I really think that too many on this board think we will get a fair shake and have a shot at making the playoff. It’s not happening. If we were getting in we would be better positioned right now. Our quality points have happened. The committee has spoken loud and clearly that they do not want Miami in. They do this buy creating this fictitious 3 team gap where you can not compare teams outside that and then move the goal posts with regularity. They also manipulate the back end of the rankings to bolster resumes. Convenient how Pitt pops into the top 25 just before they play ND to give them a ranked win, or how Arizona state pops in to help the big 12 resumes.
Saw this on Twitter and wanted to share. Excellent breakdown.
Here’s how the rankings are manipulated with teams like Tennessee and Missouri.
Alabama is #10
BYU is #11
Miami is #13
“Alabama has to stay ranked high because of their FOUR ranked wins!”
Half of Alabama’s ranked wins are Tennessee and Missouri. Those two teams are a combined 0-6 vs. ranked opponents and have beaten ZERO bowl eligible teams.
Let’s simply replace Tennessee with a team like 7-3 Louisville (who beat #13 Miami, Pitt, and James Madison), and replace Missouri with a team like 7-3 Arizona (who just beat #25 Cincinnati on the road last week).
If you make those two little changes, Alabama suddenly now has just 2 ranked wins.
With Arizona ranked, BYU now also has two ranked wins. With Louisville ranked, Miami’s loss to them is no longer to a “horrible unranked team!”
So now you’d have:
8-2 Alabama with 2 ranked wins
9-1 BYU with 2 ranked wins
8-2 Miami with a Top 10 win over Notre Dame
BYU clearly jumps Alabama (should already be ahead of some Top 10 teams)
Then what you’d have to take into consideration is that Miami beat Florida State, while Alabama lost to Florida State by 14. Miami likely jumps Alabama too.
With just a small change to #20 and #22, taking out Tennessee and Missouri (who have ZERO wins over bowl eligible teams), and replacing them with Louisville and Arizona (who have FIVE wins over bowl eligible teams), the resumes and CFP cases of teams ranked #10-#13 change drastically.