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OT: Bill Connelly's FSU Preview

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Connelly is one of the best writers in the country. I always look forward to his analysis.

He's pretty spot on here, IMO. There have only been a few books who have released very low limit RSW totals so far, but the ones I've seen have FSU at 7.5. That's a good line. He's also correct about the Boise game. That game is beyond huge for Willie and FSU. If they win, they really do have a good chance to start 5-0, and even if they fall flat after that, it can probably be quantified as some progress. But if they lose, they very well may stumble to a 6 win season, and I'd fear for Willie's personal safety.

He's also right about them being a huge wildcard. I could see FSU going 9-3 this year pretty easily if they can find 5 competent OL.

But I can also see them easily going 6-6 as well, especially if they lose to Boise. Gonna be interesting to watch what Dancin' Willie does this year.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
Connelly is one of the best writers in the country. I always look forward to his analysis.

He's pretty spot on here, IMO. There have only been a few books who have released very low limit RSW totals so far, but the ones I've seen have FSU at 7.5. That's a good line. He's also correct about the Boise game. That game is beyond huge for Willie and FSU. If they win, they really do have a good chance to start 5-0, and even if they fall flat after that, it can probably be quantified as some progress. But if they lose, they very well may stumble to a 6 win season, and I'd fear for Willie's personal safety.

He's also right about them being a huge wildcard. I could see FSU going 9-3 this year pretty easily if they can find 5 competent OL.

But I can also see them easily going 6-6 as well, especially if they lose to Boise. Gonna be interesting to watch what Dancin' Willie does this year.
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I had fsu at 7-5. They're D should be pretty good but they're weak personnel wise in many offensive areas. A couple untimely injuries here and there, Willie can easily become unemployed, but I can also see them pulling 8 or 9 wins too. Definitely a big wild card.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
He goes through the whole country usually 1 per day or every other day. No, no Miami yet. Think he's only done 3-4 ACC teams so far. Expect Miami's in the next week or so.
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He does each team within a conference based on where they finished in the S&P+ last year. And while our record sucked, we actually finished like 26th in the S&P+, and were Top 25 going into the bowl game.
So Miami will probably be the second to last team before Clemson in the previews because I don't think any other ACC school finished higher. Maybe Syracuse did, I don't remember.
 
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OriginalCanesCanesCanes said:
I promise you Hard Rock will be empty in the fourth quarter.
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Hahahaha ITS WHERE!
85695
 
Tetragrammaton Cane said:
FSU’s first 8 games (BSU, ULM, @UVA, Louisville, NCState, @Clemson, @Wake, Syracuse)
- a 7-1 FSU will be ranked when they play Miami. And, they legitimately have a shot at that.
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I’m seeing a bare minimum of 3 loses for the holes when they play us, a max of 6 losses, with a median of 4 losses. So they’ll be anywhere between a best case of 5-3, a worst case of 2-6, and a likely case 4-4.

They won’t be 7-1.

Sorry. They suck.
 
OriginalCanesCanesCanes said:
I’m seeing a bare minimum of 3 loses for the holes when they play us, a max of 6 losses, with a median of 4 losses. So they’ll be anywhere between a best case of 5-3, a worst case of 2-6, and a likely case 4-4.

They won’t be 7-1.

Sorry. They suck.
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2013 FSU might be 7-1 with that stretch, but not 2019 FSU. FSU was beyond horrible last year, and they lost a lot of talent.
 
ThomasM said:
2013 FSU might be 7-1 with that stretch, but not 2019 FSU. FSU was beyond horrible last year, and they lost a lot of talent.
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Huh?

They lost Brian Burns, Demarcus Christmas, and Jacques Patrick. Their whole team is back. Now, that doesn’t mean much when you bring back a bunch of kids from a garbage team. But they lost a lot of talent isn’t even close to true.
 
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This is not a new thought here, but if they lose their first game to Boise, that’s going to be a real big kick in the nuts for them. And could set the tone for the rest of the season.
 
OriginalCanesCanesCanes said:
This is not a new thought here, but if they lose their first game to Boise, that’s going to be a real big kick in the nuts for them. And could set the tone for the rest of the season.
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Every game is important, and coming off the worst season in 45 years, you could make an argument that any big game is incredibly important for Willie. But it can’t be overstated how gigantic that Boise game is for them. Last year, Boise would have beat the absolute **** out of them. Winning shows progress, and might set the tone for a 9ish win season. Losing, and the noise will be deafening 1 game into the year and probably has them on the fence to make a bowl again.
 
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