*** Official Beat Joe Green Thread ***

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I've been staying out of the NBA for the better part of the year so far due to time commitments, but there are some games that bear watching today. Treading lightly, but like these ones:

Magic-Knicks o193.5 (Magic have been terribly defensively, and spectacular offensively)
Memphis +5 (some big time weird line movement in this one)
Sixers -8 (ride teams when they are hot)
Hornets +5.5 (don't love it, but line movement again)
Nets +9 (CP3 injured? Let down game? Nets playing better lately)
Raptors +10 (letdown coming from Hawks, and Raptors can keep this one close)
OKC -2.5 (fade Boston until they prove they are playing good basketball again)
 
Baylor +6.5 @ Kansas?

Diego or Dayton?

Kansas is a play using the reverse line movement system. Public is on Baylor 75% and line has gone from +5.5 to +6.5.

Crazy line though, not sure if I'll take Kansas or not.

Definitely wouldn't fault anyone for taking Baylor and the points.

Edit: I ended up taking Kansas but don't like it.
 
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I've been staying out of the NBA for the better part of the year so far due to time commitments, but there are some games that bear watching today. Treading lightly, but like these ones:

Magic-Knicks o193.5 (Magic have been terribly defensively, and spectacular offensively) WINNER
Memphis +5 (some big time weird line movement in this one) WINNER
Sixers -8 (ride teams when they are hot) WINNER
Hornets +5.5 (don't love it, but line movement again) LOSER
Nets +9 (CP3 injured? Let down game? Nets playing better lately) LOSER- 1 possession game with 2:15 left and you lose by 10?
Raptors +10 (letdown coming from Hawks, and Raptors can keep this one close) WINNER
OKC -2.5 (fade Boston until they prove they are playing good basketball again) WINNER

Overall, 5-2 day. I'll take it.
 
Still treading lightly-- this is what was spit out for today

Charlotte +12: Tough to blow out a team two games in a row. Sandwich game for Magic between Knicks-Spurs showdowns
Orlando/Charlotte u193.5: This game usually goes under- and after the Magic went haywire from 3 yesterday, I don't see them lighting it up.
Miami -7: First game without superstar... usually blow out city. Spurs on a tough stretch and wouldn't be surprised to see Pop pull starters late if out of reach
Phoenix +9.5: No Derrick Rose- Steve Nash first game back.
Milwaukee +3: No line movement, Denver getting hammered
Denver/Milwaukee u198: Just a hunch
Detroit +8: Line movement
Utah -3.5: Riding a hot Jazz team and fading Clippers on 2nd night of back to back without CP3
 
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9-6 so far this week.

Denver-Philadelphia U204 Loser. Love overtime.
Washington +11 Winner. Outright winner- wow.
Phoenix +8 Winner. Outright winner again.
Phoenix- NYK o200 Loser. The Suns won a low scoring game against the Knicks. What?
Detroit-Minnesota o186 Loser. Not a good day for totals
Sacramento +5.5 Another outright under winner
Sacramento-Indiana o189.5 This one was easily on pace, until the 4th quarter.
Clippers +2.5 No play, but it won
Clippers-Mavs o183 No play, but it lost

3-4 on the day. Denver and Sacramento losses don't bother me, but the PHX and Minnesota totals were bad losses.

12-10
 
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The Clippers plays are contingent on CP3 playing. I had earlier seen he was playing. Now it's looking like he might not.

Im worried about Orlando tonight after the tongue lashing the Spurs received publicly and privately from Coach Pop. They rested their starters the entire 4th quarter, so should be fresh. And no Turkoglu tonight for the Magic.
 
Guess every game in CBB is fitting my system tonight

RIsland +3.5
Duquesne -5.5
Clemson +4.5
GW +1.5
Morehead St +7.5
Nebraska +4
James Madison +2.5
Northeastern +3
Nova -1.5
NILL +8.5
Marshall +3.5
UCF pk
UAB +4
Houston +6
Ind St +4.5
Mississippi +2
Texas +5.5
New Mexico -10.5

Nets -3
 
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Guess every game in CBB is fitting my system tonight

RIsland +3.5
Duquesne -5.5
Clemson +4.5
GW +1.5
Morehead St +7.5
Nebraska +4
James Madison +2.5
Northeastern +3
Nova -1.5
NILL +8.5
Marshall +3.5
UCF pk
UAB +4
Houston +6
Ind St +4.5
Mississippi +2
Texas +5.5
New Mexico -10.5

Nets -3

Had myself a nice day. 14-5 overall. 13-5 in CBB, 1-0 in NBA. 164-116, 7-7 in NBA
 
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Oregon -6.5 large

This isn't a system play at all but USC has to be one of the worst D1 teams in college basketball. Bet at your own risk.

WF +21.5
Samford +6
Tenn-Martin +11
UL-L +3
UL-Monroe +10.5
W&M +20.5
PennSt +3
Utah +14
SanFran +15
LT +9.5
NCol +10.5
NAriz +15.5
OralRob -16

Heat -5.5
 
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