we need to make massive strides offensively and become a lot more efficient with our plays on offense. I mentioned earlier that yards-per-play correlates well with scoring points, well that counts for the offensive side of our team as well, and right now we are not even close to where we need to be and Coley has to take some of that blame.
With that in mind, I wanted to take a look and see how we compared on a per-play basis against BCC in comparison to other FBS schools playing FBS teams. It might surprise some (our coaches perhaps?) that there is a far greater correlation to points allowed between yards-per-play than there is for simply looking at total yards allowed. Additionally, the correlation is strengthened quite a bit more by regressing the average starting position to account for where the opposing team actually starts their possession with the ball, but given the fact we are talking about FCS vs. FBS games, that sort of analysis should not be necessary, as you would hope not many teams would be having several turnovers and big mistakes such as that.
There were 48 games between FCS and FBS teams in week one, so the data set is actually fairly large (nearly half the teams that played, played FCS programs).
It was interesting to me in the sense that Miami truly and thoroughly dominated a team that was fairly decent offensively last year, and returned many of those same players on offense.
On a per rush basis, Miami ranked 10th of all teams against their FCS opponent. 5th out of the 23 BCS teams who played an FCS team. (1.51 YPC). Rutgers was first at -0.13 YPC. This was in the 78th percentile of all teams against the run.
On a yards per pass basis, Miami ranked 2nd of all teams against their FCS opponent. They were also 2nd among BCS teams who played an FCS team. (2.36 YPA) West Virginia was 1st at 2.23 YPA, but played a triple option team. This was in the 96th percentile of all teams against the pass.
On a total yards per play basis, Miami ranked 3rd of all teams. They were 2nd among BCS teams who played an FCS team. (1.72 YPP). New Mexico was 1st and destroyed a very, very bad FCS team at 1.32 YPP. Syracuse was the top BCS team with an impressive 1.60 YPP. Miami ranked in the 94th percentile on yards per play run.
There is a long way to go, and I won't be fooled again is a song that keeps playing in my head, but for one week at least, Miami's defense truly was dominant. You hear quite a bit about D'Onofrio- and rightly so- but the real worry is the offense. Playing against an undermanned defense replacing nine starters, Miami was mediocre in all facets offensively on a per-play basis. If we want to actually be a good team this year, we need to make massive strides offensively and become a lot more efficient with our plays on offense. I mentioned earlier that yards-per-play correlates well with scoring points, well that counts for the offensive side of our team as well, and right now we are not even close to where we need to be and Coley has to take some of that blame.
