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So tonight is just about if we jump Utah?

CDWright40 said:
I started a thread a few days ago called prepare to be disappointed and this is another thread with a bunch of back and forth optimistic/ pessimistic posts and what if scenarios.

The bottom line is this. There are 12 playoff spots. The following teams are ahead of us as of right now (in no particular order)
1- Ohio state - they could lose to Michigan and it would not matter we are not passing them.
2- Indiana- they could lose this weekend and it does not matter we are not passing them.
3-aTm - they can lose to Texas and it does not matter we are not passing them.
4- Texas Tech- they could lose a game and we still will not pass them.
5- UGA- they could lose to Gtech and still we would not pass them.
6- Oklahoma. If they win this weekend we can not pass them.
7-Notre Dame- they beat Stanford they are in
8- ole ****- win the egg bowl and they are in
9- bama- beat Auburn and they are in.
10-Oregon after beating USCw I think they are ahead of us even if they lose to Washington but if they beat Washington they obviously are in.
11- group of 5 team- right now it’s Tulane but it doesn’t matter this is not a spot we can take.

And most importantly
12- ACC champ. Right now it’s wide open but we would need a few things to fall our way. Very likely the winner of SMU vs UVA.

So while we wast a bunch of time talking about Vandy, BYU, Utah and Miami we lose sight of the fact that the order of the playoff teams is undecided but the field is likely already set.
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If Texas Tech loses to 4-7 West Virginia, they will probably drop below Miami and they should. Of course the chances of that are slim.
 
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I don't get the love for BYU. I watched part of their game last weekend and they looked VERY blah. They are going to get rolled by anyone with a pulse.
 
ThomasM said:
I don't get the love for BYU. I watched part of their game last weekend and they looked VERY blah. They are going to get rolled by anyone with a pulse.
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they are helping the committee by being a buffer between us and ND when in reality they wont make it
 
Vandy ain’t beating Tennessee and Miami ain’t getting in. Committee has their minds made up on Miami.
 
407cane said:
they are helping the committee by being a buffer between us and ND when in reality they wont make it
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Absolutely. That is all it is.

My biggest concern at this point is us getting an absolute F job this weekend by the ACC refs.
 
I could see them trying to give ND credit for pitt being now ranked

and then we'd get no credit because wont be ranked after we beat them
 
Da Jumbo Mutombo said:
I think it would be them reshuffling. Would prolly look like this

9 - Bama
10 - Miami
11 - ND
12 - BYU

But yea, ND and BYU would be furious.
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We aren’t jumping ND this week. They will wait until next week to do it IF we beat Pitt.

And TECHNICALLY the committee COULD keep ND ahead of Bama, and then it sets up perfectly even if Bama beat Auburn. Cause they’d be ranked behind ND and outside the SEC champ game. So if they lose they are out (without them dropping down) and if they win they’re in over nd. That’s ideal scenario for us imo. I doubt it happens though, more likely is what you say with Bama above both us.

I will say if Miss St can beat Ole Miss, that’d be great cause they’d would clearly be eliminated from the Playoffs especially with Lane likely departing (and likely not even coaching ole Miss that game). Next/tied is obviously Bama OR Oklahoma losing. Oregon losing is great but I genuinely don’t think they lose the playoff spot regardless - even if they should cause technically they don’t even have a better resume than ND tbh…
 
What is more likely:

Cal beating SMU or VT beating UVA or Wake beating Duke

Or

Bama losing to Auburn and/or Ole Miss losing to Miss St and/or Oregon losing to Washington

I genuinely think Miami has pretty darn good odds to make the ACCCG. I would put a trip to the ACCCG at 30% and an at large bid at 10%. The ACC is always going to generate upsets. Hopefully, it's the ones we want.
 
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hurricaneman said:
What is more likely:

Cal beating SMU or VT beating UVA or Wake beating Duke

Or

Bama losing to Auburn and/or Ole Miss losing to Miss St and/or Oregon losing to Washington

I genuinely think Miami has pretty darn good odds to make the ACCCG. I would put a trip to the ACCCG at 30% and an at large bid at 10%. The ACC is always going to generate upsets. Hopefully, it's the ones we want.
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Exactly
 
The committee doesn’t want to deal with the ramifications of the Miami/Nd head to head. Their do whatever they can to kick that can down the road to next week. Trust me, they are begging and praying that we blow it to Pitt. If we beat Pitt, it will be very tough for them to put ND over us. Utah and BYU aren’t concerns. BYU isn’t beating Texas tech in the rematch. Utah doesn’t have any good wins. Vandy probably loses in Neyland this week.

For our at large, best case scenario are LSU and Auburn wins. Would drop OU and Bama behind us.
 
Is the committee punishing teams for conference title game losses? Meaning, if UGA loses to GT and then loses the SECCG, would they be out at 10-3?
 
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FL Cane said:
The committee doesn’t want to deal with the ramifications of the Miami/Nd head to head. Their do whatever they can to kick that can down the road to next week. Trust me, they are begging and praying that we blow it to Pitt. If we beat Pitt, it will be very tough for them to put ND over us. Utah and BYU aren’t concerns. BYU isn’t beating Texas tech in the rematch. Utah doesn’t have any good wins. Vandy probably loses in Neyland this week.

For our at large, best case scenario are LSU and Auburn wins. Would drop OU and Bama behind us.
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Miss St will also have a chance to knock out Ole ****. That team is dealing with a massive distraction and is facing a road rivalry against a team trying to get to 6 wins to get a bowl trip. Miss St will be highly motivated to ruin their season.
 
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