OT: Bill Connelly's FSU Preview

[bobshrum]

Willie is snake oil. Good thing the noles were fooled.

 

[Hurricane4lyfe]

I’m seeing a bare minimum of 3 loses for the holes when they play us, a max of 6 losses, with a median of 4 losses. So they’ll be anywhere between a best case of 5-3, a worst case of 2-6, and a likely case 4-4.

They won’t be 7-1.

Sorry. They suck.

I'm seeing the same thing... The holes will have 3 losses before they play us.. 4-5

 

[Hurricane4lyfe]

Did anyone not see their spring game i mean come on... Of course they're gonna throw everything at us when we head north ... It's a rivalry game.. but hit Blackmon hard and often.. And Stuff the run

 

[OriginalCanesCanesCanes]

Every game is important, and coming off the worst season in 45 years, you could make an argument that any big game is incredibly important for Willie. But it can’t be overstated how gigantic that Boise game is for them. Last year, Boise would have beat the absolute **** out of them. Winning shows progress, and might set the tone for a 9ish win season. Losing, and the noise will be deafening 1 game into the year and probably has them on the fence to make a bowl again.

I couldn’t agree more. If they lose that Boise game, to me, it’s almost a guarantee that they’ll be barely bowl eligible, if at all.

If they win it, then yes I can see them around eight games type season. I just have no idea what kind of a team Boise is going to field this year. None at all. If it was one of the old Chris Peterson Boise teams, the holes would be getting their asses handed to them.

 

[Rellyrell]

I need FSU to win 8 this yr. I need Willie to stay there as long as possible.

 

[Hurricane4lyfe]

Boise went 10-3 last season and they have a defensive player on the Lott watch list. So holes gonna have their hands full..

 

[Dy-lan]

I need FSU to win 8 this yr. I need Willie to stay there as long as possible.

I’m in this boat as well

 

[WR Cane]

**** Willie and fsux. By the 4th quarter this year, I only want Miami fans at Hard Rock North stadium. #3inarow

I promise you Hard Rock will be empty in the fourth quarter.

Noticing the north good sir.

 

[OrangeBowlMagic]

I need FSU to win 8 this yr. I need Willie to stay there as long as possible.

They won’t fire him this year pretty much no matter what. His buyout is still way more than they can afford.

 

[brcane1]

I was curious what S&P+ meant and found:

S&P+ Described

Then I found:
2019 S&P+ Projections
So if this dude is right we will lose to the gator by 10.7 points

That's almost entirely carry over from last year, and even still he has us in the top 25. His model is just very high on Florida after their strong year.

 

[SpikeUM]

There is a lot of talent on FSU still, especially on defense, but they are really thin on offense. They have two average QB's that would otherwise be acceptable but are not because of an awful OL, one good RB with little behind him, one good TE, several good but not great WR's, and the aforementioned pitiful OL. They are still going to be fired up for our game, but having a severe lack of quality depth will kill them late in game and late in the season.

 

[Rellyrell]

They won’t fire him this year pretty much no matter what. His buyout is still way more than they can afford.

I’m not so sure about that. What they can afford and what we can afford is totally different.

 

[OrangeBowlMagic]

I’m not so sure about that. What they can afford and what we can afford is totally different.

They waffled for a month over a buyout of a Houston OL coach. They don't have $18M to pay Willie Taggart to leave.

 

[Rellyrell]

They waffled for a month over a buyout of a Houston OL coach. They don't have $18M to pay Willie Taggart to leave.

I just want Willie to hover around 7-9 wins. Good enough to stay around, and bad enough to stay mediocre with no real accomplishment

 

[CaneDog66]

FSpew wins against Boise State and they could only have the 1 UVA legit loss before we play them in Tally/Hard Rock North. By this game we will obviously have known the outcome of the Floriduh game and hopefully carrying momentum into the game. As to the Semenholes season, I’m guessing Slick Willie pulls out a victory or 2 he wasn’t supposed to, especially with Briles at OC who can mask some of their deficiencies, but not all of them. Give me 7-5 for FSpew and a who cares if they win bowl game.

 

[For_The_U]

It’s very possible (likely?) that every team that Miami plays AFTER the UF game will be unranked when that team plays Miami. There are only 3 teams that have a chance at being ranked at game time: UVA, FSU and Pitt, imo.

UVA’s first 5 games (@Pitt, W&M, FSU, ODU, @IIT)
- though I’m hoping UVA can win their first 5 games, if they lose to the Independent Indiana Team then they probably won’t be ranked going into the Friday night game at Hard Rock.

Pitt’s first 7 games (UVA, OH, @PSU, UCF, DE, @Duke, @Syracuse)
- Huge IF … but Pitt has to be undefeated or only one loss to be ranked when they play Miami based upon what I see on their schedule … I don’t see them getting past PSU, UCF or Syracuse.

FSU’s first 8 games (BSU, ULM, @UVA, Louisville, NCState, @Clemson, @Wake, Syracuse)
- a 7-1 FSU will be ranked when they play Miami. And, they legitimately have a shot at that.

Miami needs to play AND BEAT ranked teams. I’m hoping it will be an undefeated UVA because it sets up the Friday night game perfectly and tests Diaz BEFORE the away Pitt and FSU games. But, if UVA can’t do it, then FSU is the last shot.

While obviously id always rather our opponents be ranked when we beat them, i disagree that we need ranked opponents this year. I said this last week, our season has 3 possible paths...

Win the Coastal and beat Clemson and we are in the playoff.

Win the Coastal and dont beat Clemson and we almost certainly aren't going to the playoff but the season is a success (as long as we are at least competitive in Charlotte).

Don't win the Coastal and this season is the Hidenburg.

This is one year where I dont think the ranking of our opponents really has any significant importance at all.