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Stanford @ Miami -29.5

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OrangeBowlMagic said:
Miami's team total is 38. Would be pretty concerning to only score 28 points in this game.

If I've learned anything watching college football for 30+ years, its that you really can't carry any assumptions from one game to the next, but still, the offense has sputtered at times this year, and if we end the game with 28 against this team, we're in some for serious stress the next 5 weeks.

I expect Miami to move the ball very well and also get points from short fields after the Stanford offense does next to nothing. If we're getting the ball at the 40 or in plus territory all night and only score 28 points....yikes.
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we average in the mid 20 points a game in p4 play so far this year. we disappear offensively for quarters at a time in a game.

this team cannot score at will. the run game has been schemed around so unless we see some wholesale changes in their play calling, play design, i dont see us truly breaking a game open in that way the rest of the way. even w beck balling against FSU, we still didnt break 28 after the third quarter. we just are what we are. we are a very good team overall that can win, but offensively, we are in trouble and thats hoping beck doesnt have confidence issues.
 
I really don’t care about covering. The ideal scenario is a comfy win where the starting DL and keionte Scott doesn’t play the fourth quarter. SMU will be an exhausting game for them regardless due to the pace and side to side motion. Plus Scott will be dealing with Maryland who’s very good
 
hoops156 said:
we average in the mid 20 points a game in p4 play so far this year. we disappear offensively for quarters at a time in a game.

this team cannot score at will. the run game has been schemed around so unless we see some wholesale changes in their play calling, play design, i dont see us truly breaking a game open in that way the rest of the way. even w beck balling against FSU, we still didnt break 28 after the third quarter. we just are what we are. we are a very good team overall that can win, but offensively, we are in trouble and thats hoping beck doesnt have confidence issues.
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Not disagreeing with you, but FSU at home at night playing as hard as they possibly can isn't exactly Stanford. I wouldn't be saying what I'm saying if we were playing FSU, or SMU, or even Pitt. But it's Stanford, and we're a 30 point favorite, and the line shot up from 27 when it was released.

Miami's first 4 drives against USF were:

75 yard TD drive
85 yard TD drive
3 and out
75 yard TD drive

So it's not like it's unheard of here.

Again, not disagreeing with you. I've watched the games too. I'm just saying, this should be the definition of a "get right" game. I'm not saying 700 yards and 60 points, but we should be really good on offense Saturday night. And if we're not, I'm not saying we won't win another game or anything, but it's going to have me even more concerned for the rest of the season than I am today.
 
armandose23 said:
Is it sac-religious to bet your team to win but that Stanford will cover? I’m not a huge bettor and am crazy superstitious but am not allergic to free money either.
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For some odd reason on FanDuel it makes your bet worse to add Miami ML

Stanford +30.5 -115
Stanford +30.5, Miami ML -121
 
hoops156 said:
we average in the mid 20 points a game in p4 play so far this year. we disappear offensively for quarters at a time in a game.

this team cannot score at will. the run game has been schemed around so unless we see some wholesale changes in their play calling, play design, i dont see us truly breaking a game open in that way the rest of the way. even w beck balling against FSU, we still didnt break 28 after the third quarter. we just are what we are. we are a very good team overall that can win, but offensively, we are in trouble and thats hoping beck doesnt have confidence issues.
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Not all P4 teams are created the same.
 
hoops156 said:
we average in the mid 20 points a game in p4 play so far this year. we disappear offensively for quarters at a time in a game.

this team cannot score at will. the run game has been schemed around so unless we see some wholesale changes in their play calling, play design, i dont see us truly breaking a game open in that way the rest of the way. even w beck balling against FSU, we still didnt break 28 after the third quarter. we just are what we are. we are a very good team overall that can win, but offensively, we are in trouble and thats hoping beck doesnt have confidence issues.
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Saying P4 so we can deliberately remove USF is a bit disingenuous. The beat UF and are better than most p4 teams. Probably the G5 playoff team. USF would likely be 17-18 point fav over Stanford.
 
Reyrey said:
Saying P4 so we can deliberately remove USF is a bit disingenuous. The beat UF and are better than most p4 teams. Probably the G5 playoff team. USF would likely be 17-18 point fav over Stanford.
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ok so the only teams we beat by 30+ in the last 2 years is USF i believe. if thats the case, then thats literally one team (the same team) that we beat by over 30 in p4 plus USF by 30.

we arent covering this spread. im taking stanford to cover only because we are going to turtle once we go up enough and call off the dogs and get out healthy.

the big one is SMU. they are going to repeat what louisville did to us. lets see if we handle it a lot better plus the added motivation of former canes on their roster ready to put one on us and their homecoming.
 
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hoops156 said:
ok so the only teams we beat by 30+ in the last 2 years is USF i believe. if thats the case, then thats literally one team (the same team) that we beat by over 30 in p4 plus USF by 30.

we arent covering this spread. im taking stanford to cover only because we are going to turtle once we go up enough and call off the dogs and get out healthy.

the big one is SMU. they are going to repeat what louisville did to us. lets see if we handle it a lot better plus the added motivation of former canes on their roster ready to put one on us and their homecoming.
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I’m just saying. I think you’re very Miami focused and swayed by last week. Stanford is that bad and has some serious injuries. Add in the travel. If usf is favored by nearly 3 scores, it’s safe to understand why we would favored by 4
 
This game may be one of the most important games of the season. It's a chance to get right and, if they do, I think it can reset this team. Both the coaches and players can use this.

If this is one score or close at halftime then I think this season may go south. Halfway point in the season, this is when you regroup and refine what makes you good. Cristobal teams have not done that so far. After the GT loss last year our game against Wake was 20-14 in the 4th quarter. And Wake had the ball in the redzone in the 3rd and couldn't get any points.

The reason that Louisville game was so tough was because we thought this team was built different. If they're not...man...that's just tough to swallow.
 
Reyrey said:
I’m just saying. I think you’re very Miami focused and swayed by last week. Stanford is that bad and has some serious injuries. Add in the travel. If usf is favored by nearly 3 scores, it’s safe to understand why we would favored by 4
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okay and im taking stanford to cover bc of what weve seen basically every game this year.

were going to win easily and go up big but play kill the clock and get everyone out healthy esp the DL.

with mesidor banged up and bain looking gassed, its an important game to just go up 2-3 scores and play keep away and ball control. thats my guess in how our coaching staff looks at it.
 
hurricaneman said:
This game may be one of the most important games of the season. It's a chance to get right and, if they do, I think it can reset this team. Both the coaches and players can use this.

If this is one score or close at halftime then I think this season may go south. Halfway point in the season, this is when you regroup and refine what makes you good. Cristobal teams have not done that so far.

The reason that Louisville game was so tough was because we thought this team was built different. If they're not...man...that's just tough to swallow.
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the reason the Lville game was so tough is bc we saw that this staff cannot out coach anyone again. we showed up unprepared, out coached, and out schemed. it was a repeat of what we routinely see from mario teams against better coaches. sometimes talent wins out (almost did this time) and we have a lot of it which is credit to marios roster building, but we lack the x and o to go out and out coach a team.
 
Watch for Broball. Mario will want to confirm his style works so he can do it again next week when we will be on high upset alert. He’d rather lose by 3 than chance a more open offense and put them away. It’s too risky!! 🤣
 
hoops156 said:
ok so the only teams we beat by 30+ in the last 2 years is USF i believe. if thats the case, then thats literally one team (the same team) that we beat by over 30 in p4 plus USF by 30.

we arent covering this spread. im taking stanford to cover only because we are going to turtle once we go up enough and call off the dogs and get out healthy.

the big one is SMU. they are going to repeat what louisville did to us. lets see if we handle it a lot better plus the added motivation of former canes on their roster ready to put one on us and their homecoming.
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Difference is SMU does not have L'villes defense, and to be quite frank, who gives a **** about transfers and their "motivation". We saw how much "motivation" mattered last week with Beck vs L'ville. None of that matters once the ball is snapped.
The knee-jerk overreaction by a good many on this board is almost laughable. SMU is the same SMU they were before we stumbled, and they present the same issues they did before we lost. There is no super-secret blueprint now on how to beat Miami, if we have 4(5) TO's we'll likely lose.
This board and a lot of the media act like Miami got boat raced last Friday.
 
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One9 said:
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Brace Yourself Here We Go GIF by MOODMAN
 
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