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*** Official Beat Joe Green Thread ***

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CaneGrad05 said:
CaneGrad05 said:
Leans:

Utah -7 ----> Utah -7.5 now
Virginia -10
KState -7 ---> KState -6.5
KState/Miami o52 ------> 53.5
Miss State -3
NCState -6.5 ------> -5
UNC -8.5 -----> -10.5
Syracuse/USC o57.5 -----> 59
Purdue +14.5
Nevada -1
Wisconsin -7.5 ----> 8
Oregon o73 ------> 77
LSU/Washington u53
Arkansas St -23
UGA/Missouri o54
Northwestern +3.5
Duke +15.5 (This one is climbing quickly) ---> made it to 16, now back to +15
Arizona +13.5 -----> +10.5
Arizona/Oklahoma State o69.5
Arizona ST/Illinois o48.5 ---- > 49
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Some rather big changes in these games I was looking at. Looks like I lost out on several good ones that piqued my interest early, notably UNC, Arizona, and the Oregon over. Only one I took advantage of yesterday was Miami/KState o52.5 and have pending Arkansas State -23.
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Last time I checked Oklahoma St was getting pounded (something like 85%) and the line has gone down a lot so I'll probably be on Zona. Missouri is looking the same way at the moment.
 
Yeah--- OKState is 91% on sportsbook spy, but down to 10.5. Wouldn't be surprised for Arizona to win straight up honestly. They moved the ball last week, just couldn't put in the end zone. Night game. Home game. OKState coming off a game against by far the worst team in all of football in Savannah State. Good spot for Arizona.

Same thing with Georgia-Missouri. UGA struggled a bit with Buffalo. Big step up to Missouri, which should be amped for first SEC game. Missouri should be able to move the ball. 76% on UGA, line down from -3 to -2.

I know your play is looking at the reverse line movements. Some others of note:

Central Michigan +20.5 from +22, despite 75% on Michigan State.
Syracuse +26 from +27, despite 86% on USC.
Miss State from -2.5 to -3 despite 80% on Auburn
 
Joe Green was clobbered last week...he's back and thirsty for revenge with some fruity lines for some high play games.
 
CaneGrad05 said:
Yeah--- OKState is 91% on sportsbook spy, but down to 10.5. Wouldn't be surprised for Arizona to win straight up honestly. They moved the ball last week, just couldn't put in the end zone. Night game. Home game. OKState coming off a game against by far the worst team in all of football in Savannah State. Good spot for Arizona.

Same thing with Georgia-Missouri. UGA struggled a bit with Buffalo. Big step up to Missouri, which should be amped for first SEC game. Missouri should be able to move the ball. 76% on UGA, line down from -3 to -2.

I know your play is looking at the reverse line movements. Some others of note:

Central Michigan +20.5 from +22, despite 75% on Michigan State.
Syracuse +26 from +27, despite 86% on USC.
Miss State from -2.5 to -3 despite 80% on Auburn
Click to expand...

I usually use thespread.com but like that sportsbook spy. Thanks.

And yeah I'll probably be on most of those games if things hold up throughout the week.
 
I'm actually shocked Missouri isn't favored. I guess most of the money is going on UGA, so I can't argue too much.

Sitting in nice shape for Saturday with all of these line moves. Just waiting for Oregon's first half spread to come out...
 
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Any teams ready for a let down yet? Is Bama pretty vet or young this year? Their win was big, but they are beasts over there! Or are they?
 
Until Missouri or TAMU prove they can handle the defensive and offensive lines of an upper echelon SEC school...I just can't get behind a win for either school, despite both being at home...both lines are low enough where I'd simply go in on a win for the SEC school. Florida and Georgia weren't strong last week against MAC schools, but I gotta figure that's just first week kinks. Mizzou and TAMU are stronger opponents, but not exactly built for SEC competition yet in the trenches.

I'm leaning toward Georgia, and I'll give the 2 and Florida on the ML but maybe Vegas is just trying to get me and I'll steer clear...those will be game time decisions for me. There are lots of trap lines this week.
 
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BooThisMan traditionally takes a bath on one UNDER to start the season before firing up the rocket ship to FMA glory.
 
Larry said:
Until Missouri or TAMU prove they can handle the defensive and offensive lines of an upper echelon SEC school...I just can't get behind a win for either school, despite both being at home...both lines are low enough where I'd simply go in on a win for the SEC school. Florida and Georgia weren't strong last week against MAC schools, but I gotta figure that's just first week kinks. Mizzou and TAMU are stronger opponents, but not exactly built for SEC competition yet in the trenches.

I'm leaning toward Georgia, and I'll give the 2 and Florida on the ML but maybe Vegas is just trying to get me and I'll steer clear...those will be game time decisions for me. There are lots of trap lines this week.
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That's pretty much how I feel about it as well. I'll likely just pass.
 
Larry said:
Until Missouri or TAMU prove they can handle the defensive and offensive lines of an upper echelon SEC school...I just can't get behind a win for either school, despite both being at home...both lines are low enough where I'd simply go in on a win for the SEC school. Florida and Georgia weren't strong last week against MAC schools, but I gotta figure that's just first week kinks. Mizzou and TAMU are stronger opponents, but not exactly built for SEC competition yet in the trenches.

I'm leaning toward Georgia, and I'll give the 2 and Florida on the ML but maybe Vegas is just trying to get me and I'll steer clear...those will be game time decisions for me. There are lots of trap lines this week.
Click to expand...

I'd definitely go UGA, especially if they get CB/WR Mitchell back from injury, WR Brown back from injury, and either Rambo or Tree back from suspension. UGA played a super vanilla defense against Buffalo. Missouri's been hit with some key injuries and I dont think theyll have the depth to withstand 4 quarters.
 
Im leaning:

Okie State - 11
UGA - 2
Giants ML

Liked the Giants/Cowboys over at 45, its showing 46 currently so moving up.
 
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Larry said:
Until Missouri or TAMU prove they can handle the defensive and offensive lines of an upper echelon SEC school...I just can't get behind a win for either school, despite both being at home...both lines are low enough where I'd simply go in on a win for the SEC school. Florida and Georgia weren't strong last week against MAC schools, but I gotta figure that's just first week kinks. Mizzou and TAMU are stronger opponents, but not exactly built for SEC competition yet in the trenches.

I'm leaning toward Georgia, and I'll give the 2 and Florida on the ML but maybe Vegas is just trying to get me and I'll steer clear...those will be game time decisions for me. There are lots of trap lines this week.
Click to expand...

Valid point, and why I like Florida, but probably won't make a play. Franklin is one of the more underrated QB's in the country though and he has some serious weapons on offense. Even if Mizzou's line can't handle UGA the hot routes could still be efficient.

imurcane said:
Any teams ready for a let down yet? Is Bama pretty vet or young this year? Their win was big, but they are beasts over there! Or are they?
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Clemson.
 
My Cowboys +4 bet is looking decent, but I'm so terrible in the NFL that it wasn't even worth posting about.

Does anyone do consistently well year after year? I've already decided that once I'm down 3 units for the NFL I'm done.
 
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