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Max Olson does a retrospective analysis of the recruiting rankings 4 years after the class was signed. It is fascinating to see which teams developed their players, who were busts, what the attrition rate was.
Georgia was the No. 1 class in 2018 and 4 years later remains No. 1, hence their national title. Cincinnati was ranked 49 at the time their class was signed up, but shoots up to No. 4 in the re-ranking. Alabama's 2018 class had a 48% attrition rate. Wow.
Miami? Initially we were ranked 8th. In the re-ranking? 21.
Class rank in 2018: 8th
Four-year record: 28-21
Attrition: 48%
Top signees: DE Gregory Rousseau, TE Brevin Jordan, OL DJ Scaife Jr., DT Nesta Jade Silvera, TE Will Mallory
Miami was coming off a massive 10-win season under Mark Richt when this group signed. The Canes had only signed one other top-10 class in the past decade. So this group, assembled in a moment of real momentum, was a big deal and faced big expectations. Four years later, the results have been a bit disappointing.
Richt and Manny Diaz found and developed more than a dozen future starters in this class, which is a real positive. But this class didn’t yield the kind of star power you’d hope for beyond Rousseau, a first-round draft pick, and Jordan, an All-ACC performer and fourth-rounder. Their top signee, five-star running back Lorenzo Lingard, transferred to Florida after two seasons. Quarterback Jarren Williams was a big get and started 10 games, but he also left after his second year and is now on his fourth school. Diaz made up for the attrition in a few spots with portal recruiting.
But the expectations for a class like this were far greater than just one top-25 finish in four years.
It's a good read
theathletic.com
Georgia was the No. 1 class in 2018 and 4 years later remains No. 1, hence their national title. Cincinnati was ranked 49 at the time their class was signed up, but shoots up to No. 4 in the re-ranking. Alabama's 2018 class had a 48% attrition rate. Wow.
Miami? Initially we were ranked 8th. In the re-ranking? 21.
21. Miami
Adjusted average: 2.56Class rank in 2018: 8th
Four-year record: 28-21
Attrition: 48%
Top signees: DE Gregory Rousseau, TE Brevin Jordan, OL DJ Scaife Jr., DT Nesta Jade Silvera, TE Will Mallory
Miami was coming off a massive 10-win season under Mark Richt when this group signed. The Canes had only signed one other top-10 class in the past decade. So this group, assembled in a moment of real momentum, was a big deal and faced big expectations. Four years later, the results have been a bit disappointing.
Richt and Manny Diaz found and developed more than a dozen future starters in this class, which is a real positive. But this class didn’t yield the kind of star power you’d hope for beyond Rousseau, a first-round draft pick, and Jordan, an All-ACC performer and fourth-rounder. Their top signee, five-star running back Lorenzo Lingard, transferred to Florida after two seasons. Quarterback Jarren Williams was a big get and started 10 games, but he also left after his second year and is now on his fourth school. Diaz made up for the attrition in a few spots with portal recruiting.
But the expectations for a class like this were far greater than just one top-25 finish in four years.
It's a good read

Recruiting revisited: Ranking the top 25 in college football’s Class of 2018, four years later — the hits, misses and more
Georgia delivers, Cincinnati lays its foundation, and Buffalo rises more than 100 spots in Year 5 of our annual evaluations.
