Tears Nole Tears (“Offcial”)

Same guy who told us that F$U was going undefeated in 2024, Zach Blos-peen.


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Baghdad Brenda posted his breakdown of confidence in units, 1-10 scale with 5 being average P4 unit. This is what he thinks

Quarterback – 5

Tommy Castellanos is projected as an average Power 4 starter. His rushing ability provides an identity, but passing is limited. Depth is a major concern with Brock Glenn struggling and Kevin Sperry being an untested true freshman. The unit is stable only if Castellanos stays healthy

Running Back – 6

This group has volatility. It could rise to a 7–8 if Ousmane Kromah makes an immediate impact as a freshman and Gavin Sawchuk returns to his 2023 form. But it could also dip below average if Kromah struggles or Sawchuk repeats his 2024 inconsistency. Roydell Williams adds further uncertainty. Kromah is the X-factor.

Wide Receiver – 6

The starters bring upside. Duce Robinson could elevate into a reliable starter, Squirrel White can be a playmaker if healthy, and freshman Jayvan Boggs adds talent. However, depth is shaky. Gavin Blackwell, Lawayne McCoy, Elijah Moore, and BJ Gibson have combined for minimal production and have battled injuries. The group could be a 7–8 with health, but one injury could derail it.


Tight End – 7

A well-rounded unit. Randy Pittman is proven from UCF, Amaree Williams and Landen Thomas are high-ceiling Year 2 players, and veteran Markeston Douglas provides steady blocking. The group blends talent, upside, and experience, making it one of the better position groups on offense.


Offensive Line – 5

Luke Petitbon should anchor the line at center, but there are questions everywhere else. Tackles have durability concerns, there’s no proven standout guard, and depth is thin beyond Jacob Rizzy. The line fits the scheme decently but remains fragile. Average at best.

Interior Defensive Line – 7

Darrell Jackson is expected to be the focal point and draw attention, which will help Daniel Lyons, Deante McCray, and Kevin Wynn (once healthy). However, health is a concern across the group, with Wynn and Lyons already dealing with injuries. Solid starting group with upside if health holds.

Edge – 5

The additions of James Williams and Jayson Jenkins give the unit some life, and Jenkins’ return from injury is a boost. Still, there is no proven twitchy pass rusher and the depth is shaky. Serviceable but not a strength.

Linebacker – 7

Arguably the defense’s best unit. Elijah Herring, Justin Cryer, Omar Graham, and Stefon Thompson provide a stable and reliable baseline. Blake Nichelson is a potential breakout candidate. The floor is high and the group could develop into a real strength.

Cornerback – 6

Jeremiah Wilson is a true No. 1 corner after excelling at Houston, which raises the floor. The problem is on the opposite side, where Ja’Bril Rawls, Quindarrius Jones, and Shemar Arnoux are all inexperienced and dealing with injuries. Growing pains are expected here, but Wilson helps keep the rating above average.

Safety – 4

Individually, starters have shown flashes, but as a group there is no consistency, reliability, or proven track record. FSU is heavily betting on Earl Little Jr. to develop into a top player, but there is little evidence so far based on his first three years. Easily the weakest unit on the team.

Overall Outlook

Florida State’s roster features a mix of average-to-above-average Power 4 position groups, with most ratings falling between 5 and 7. The clear strengths are linebacker, tight end, and interior defensive line, while the weakest areas are safety, quarterback depth, and offensive line reliability. Wide receiver and running back carry potential but come with volatility due to health and youth. The team has enough talent to compete, but fragile depth and inconsistency make it highly dependent on health and player development.
 
Baghdad Brenda posted his breakdown of confidence in units, 1-10 scale with 5 being average P4 unit. This is what he thinks

Quarterback – 5

Tommy Castellanos is projected as an average Power 4 starter. His rushing ability provides an identity, but passing is limited. Depth is a major concern with Brock Glenn struggling and Kevin Sperry being an untested true freshman. The unit is stable only if Castellanos stays healthy

Running Back – 6

This group has volatility. It could rise to a 7–8 if Ousmane Kromah makes an immediate impact as a freshman and Gavin Sawchuk returns to his 2023 form. But it could also dip below average if Kromah struggles or Sawchuk repeats his 2024 inconsistency. Roydell Williams adds further uncertainty. Kromah is the X-factor.

Wide Receiver – 6

The starters bring upside. Duce Robinson could elevate into a reliable starter, Squirrel White can be a playmaker if healthy, and freshman Jayvan Boggs adds talent. However, depth is shaky. Gavin Blackwell, Lawayne McCoy, Elijah Moore, and BJ Gibson have combined for minimal production and have battled injuries. The group could be a 7–8 with health, but one injury could derail it.


Tight End – 7

A well-rounded unit. Randy Pittman is proven from UCF, Amaree Williams and Landen Thomas are high-ceiling Year 2 players, and veteran Markeston Douglas provides steady blocking. The group blends talent, upside, and experience, making it one of the better position groups on offense.


Offensive Line – 5

Luke Petitbon should anchor the line at center, but there are questions everywhere else. Tackles have durability concerns, there’s no proven standout guard, and depth is thin beyond Jacob Rizzy. The line fits the scheme decently but remains fragile. Average at best.

Interior Defensive Line – 7

Darrell Jackson is expected to be the focal point and draw attention, which will help Daniel Lyons, Deante McCray, and Kevin Wynn (once healthy). However, health is a concern across the group, with Wynn and Lyons already dealing with injuries. Solid starting group with upside if health holds.

Edge – 5

The additions of James Williams and Jayson Jenkins give the unit some life, and Jenkins’ return from injury is a boost. Still, there is no proven twitchy pass rusher and the depth is shaky. Serviceable but not a strength.

Linebacker – 7

Arguably the defense’s best unit. Elijah Herring, Justin Cryer, Omar Graham, and Stefon Thompson provide a stable and reliable baseline. Blake Nichelson is a potential breakout candidate. The floor is high and the group could develop into a real strength.

Cornerback – 6

Jeremiah Wilson is a true No. 1 corner after excelling at Houston, which raises the floor. The problem is on the opposite side, where Ja’Bril Rawls, Quindarrius Jones, and Shemar Arnoux are all inexperienced and dealing with injuries. Growing pains are expected here, but Wilson helps keep the rating above average.

Safety – 4

Individually, starters have shown flashes, but as a group there is no consistency, reliability, or proven track record. FSU is heavily betting on Earl Little Jr. to develop into a top player, but there is little evidence so far based on his first three years. Easily the weakest unit on the team.

Overall Outlook

Florida State’s roster features a mix of average-to-above-average Power 4 position groups, with most ratings falling between 5 and 7. The clear strengths are linebacker, tight end, and interior defensive line, while the weakest areas are safety, quarterback depth, and offensive line reliability. Wide receiver and running back carry potential but come with volatility due to health and youth. The team has enough talent to compete, but fragile depth and inconsistency make it highly dependent on health and player development.
It’s all predicated on staying healthy. If they have even 1-2 injuries at skill positions they are screwed
 
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Baghdad Brenda posted his breakdown of confidence in units, 1-10 scale with 5 being average P4 unit. This is what he thinks

Quarterback – 5

Tommy Castellanos is projected as an average Power 4 starter. His rushing ability provides an identity, but passing is limited. Depth is a major concern with Brock Glenn struggling and Kevin Sperry being an untested true freshman. The unit is stable only if Castellanos stays healthy

Running Back – 6

This group has volatility. It could rise to a 7–8 if Ousmane Kromah makes an immediate impact as a freshman and Gavin Sawchuk returns to his 2023 form. But it could also dip below average if Kromah struggles or Sawchuk repeats his 2024 inconsistency. Roydell Williams adds further uncertainty. Kromah is the X-factor.

Wide Receiver – 6

The starters bring upside. Duce Robinson could elevate into a reliable starter, Squirrel White can be a playmaker if healthy, and freshman Jayvan Boggs adds talent. However, depth is shaky. Gavin Blackwell, Lawayne McCoy, Elijah Moore, and BJ Gibson have combined for minimal production and have battled injuries. The group could be a 7–8 with health, but one injury could derail it.


Tight End – 7

A well-rounded unit. Randy Pittman is proven from UCF, Amaree Williams and Landen Thomas are high-ceiling Year 2 players, and veteran Markeston Douglas provides steady blocking. The group blends talent, upside, and experience, making it one of the better position groups on offense.


Offensive Line – 5

Luke Petitbon should anchor the line at center, but there are questions everywhere else. Tackles have durability concerns, there’s no proven standout guard, and depth is thin beyond Jacob Rizzy. The line fits the scheme decently but remains fragile. Average at best.

Interior Defensive Line – 7

Darrell Jackson is expected to be the focal point and draw attention, which will help Daniel Lyons, Deante McCray, and Kevin Wynn (once healthy). However, health is a concern across the group, with Wynn and Lyons already dealing with injuries. Solid starting group with upside if health holds.

Edge – 5

The additions of James Williams and Jayson Jenkins give the unit some life, and Jenkins’ return from injury is a boost. Still, there is no proven twitchy pass rusher and the depth is shaky. Serviceable but not a strength.

Linebacker – 7

Arguably the defense’s best unit. Elijah Herring, Justin Cryer, Omar Graham, and Stefon Thompson provide a stable and reliable baseline. Blake Nichelson is a potential breakout candidate. The floor is high and the group could develop into a real strength.

Cornerback – 6

Jeremiah Wilson is a true No. 1 corner after excelling at Houston, which raises the floor. The problem is on the opposite side, where Ja’Bril Rawls, Quindarrius Jones, and Shemar Arnoux are all inexperienced and dealing with injuries. Growing pains are expected here, but Wilson helps keep the rating above average.

Safety – 4

Individually, starters have shown flashes, but as a group there is no consistency, reliability, or proven track record. FSU is heavily betting on Earl Little Jr. to develop into a top player, but there is little evidence so far based on his first three years. Easily the weakest unit on the team.

Overall Outlook

Florida State’s roster features a mix of average-to-above-average Power 4 position groups, with most ratings falling between 5 and 7. The clear strengths are linebacker, tight end, and interior defensive line, while the weakest areas are safety, quarterback depth, and offensive line reliability. Wide receiver and running back carry potential but come with volatility due to health and youth. The team has enough talent to compete, but fragile depth and inconsistency make it highly dependent on health and player development.
So basically: JAGS
 
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