Question for Dmoney regarding Lofton.

[sstcane]

I'll split the difference and say 7.5 carries.

In 12 games, that's 90 carries and 60 catches. I'll go on record now and say he doesn't get 150 touches this season.

Damien Martinez led the team last year with 176 scrimmage touches. Fletcher had 122. (And this is in 13 games). I don't see Lofton getting to 150 this year, not with Fletcher and Lyle (and Pringle?) also in the backfield.

I think somewhere in the neighborhood of 100 touches is probably best case.

Remember, as involved as Arroyo was last year, he only caught 31 passes in the regular season. So if you say Lofton just slides in directly for Arroyo and it's a 1 for 1 swap, he's going from Arroyo's 31 catches to 60? And you're gonna tack 7.5 carries a game on top of that? No way.

We also had Restrepo, George, Horton, and Browns catches to split up. If Arroyo was playing this year I bet he would get 60+ catches.

 

[OrangeBowlMagic]

We also had Restrepo, George, Horton, and Browns catches to split up. If Arroyo was playing this year I bet he would get 60+ catches.

Eh. I said earlier I expect the overall pass-catching group to slide back some. But you have to replace production. Trader, Carr, Ray Ray, the LSU kid, the freshmen....all these dudes will catch a lot of passes this year. I'm sure Arroyo would have a much better statistical season this year if he were to have come back, but he'd also be entering this season as a very proven entity. Lofton doesn't have that status yet.

I do think there is some validity though to the point that, if Lofton really is this good, feed his *** because it's not like we have a billion catches and yards of production coming back. We lost our leading rusher and top 5 pass-catchers.