You can eliminate bama from that.
Top 5 is already locked in the playoff imo. Even with a Conference Champ game loss.
Bama is 100% in the playoff if they beat Auburn next week.
OU is 100% in if they beat LSU next week.
Ole Miss is 100% in if they beat MissSt next week. Would they drop below us with a loss? I think highly likely. They have a dog**** resume imo
Oregon is 100% in if they beat USC right now. If they lose I think they drop below us.
Our At-Large hopes basically exclusively rely on BYU losing, us jumping them, then being rated close enough to Notre Dame to get the H2H bonus and be ranked 10. You need a top 10 ranking to get in since ACC/G5 program wont be top 15.