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*** Official Beat Joe Green Thread ***

usfcane said:
Good point with the middle opportunity, might have to look into that. No confidence in our boys? W/ all the injuries, the fact that this is a winnable game last year when you factor in 4 pics from #12, and they lost their best player in a decade gives me some hope of cashing that tix, we shall see.

/shockingly,i have my biggest losses betting on Miami.....

CaneGrad05 said:
USF,

I'm on an overwhelming majority of those plays, except I wouldn't have dropped that much, in comparison to the others, on Miami beating BC. At least you got the best number possible (I did as well), but if that number somehow gets to BC +3.5 by gametime, I'm definitely putting the same amount coming the other way. I really think this is a toss-up game that could go either way, and if you're giving me a chance at winning both bets if Miami wins by a FG or less, just too much to pass up there.
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I like Miami to win, but I don't like that game more than I like the other ones. BC's ability to control the LOS on offense, with Morris having to be better than what he was a year ago in Maryland, worries me. Either way, I see a very close game, and having the chance to middle that bet with Miami bringing home a close win would entice me.
 
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Looking back at Oregon...I can definitely see an opening that looks similar to how they played Nevada a few years back where Oregon just drops an A-bomb and covers by themselves.
 
The world is underestimating Oregon this year. They're my national championship pick.

I think you'll see how much Thomas was holding that offense back by never running the ball. That's a scary thought, isn't it?
 
locked into a few plays:

for ***** and gigs, a half unit parlay that pays 90 units

WVU -25.5
W. Michigan +10
Miami -2
OU -30.5
Oregon/Ark St O 67.5
Ohio St -24.5
Ohio on the ML

Single game plays, all 1 unit
WVU -25.5
Ohio +6
Ohio St -24.5
OU -30.5
Oregon O67.5

BOL to all this weekend
 
Somebody convince me not to throw cash on Vandy +6.5...I was loving Vandy +7, and for some reason the 1/2 point is suddenly making me rethink all of it.
 
Btw...90% of the action on WVU/Marshall is on the over. Personally, I don't have any faith in Marshall being able to score 2 TD's if WVU manages to put up 51 on them, so I'm just sticking with WVU -25.
 
Its never a good sign when BTM is leaning towards an UNDER on opening night, but the Rice Truck and UCLA are going to be hard pressed to crack 50 never mind 59.
 
DiegoCane said:
I'll be betting almost all my plays on reverse Line Movements again this year. They were pretty successful at the end of the year last year, will keep a running total to see how we do this year. A couple of early leans (although never bet until game day and usually

close to start time): Vandy, NCSt, BoiseSt, Ohio, Tulsa, Nevada, Toledo

usf- What site do you use to bet? Bovada hasn't even put up the Miami line yet.
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Reverse line movement? Vandy was +7. Now they are +6.5. Doesn't that mean money is in on Vandy? So reverse movement would mean to take USC, right?
 
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BooThisMan said:
Its never a good sign when BTM is leaning towards an UNDER on opening night, but the Rice Truck and UCLA are going to be hard pressed to crack 50 never mind 59.
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BTM...no worries on the under, right there with you, esp. on this game. Gotta love unders the first 2 or 3 weeks of the yer. Defenses are usually ahead of the offenses early on, unless your ORE or have barkley as your QB. And the public loves them some overs, so the lines are a bit high early on.

Unders i like this week....

USC/Vandy 45.5
BSU/MSU 46.5
BG/UF 48
UM/BAMA 45.5

And really like this one
GT/Va tech 48.5

Also, please, somebody, talk me out of not bettin the house on Sparty, Ohio st, and bama. Just too much domination on the line of scrimmage from both sides w/ these teams and their opponents. Talk to me goose...

tom-cruise-as-maverick-top-gun1.jpg%3Fw%3D604
 
usfcane said:
BooThisMan said:
Its never a good sign when BTM is leaning towards an UNDER on opening night, but the Rice Truck and UCLA are going to be hard pressed to crack 50 never mind 59.
Click to expand...

BTM...no worries on the under, right there with you, esp. on this game. Gotta love unders the first 2 or 3 weeks of the yer. Defenses are usually ahead of the offenses early on, unless your ORE or have barkley as your QB. And the public loves them some overs, so the lines are a bit high early on.

Unders i like this week....

USC/Vandy 45.5
BSU/MSU 46.5
BG/UF 48
UM/BAMA 45.5

And really like this one
GT/Va tech 48.5

Also, please, somebody, talk me out of not bettin the house on Sparty, Ohio st, and bama. Just too much domination on the line of scrimmage from both sides w/ these teams and their opponents. Talk to me goose...

tom-cruise-as-maverick-top-gun1.jpg%3Fw%3D604
Click to expand...

really like these 2
 
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Sportsbook.com is saying that 89% of the money is on South Carolina tonight. I really don't know why.

Vandy is formidable and gets a ton back. And they're at home. I wouldn't be the least bit shocked if they won outright tonight.
 
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