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*** Official Beat Joe Green Thread ***

AllAmeriCANE said:
BTW, we are 7.5 pt home dogs today? WTF? I almost never but on us but I might have to throw a unit just on GP.

F the tarheels
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I just hate the spot for the Canes. Sandwich game between Notre Dame and FSU? Played first 4 of 6 on the road, and this is what you come home to? Positives I see are that UNC is horrible on defense against BCS teams and struggled on the road, as well as coming off their own big win against VT, but with no postseason, every week is their postseason by spoiling other teams. I just have this bad feeling about Miami this week- hope they prove me wrong.
 
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WVU total open at 78 and 90%(!) of the money is on the Over and yet it's down to 76.5 now..................
 
CaneGrad05 said:
AllAmeriCANE said:
BTW, we are 7.5 pt home dogs today? WTF? I almost never but on us but I might have to throw a unit just on GP.

F the tarheels
Click to expand...

I just hate the spot for the Canes. Sandwich game between Notre Dame and FSU? Played first 4 of 6 on the road, and this is what you come home to? Positives I see are that UNC is horrible on defense against BCS teams and struggled on the road, as well as coming off their own big win against VT, but with no postseason, every week is their postseason by spoiling other teams. I just have this bad feeling about Miami this week- hope they prove me wrong.
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Brain says we cover, heart says we win outright!
 
My plays for the day:
Kent St/Army O58.5 3 units
WVU -3.5

Small parlay: .6 unit pays 14 units
Kent St/Army O58.5
UNC/Miami O68
Toledo/EMich O58
A+M/Louisiana Tech O79.5
WVU/TT O77.5
 
CaneGrad05 said:
japancane said:
I think WVU is in a letdown spot but has way too much talent for TT
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Let down spot in a sandwich game between Texas and KState. Back to back travel weeks to the state of Texas. Windy conditions? Circle game for TT? Sorry, just nothing to like about this one. I actually believe this one will stay under the total, but I'm riding the starship until it fails. Gun to head, not betting, but there's no gun to my head so riding it.
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Agree 100% but still giving it some small action. TT looked completely overmatched against an overrated OU team
 
AllAmeriCANE said:
WVU total open at 78 and 90%(!) of the money is on the Over and yet it's down to 76.5 now..................
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Same thing happened last week.... all the sharps were on the under in the Tex/WVU game, but it worked out. I'm more worried about WVU being sharp offensively. Basically the same thing as Miami overs-- the defenses are going to give up points no matter the opponent. The offense determines the cover.
 
Fade train picks CONTINUES!!! CHOO CHOOOOOO

WE GOT: Miss state -3, Oklahoma -3.5, Org st +6, n.c. -7, La tech +9, auburn +6, stanford +7, vandy +10(bh), lsu -3.....
 
Ready to roll today. Hit the town hard last night after that miracle US win over Antigua (holy ****) yet feel great. It's going to be a good day.
 
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Early Stuff

Iowa +7.5
Minny +3.5
Cuse +7
KentSt -1
UConn -5
Akron +18
Miami ML bc my system is telling me to bet UNC and I can't
 
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CaneGrad05 said:
heythisisrobbie said:
Texas +3.5 2*
LSU -2 2.5*
La Tech O76 2.5*
New Mexico -2 2*
Bama -20 1.5*
Baylor -6
Miss State -2.5
WVa -5
Purdue PK
Northwestern -3
Louisville -2.5
Miami O67
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Hate weeks like this. I like Oklahoma, Tennessee, Wisconsin, Pitt. Honestly, if it wasn't for you, I'd probably play the first two (wouldn't play the last two regardless). Still may wind up playing Tennessee- but really love the Bama play, the LT over, LSU and WVU.
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The week after a huge upset weekend is always hard. You have to sift through letdowns and aberrations. For example, I have a very strong lean that Texas Tech is nowhere near as good as people think. That means I'll play West Virginia and Texas because Oklahoma is overpriced after last week.

The Texas / OK game should be a PK. If Texas wins last week they are probably -2.5. +3 is just too good of value.

With West Virginia, I have no idea why that line is so low. Anything under 7 is like a field goal for them. I know they're in a tough spot, but Geno seems pretty level headed.
 
Yeah, I figured this japanese cat was on to something with this Kent State over...so, I rode.
 
I also followed suit with KS -1, the parlay for KS -1.5 and the O, and accidently placed one on KS -.5 in the first half. So.....let's go.
 
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