*** Official Beat Joe Green Thread ***

Kent State pk James Madison
Northern Iowa -7.5 Iowa
Memphis +2 at Miami
Ball State -14 at SIU-Edwardsville
 
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George Mason +10.5
Wofford +1.5
Evansville +24.5
Bradley -3
Miami -2

Looks like my system needs a little tweeking with these big road dogs vs top teams. Been killing me
 
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I have a short week and need to toss in my NFL bets by this Thursday.

I'm looking at the following games:

NE -8 @ WASH

NO -3.5 @ TENN

SF -4 @ ARIZ

Do any of you like any of these road favorites to cover?
 
I have a short week and need to toss in my NFL bets by this Thursday.

I'm looking at the following games:

NE -8 @ WASH

NO -3.5 @ TENN

SF -4 @ ARIZ

Do any of you like any of these road favorites to cover?

Could see Wash covering, but still not winning outright. The lower spread totals make me weary of the other 2, especially since they're the last 2 fighting for the 2 seed.
 
Kent State pk James Madison
Northern Iowa -7.5 Iowa
Memphis +2 at Miami
Ball State -14 at SIU-Edwardsville

4-0, 37-22 on the year

Nice Day, you are on fire.

Just gonna throw it out there for those that don't check the cbb thread ... but I'm 17-0 the last 3 days on cbb. 19 straight correct picks. Been on an NBA Jams style on fire run. Only things I ever bet are cbb and horses. I don't **** with the rest of it.

So basically you'll want to bet against everything I like the next little bit as you know how these things have a tendency to even out. lol.
 
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I have a short week and need to toss in my NFL bets by this Thursday.

I'm looking at the following games:

NE -8 @ WASH

NO -3.5 @ TENN

SF -4 @ ARIZ

Do any of you like any of these road favorites to cover?

Could see Wash covering, but still not winning outright. The lower spread totals make me weary of the other 2, especially since they're the last 2 fighting for the 2 seed.

I'm not sure if I am following your logic.

I was thinking about this last night, and I am leaning towards the 49ers because they are playing light out D. I think that alone will help them cover by 4 points easily. Based on your comment you made it sound like both NO and SF have nothing to gain for winning these upcoming games on the road?
 
Alabama -5 at Dayton
Middle Tennessee State -4 at UAB
Boise State -12 Portland

Xavier -5 at Butler
San Diego State -13 at San Diego
Vanderbilt -1 at Davidson
 
I have a short week and need to toss in my NFL bets by this Thursday.

I'm looking at the following games:

NE -8 @ WASH

NO -3.5 @ TENN

SF -4 @ ARIZ

Do any of you like any of these road favorites to cover?

Could see Wash covering, but still not winning outright. The lower spread totals make me weary of the other 2, especially since they're the last 2 fighting for the 2 seed.

I'm not sure if I am following your logic.

I was thinking about this last night, and I am leaning towards the 49ers because they are playing light out D. I think that alone will help them cover by 4 points easily. Based on your comment you made it sound like both NO and SF have nothing to gain for winning these upcoming games on the road?

My fault, I answered your Q backwards. I like both NO and SF to cover, because of the low spread total and they both DO need to win to get at the #2 seed in the NFC. I'll be laying a unit on both NO and this weekend.
 
I have a short week and need to toss in my NFL bets by this Thursday.

I'm looking at the following games:

NE -8 @ WASH

NO -3.5 @ TENN

SF -4 @ ARIZ

Do any of you like any of these road favorites to cover?

Could see Wash covering, but still not winning outright. The lower spread totals make me weary of the other 2, especially since they're the last 2 fighting for the 2 seed.

I'm not sure if I am following your logic.

I was thinking about this last night, and I am leaning towards the 49ers because they are playing light out D. I think that alone will help them cover by 4 points easily. Based on your comment you made it sound like both NO and SF have nothing to gain for winning these upcoming games on the road?

My fault, I answered your Q backwards. I like both NO and SF to cover, because of the low spread total and they both DO need to win to get at the #2 seed in the NFC. I'll be laying a unit on both NO and this weekend.

Ok, makes sense, you were thinking I was asking about taking the home underdogs to cover.

These were the only bets I like due to the favorites playing solid football now. After taking a closer look at the NE bet, I'm a bit weary. Their D just scares me too much right now, even though the Redskins stink.

I'm leaning more towards NO as a better "lock" to cover the 4 vs SF, only due to the fact NO can put up point in a hurry, whereas SF has to continue to play lights out D, and will probably wind up winning somewhere in the ballpark of 20-10 type of score. I don't think TENN has the horses to keep putting up the points that NO can.
 
I have a short week and need to toss in my NFL bets by this Thursday.

I'm looking at the following games:

NE -8 @ WASH

NO -3.5 @ TENN

SF -4 @ ARIZ

Do any of you like any of these road favorites to cover?

Could see Wash covering, but still not winning outright. The lower spread totals make me weary of the other 2, especially since they're the last 2 fighting for the 2 seed.

I'm not sure if I am following your logic.

I was thinking about this last night, and I am leaning towards the 49ers because they are playing light out D. I think that alone will help them cover by 4 points easily. Based on your comment you made it sound like both NO and SF have nothing to gain for winning these upcoming games on the road?

My fault, I answered your Q backwards. I like both NO and SF to cover, because of the low spread total and they both DO need to win to get at the #2 seed in the NFC. I'll be laying a unit on both NO and this weekend.

Ok, makes sense, you were thinking I was asking about taking the home underdogs to cover.

These were the only bets I like due to the favorites playing solid football now. After taking a closer look at the NE bet, I'm a bit weary. Their D just scares me too much right now, even though the Redskins stink.

I'm leaning more towards NO as a better "lock" to cover the 4 vs SF, only due to the fact NO can put up point in a hurry, whereas SF has to continue to play lights out D, and will probably wind up winning somewhere in the ballpark of 20-10 type of score. I don't think TENN has the horses to keep putting up the points that NO can.

Agreed in general, but unless Arizona gets 3 Peterson punt return TD's, I don't see AZ getting over 14 points.
 
I have a short week and need to toss in my NFL bets by this Thursday.

I'm looking at the following games:

NE -8 @ WASH

NO -3.5 @ TENN

SF -4 @ ARIZ

Do any of you like any of these road favorites to cover?

Could see Wash covering, but still not winning outright. The lower spread totals make me weary of the other 2, especially since they're the last 2 fighting for the 2 seed.

I'm not sure if I am following your logic.

I was thinking about this last night, and I am leaning towards the 49ers because they are playing light out D. I think that alone will help them cover by 4 points easily. Based on your comment you made it sound like both NO and SF have nothing to gain for winning these upcoming games on the road?

My fault, I answered your Q backwards. I like both NO and SF to cover, because of the low spread total and they both DO need to win to get at the #2 seed in the NFC. I'll be laying a unit on both NO and this weekend.

Ok, makes sense, you were thinking I was asking about taking the home underdogs to cover.

These were the only bets I like due to the favorites playing solid football now. After taking a closer look at the NE bet, I'm a bit weary. Their D just scares me too much right now, even though the Redskins stink.

I'm leaning more towards NO as a better "lock" to cover the 4 vs SF, only due to the fact NO can put up point in a hurry, whereas SF has to continue to play lights out D, and will probably wind up winning somewhere in the ballpark of 20-10 type of score. I don't think TENN has the horses to keep putting up the points that NO can.

Agreed in general, but unless Arizona gets 3 Peterson punt return TD's, I don't see AZ getting over 14 points.

Last week I took TENN over BUF and I was even getting +2. Easy money. I lost money with the freakin ATL/HOU game and wound up just breaking even. This week I am only going to make one play and just make my money that way. That is why I am deciding between the NO and SF bet at this point. Which do you feel more confident on? NO just seems to play a little sketchy on the road.
 
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Alabama -5 at Dayton
Middle Tennessee State -4 at UAB
Boise State -12 Portland

Xavier -5 at Butler
San Diego State -13 at San Diego
Vanderbilt -1 at Davidson

I see you agreed with a lot of my picks. :)

I have a feeling Middle Tennessee is going to be this years George Mason

I've ridden em like a rented mule so far. I've taken them 5 times.

Overall they have had lines on 8 of their 9 games ... they have covered all 8 times. And only ONE time of those 8 did they cover by less than 6.5 points I think. Only a couple times was it a cover by less than 10 points I think. They have not only been covering but covering easily. But bookmakers will ultimately make up for that adjust, and I believe they are starting to a little bit here. That is also why this game makes me nervous ... they are due to play poorly. But like I said in the cbb thread, you gotta dance with the girl that brung ya.
 
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UAB is really bad and they're got 4 road wins already

I think Xavier crushes Butler by double digits
 
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