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Prepare for disappointment

CDWright40

CDWright40

@jbcanes-nc is *** for Zelenskyy.
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I really think that too many on this board think we will get a fair shake and have a shot at making the playoff. It’s not happening. If we were getting in we would be better positioned right now. Our quality points have happened. The committee has spoken loud and clearly that they do not want Miami in. They do this buy creating this fictitious 3 team gap where you can not compare teams outside that and then move the goal posts with regularity. They also manipulate the back end of the rankings to bolster resumes. Convenient how Pitt pops into the top 25 just before they play ND to give them a ranked win, or how Arizona state pops in to help the big 12 resumes.

Saw this on Twitter and wanted to share. Excellent breakdown.

Here’s how the rankings are manipulated with teams like Tennessee and Missouri.

Alabama is #10
BYU is #11
Miami is #13

“Alabama has to stay ranked high because of their FOUR ranked wins!”

Half of Alabama’s ranked wins are Tennessee and Missouri. Those two teams are a combined 0-6 vs. ranked opponents and have beaten ZERO bowl eligible teams.

Let’s simply replace Tennessee with a team like 7-3 Louisville (who beat #13 Miami, Pitt, and James Madison), and replace Missouri with a team like 7-3 Arizona (who just beat #25 Cincinnati on the road last week).

If you make those two little changes, Alabama suddenly now has just 2 ranked wins.

With Arizona ranked, BYU now also has two ranked wins. With Louisville ranked, Miami’s loss to them is no longer to a “horrible unranked team!”

So now you’d have:
8-2 Alabama with 2 ranked wins
9-1 BYU with 2 ranked wins
8-2 Miami with a Top 10 win over Notre Dame

BYU clearly jumps Alabama (should already be ahead of some Top 10 teams)

Then what you’d have to take into consideration is that Miami beat Florida State, while Alabama lost to Florida State by 14. Miami likely jumps Alabama too.

With just a small change to #20 and #22, taking out Tennessee and Missouri (who have ZERO wins over bowl eligible teams), and replacing them with Louisville and Arizona (who have FIVE wins over bowl eligible teams), the resumes and CFP cases of teams ranked #10-#13 change drastically.
 
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Can we put Mario’s face on here? @RVACane
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Go Canes!! said:
I choose to believe if we win in dominant fashion over the next two weeks, we are in.

I have no choice
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Hopefully the players are more like you than me- I used to try to be optimistic as well. I promise I will not say I told you so when we get screwed.
 
I think if we win out, we're in.

Just remains to be seen how we'll perform on the Road @Heinz Field.

The Narduzzi has pretty much mailed in the rest of their season focusing the last 3 weeks solely on ruining Miami's playoff chances.

He wants to beat us more than anything.

That game is where we need to step up & play our best ball of the season, because if we let Pitt hang around at all, The Narduzzi will be energized with all kinds of evil mojo channeled into upsetting Miami.
 
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Memnon said:
I think if we win out, we're in.

Just remains to be seen how we'll perform on the Road @Heinz Field.

The Narduzzi has pretty much mailed in the rest of their season focusing the last 3 weeks solely on ruining Miami's playoff chances.

He wants to beat us more than anything.

That game is where we need to step up & play our best ball of the season, because if we let Pitt hang around at all, The Narduzzi will be energized with all kinds of evil mojo channeled into upsetting Miami.
Click to expand...
The Narduzzi 😆 🤣 😂
 
Have moved up 5 spots in 2 weeks and haven’t played anybody. Has Miami ranked 3 spots higher than the top team in the acc. The issue is more so they don’t want 2 acc teams in. And I agree I don’t think gt or uva are playoff teams
 
Memnon said:
I think if we win out, we're in.

Just remains to be seen how we'll perform on the Road @Heinz Field.

The Narduzzi has pretty much mailed in the rest of their season focusing the last 3 weeks solely on ruining Miami's playoff chances.

He wants to beat us more than anything.

That game is where we need to step up & play our best ball of the season, because if we let Pitt hang around at all, The Narduzzi will be energized with all kinds of evil mojo channeled into upsetting Miami.
Click to expand...
I am here as well.

I am more worried about Mario winning the games he's supposed to win than I am about the CFP committee at this point.

We have to take care of business first and foremost. I know that's an obvious cliche thing to say, but Mario has never done it in his career.
 
Memnon said:
I think if we win out, we're in.

Just remains to be seen how we'll perform on the Road @Heinz Field.

The Narduzzi has pretty much mailed in the rest of their season focusing the last 3 weeks solely on ruining Miami's playoff chances.

He wants to beat us more than anything.

That game is where we need to step up & play our best ball of the season, because if we let Pitt hang around at all, The Narduzzi will be energized with all kinds of evil mojo channeled into upsetting Miami.
Click to expand...

This is it right here.

I’m not so sure if we do win the last two games, even in convincing fashion, that we’re in.

But I am sure of what @Memnon is saying here regarding the Nardooz.

This self important prick has a hardon for Miami, big-time.

This is his ******* Super Bowl and he wants to **** us over like nobody’s business.

It’s personal with him, I have to admit I’m not sure where this all encompassing hatred comes from, maybe MEMNON has an idea where or how or why it started, but it’s there. And for that reason, I hate him back with a passion.
 
Memnon said:
I think if we win out, we're in.

Just remains to be seen how we'll perform on the Road @Heinz Field.

The Narduzzi has pretty much mailed in the rest of their season focusing the last 3 weeks solely on ruining Miami's playoff chances.

He wants to beat us more than anything.

That game is where we need to step up & play our best ball of the season, because if we let Pitt hang around at all, The Narduzzi will be energized with all kinds of evil mojo channeled into upsetting Miami.
Click to expand...
Now Franklin being announced this week is convenient. He's already lines up dozens of recruits to visit, including some OVs. He'll have that stadium wild at noon.

Pitt's RB was helped off the field last week. He's had an ankle injury all season. Hopefully Ga Tech loses but does some physical damage to Pitt....
 
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24 hours ago I thought we'd be screwed if it came down to us vs ND.

After the national backlash to the committee's ranking having them ahead of us, I no longer thing that is the case.

IF we win out we're probably in.

Just to be on the safe side though, Mario needs to run it up against VT for bs style points. Their roster is being torn down and their staff is being let go. There's no reason to let off the gas.

Pitt though.. smh.. I'm just gonna ignore them until the game gets here. Its the kind of game Mario would usually lose. But now that they won't be sneaking up on us, I think we win it. We'll see though..
 
CDWright40 said:
I really think that too many on this board think we will get a fair shake and have a shot at making the playoff. It’s not happening. If we were getting in we would be better positioned right now. Our quality points have happened. The committee has spoken loud and clearly that they do not want Miami in. They do this buy creating this fictitious 3 team gap where you can not compare teams outside that and then move the goal posts with regularity. They also manipulate the back end of the rankings to bolster resumes. Convenient how Pitt pops into the top 25 just before they play ND to give them a ranked win, or how Arizona state pops in to help the big 12 resumes.

Saw this on Twitter and wanted to share. Excellent breakdown.

Here’s how the rankings are manipulated with teams like Tennessee and Missouri.

Alabama is #10
BYU is #11
Miami is #13

“Alabama has to stay ranked high because of their FOUR ranked wins!”

Half of Alabama’s ranked wins are Tennessee and Missouri. Those two teams are a combined 0-6 vs. ranked opponents and have beaten ZERO bowl eligible teams.

Let’s simply replace Tennessee with a team like 7-3 Louisville (who beat #13 Miami, Pitt, and James Madison), and replace Missouri with a team like 7-3 Arizona (who just beat #25 Cincinnati on the road last week).

If you make those two little changes, Alabama suddenly now has just 2 ranked wins.

With Arizona ranked, BYU now also has two ranked wins. With Louisville ranked, Miami’s loss to them is no longer to a “horrible unranked team!”

So now you’d have:
8-2 Alabama with 2 ranked wins
9-1 BYU with 2 ranked wins
8-2 Miami with a Top 10 win over Notre Dame

BYU clearly jumps Alabama (should already be ahead of some Top 10 teams)

Then what you’d have to take into consideration is that Miami beat Florida State, while Alabama lost to Florida State by 14. Miami likely jumps Alabama too.

With just a small change to #20 and #22, taking out Tennessee and Missouri (who have ZERO wins over bowl eligible teams), and replacing them with Louisville and Arizona (who have FIVE wins over bowl eligible teams), the resumes and CFP cases of teams ranked #10-#13 change drastically.
Click to expand...
Miami has to do one thing. Win out. Yes we might get disappointed but that is out of Miami's control. Lets see what happens this weekend. Probably a few more upsets to come.
 
Three weeks remain. All Miami had to do last year is beat Syracuse. Thats it. And we didn’t. Well, all Bama has to do is beat Auburn, all BYU has to do is beat Cincy, all Vandy has to do is beat Tennessee. All GTech has to do is beat Pitt. Lots of “all they have to do is” left. That includes Miami.
 
Im emotionally prepared to be screwed over, but I can see Bama dropping the Auburn game and maybe 1 other L can help us a bit. Not worried about Va Tech but the pressure and magnitude of that final week vs Pitt will loom large. A win under those circumstances will mean almost as much for the program as a playoff berth.
 
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