Could affect schools like Bama more that stack 4-5 stars in the 3 deep, that and the portal. Of course, they’ll just probably have to increase their payroll budget to compensate, so who knows.
all true.
unless there is an injury, an elite prospect is not redshirting ...
at the very least, they will see four game action ….
if there's an injury, then you'll see redshirts ...
for OL and DL? you can expect the most redshirts as those kids need more physical development ....
but all that aside, bottom line is, if a kid can play, you play him because the world of college football has changed to a "3 year" cycle. No longer will good players, with rare exception, stay in your program for 5 years. they MAY stay in college 5 years, but at least one or two of those will be at a school other than the one they enrolled as a freshman.
you need to manage the roster like they do in major league baseball: expect a kid to be on the field for you for 2 years generally, and 3 years maximum. they either are so good they are jumping to the NFL after three years, OR, they are just "marginal" and they will leave you for somewhere else. the problem with that is, even the "average" kid can help your team. he contributes on the scout team, he's a character kid that helps the locker room, he plays on special teams or can give you snaps when there is an injury. depth and development are going to be challenges.
three other things: First, you need to continuously recruit kids on your own roster, not just the junior who is jumping to the NFL potentially, but the freshman or sophomore who is frustrated he's not getting burn. Second, it will change the high school bag game. How do you underwrite a kid's bag worth, when perhaps he bails after a year? you can't ask for the money back, and it's a risk to pay a kid like he's going to be with you for 3-4 years when the chances are he doesn't have to stay. Changes are coming there, I'm just not sure yet how it works out. Third and lastly, how does the ability of a kid to bail if he doesn't like what you sold him affect your credibility as a coaching staff and university? you BETTER be more up front with a kid because you can't hold him hostage anymore. you lie like a rug? it's going to rear it's ugly head in the portal, and kids and HS coaches and parents will notice. nothing speaks louder and clearer than a well functioning free market!