Pittsburgh Matchup

407cane

All-ACC
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I've been doing this the last few weeks to give us a statistical breakdown of how the teams are doing

interesting to see where we are statistically going into the games so some of our over-reaction/under-reactions can have some depth.

the games against Toledo and UVA will skew our defensive stats downward as the season winds down. two dominant performances in those two games and we could have been looking at top 20 across the board


all stats are against FBS teams


plays per game
Pitt: 67
Miami:61

Points Per game
Pitt:23.5 (93rd)
Miami: 32.9 (32nd)

Yards Per Play
Pitt: 5.41 (92nd) (Virginia is 110th for reference)
Miami: 6.63 (16th) <-- up from 22nd last week

Redzone Scoring
Pitt: 77.8% (99th) --> due to terrible kicker
Miami: 93.9% (10th)

Redzone TD %
Pitt: 67% (33rd)
Miami: 60% (62nd) --> was near 100 before VT so crazy improvement here and was our biggest knock

3rd down conversion %
Pitt: 32% (114th in the country)
Miami: 29.82% (122nd in the country) movin' on up (From 125th)


Rushing yards per attempt
Pitt: 3.93 (87th)
Miami: 4.87 (33rd)

Kicking
Pitt: 55.6% --> will we experience our first opponent field goal miss? probably, this guy is garbage
Miami: 83.33%

Offensive play breakdown
Pitt: 52% rushing 48% passing
Miami: 52% passing 48% rushing

Time of Possession
UVA: 31:50
Miami: 27:44

Allowed Sacks
Pitt: 2.70/game (102nd) --> YIKES
Miami: 2/game (45th)

Total Yards per game
Pitt: 371 (89th) Virginia was 98th entering last week for reference
Miami: 431 (38th -> moved up 4 spots

DEFENSE

Opponents Yards per play
Pitt: 6.3 (87th) --> uva was 5.3 for instance
Miami: 4.75 (12th) <--- was 4.4 before uva game, we were 8th

Total Defensive yards allowed per game
Pitt: 410 (90th)
Miami: 363 (37th)

Opponents completion %
Pitt: 56.66% (45th)
Miami: 52.88% (18th) --> up from 49.8%, huge skewed metric from virginia qb, we were 3rd

Opponent's 3rd down conversion %
Pitt: 42.3% (88th) (first time playing a team worse than us in this metric in a WHILE
Miami: 35.9% (39th) --> up from 58th

Tackles For Loss
Pitt: 4.6 (102nd) (1 less than UVA who was 77th entering our game)
Miami: 9.22/game (2nd to northern illinois (who must be destroying ppl)

Sacks
Pitt: 1.8 (80th) (one less sack a game than UVA who was 40th entering our game)
Miami: 4.11 (1st in the country) --> holy sh*t that is an amazing stat

Turnover Margin
Pitt: = 0.1/game (62nd in the country
Miami: +1.6/game (1st in the country)

Defensive Passing Efficiency
Pitt: 90th (UVA was 30th for reference)
Miami: 8th

Scoring Defense
Pitt: 28.4 (68th) (they only score 23 a game)
Miami: 18.2 (12th)


some quick points

*after looking over these things, there's no reason this should be less than a 3-4 score game. Pittsburgh doesn't execute and they are just as bad on defense as they are on offense. True freshman qb coming into a situation against the #1 TFL AND #1 sack team in the country when they are one of the worst teams in the nation in protecting the quarterback is going to be a huge factor

*their kicking game is terrible. Not even remotely good, if you look at the kicks he's made, I am shocked they couldn't have a student try out for the team and do better. If we limit them to field goals we could very well come away with stops and no points as he is one of the worst kickers in the nation

*They are among the nation's worst in TFL, Sacks, and opponent rush yard per attempt. It's going to be a field day, I would expect richt to run it down their throats and prepare for clemson


no injuries, get out of that yellow ****hole and prepare for the biggest game in YEARS (awesome that we keep saying that because we keep winning)
 
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Here's something interesting. Thursday & Friday games on the road, have been extremely unkind to ranked teams from the power 5. Starting in week 5..
#5 USC lost @ #16 Washington State
#17 Louisville lost @ [URL=https://www.canesinsight.com/usertag.php?do=list&action=hash&hash=2]#2 4[/URL] NC State
#2 Clemson lost @ Syracuse
#8 Washington State lost @ Cal
#2 0 Stanford lost @ Oregon State
#9 Washington lost @ Stanford
The last ranked power 5 team to get a road win on a Thursday or Friday? That would be then #14 Miami at Duke, in week 5!
 
Here's something interesting. Thursday & Friday games on the road, have been extremely unkind to ranked teams from the power 5. Starting in week 5..
#5 USC lost @ #16 Washington State
#17 Louisville lost @ [URL=https://www.canesinsight.com/usertag.php?do=list&action=hash&hash=2]#2 4[/URL] NC State
#2 Clemson lost @ Syracuse
#8 Washington State lost @ Cal
#2 0 Stanford lost @ Oregon State
#9 Washington lost @ Stanford
The last ranked power 5 team to get a road win on a Thursday or Friday? That would be then #14 Miami at Duke, in week 5!

Stanford didn't lose to Oregon State. the other games were all good teams the higher ranked team played against.
 
think that list of upsets was just an indication that there were way too many pac 12 teams ranked, and ranked high.

a bunch of good teams, no great team so they'll just keep knocking off each other
 
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This is different. All those games have been night games. This is at noon.

Sent from my SM-G935T using Tapatalk
 
Here's something interesting. Thursday & Friday games on the road, have been extremely unkind to ranked teams from the power 5. Starting in week 5..
#5 USC lost @ #16 Washington State
#17 Louisville lost @ [URL=https://www.canesinsight.com/usertag.php?do=list&action=hash&hash=2]#2 4[/URL] NC State
#2 Clemson lost @ Syracuse
#8 Washington State lost @ Cal
#2 0 Stanford lost @ Oregon State
#9 Washington lost @ Stanford
The last ranked power 5 team to get a road win on a Thursday or Friday? That would be then #14 Miami at Duke, in week 5!

Stanford didn't lose to Oregon State. the other games were all good teams the higher ranked team played against.

Cal is not good.
 
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