they could get into a bowl game but the one for the 6 win teams.
Exactly.
The only three games I give them a strong shot of winning would be New Mexico State, Central Arkansas, and Boston College.
Other than that, F$U is going to need to put together 3 strong wins against superior competition in those other 9 games.
They face 2 SEC teams (Alabama and Florida) and seven other good ACC schools.
Who can they beat?
Home ACC games: SMU, UVa, Clemson, NC State
Road ACC games: Louisville, Miami, Pitt
They play 4 of the top 6 ACC teams from 2025 (avoiding Duke and GaTech) and then 3 of the next 5 schools from 2025 (all of which had 4-4 ACC records).
Of the 6 ACC cellar-dwellers, F$U only faces Boston College. F$U might very well have the hardest ACC schedule of any school.