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*** Official Beat Joe Green Thread ***
- Thread starter BillSwerski
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usfcane
Sophomore
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Not much into BB now that FB has started. Shame to cuz thr is a lot of easy money out there if you do your research.
As far as the NFL....
Really liked the ATL line at first, just seems like a trap to me so no play, but i'd lean atl. Really like HOU, nawlins, and denver.
CaneGrad05
All-ACC
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Alright, I've licked my wounds from last night. It's amazing how many times a team can repeatedly shoot themselves in the foot in the scoring zone- players and coaches. So what's everyone thinking for tomorrow.
1. I'm breaking my own rules by going with a Wisconsin/Utah teaser for both to win straight up. I already regret placing the bet. Not that I don't think it will not win, it should, but throwing money away on it. Moment of weakness earlier in the week.
2. Also on Miami-KState over 52.5, which seems like a great place to be with the total now at 58.
3. Riding the Malzahn train with Arkansas State -23.
1. I'm breaking my own rules by going with a Wisconsin/Utah teaser for both to win straight up. I already regret placing the bet. Not that I don't think it will not win, it should, but throwing money away on it. Moment of weakness earlier in the week.
2. Also on Miami-KState over 52.5, which seems like a great place to be with the total now at 58.
3. Riding the Malzahn train with Arkansas State -23.
CaneGrad05
All-ACC
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For the Reverse Line Movement Crowd:
1. Utah 74%, down to 6.5 from 7
2. Kentucky 84%, down to 6.5 from 7
3. Georgia 80%, down to 2 from 3
4. Michigan State70%, down to 20 from 22
5. USC 88%, down to 26 from 27
6. Wisconsin78%, down to 7 from 8
7. Mississippi State 32%, up to 3 from 2.5
8. Texas 34%, up to 38 from 37
9. Oklahoma State 88%, down to 10.5 from 12
1. Utah 74%, down to 6.5 from 7
2. Kentucky 84%, down to 6.5 from 7
3. Georgia 80%, down to 2 from 3
4. Michigan State70%, down to 20 from 22
5. USC 88%, down to 26 from 27
6. Wisconsin78%, down to 7 from 8
7. Mississippi State 32%, up to 3 from 2.5
8. Texas 34%, up to 38 from 37
9. Oklahoma State 88%, down to 10.5 from 12
heythisisrobbie
Freshman
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On Utah tonight -7 and scared to death of that game. Whenever Utah State gets them or BYU at home they play HARD.
Still, Utah's defense might be the best in the country outside of the SEC and Florida State. That travels to any environment, and they should smother Utah State.
Mistakes on offense will be the only thing that dooms Utah tonight.
I wish I would have put more down on Missouri at 3.5. I love that game.
Still, Utah's defense might be the best in the country outside of the SEC and Florida State. That travels to any environment, and they should smother Utah State.
Mistakes on offense will be the only thing that dooms Utah tonight.
I wish I would have put more down on Missouri at 3.5. I love that game.
CaneGrad05
All-ACC
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Yeah, I jumped aboard tonight for Utah -6.5; Figured if I was going to be an ******* and do the teaser, I should do the **** game like I'm supposed to. And looking back over the past few years, Utah has played pretty well away at Utah State, although different teams/coaches/etc...
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Reverse line movement would indicate to go with Utah St though right?
Im a RLM guy and this is still a pass for me following my guidelines. Its really close but unless something changes before game time I'm passing. But yeah Utah ST would be the play.
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What are your guidelines? Do you need a certain point amount moved?
Looking at trends there are several totals that have 100% over. I know its still early, but 100%. Seems odd to me that 100% of the spread is on over in several games.
I don't do totals because the sample size is too small (way more people bet the game over total). I use a different site then Grad (thespread.com) and use their info, the site I bet also has Utah still at -7.
Usually use 60-65%+ on the one side with line movement on the other. On thespread Utah is 67% and line has remained at 7 (although its at even from -110). Very close.
I'll most likely be on Missouri, CentMich, Maryland, OregonSt, Houston, Zona tomorrow but things can change a lot over night.
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Over opened at 53 and is now at 50.5 even though 68% of money is on over in Utah game. If this were a game you were betting with rlm the key, you would go under here?
chester40cane
Senior
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5-3 on the season
Utah -7
Utah -7
Yeah, you end up betting on some really bad teams and feel stupid sometimes but overall its been good to me. And you end up being on the other side of a lot of people.
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4-1 on the season. I'm going to jinx myself and everyone else, but Utah hasn't won by less than 20 @ Utah State since 2000 with the last game in 09. That alone is worth a 1 unit play on Utah -7 for me. Good luck fellas!
