forums

Niagara... Who's got the break down!

Advertisement
Well the good news is their guy that hit 17 home runs and almost 400 last year is gone so we don't have to deal with him. They didn't really have an Ace pitching wise last year.They only have one hitter returning from last year
 
Its week 1 and they likely havent been outside much.

Their number #1 might be able to get through our lineup 2 times with little damage but beyond a semi close game 1 we should win easy if this team is even remotely solid.
 
HurricanePhilly said:
Its week 1 and they likely havent been outside much.

Their number #1 might be able to get through our lineup 2 times with little damage but beyond a semi close game 1 we should win easy if this team is even remotely solid.
Click to expand...
Yeah that coupled with them replacing their entire offense except one guy including the guy that was their best hitter by far last year. It's not a series that should be close if Miami is gonna be any good at all.
 
ruggercane22 said:
FWIW Warren Nolan projects Niagara to win the MAAC.

Also projections have the Canes winning all 3 this weekend (6-4, 7-5, 9-5).
Click to expand...
Brother they have us losing on Friday 9-4. What drugs are they on!
 

Attachments

  • Screenshot 2025-02-11 at 6.25.39 PM.png
    Screenshot 2025-02-11 at 6.25.39 PM.png
    36.1 KB · Views: 0
Advertisement
D1Baseball dropped their MAAC season preview and have Niagara projected to finish 5th.
One snippet states "Eagles literally have just two returning starters in the field and three pitchers who threw more than 15 innings last season."
 
ruggercane22 said:
D1Baseball dropped their MAAC season preview and have Niagara projected to finish 5th.
One snippet states "Eagles literally have just two returning starters in the field and three pitchers who threw more than 15 innings last season."
Click to expand...
all in on friday and then just survive the weekend, see live arms, get better for conference is likely Niagara's goal.
 
I had forgotten honestly how bad we were in conference last year. We actually started 4-2 but finished a brutal 7-17.
 
DieHardCane27 said:
I had forgotten honestly how bad we were in conference last year. We actually started 4-2 but finished a brutal 7-17.
Click to expand...
We were that bad.....please no more references to last year. We all suffered enough.
That being said, how in the **** are we winning 15 games in the ACC?
 
ruggercane22 said:
Idk if their coding is constantly changing the projections but it does appear they think Miami is losing Friday. I'll take my paycheck to Draftkings right now if that's the case. View attachment 319582
Click to expand...
They run their simulation multiple times a day. I currently see it predicting us winning the first seven. It can be all over the place even in mid-season. With the lack of data this time of year....
 
Advertisement
Niagara will be the worst team we play this year. When you say rebuild, you're talking about Niagara.

They lost nearly everything. Their coach left to William & Mary, most of their good players graduated or transferred.

Their catcher is good defensively and can throw. Their 3B is their best hitter and he's just ok.

Their Friday and Saturday guys return, but they walk everyone. Truly, at a level you wouldn't see often in the weekend.

I built a WAR model based on the current run environment and I had their returning pitchers as negative.

Miami really should walk over this team like they would a DII team. Tampa would beat Niagara handily.

Honestly, the above WAR model thinks pretty highly of Miami because it likes their bats a lot. I don't project defense (it's impossible to model without detailed field mapping) so I rely on Synergy defensive run values there. With so many of our players moving into new spots and CF defense not being rated in the model, it's possible I've got Miami slightly overrated at the start.

If Miami is scratching and clawing with Niagara- a team I expect to finish near the 300's- that's an ominous sign.
 
Lance Roffers said:
Niagara will be the worst team we play this year. When you say rebuild, you're talking about Niagara.

They lost nearly everything. Their coach left to William & Mary, most of their good players graduated or transferred.

Their catcher is good defensively and can throw. Their 3B is their best hitter and he's just ok.

Their Friday and Saturday guys return, but they walk everyone. Truly, at a level you wouldn't see often in the weekend.

I built a WAR model based on the current run environment and I had their returning pitchers as negative.

Miami really should walk over this team like they would a DII team. Tampa would beat Niagara handily.

Honestly, the above WAR model thinks pretty highly of Miami because it likes their bats a lot. I don't project defense (it's impossible to model without detailed field mapping) so I rely on Synergy defensive run values there. With so many of our players moving into new spots and CF defense not being rated in the model, it's possible I've got Miami slightly overrated at the start.

If Miami is scratching and clawing with Niagara- a team I expect to finish near the 300's- that's an ominous sign.
Click to expand...
even it being the first game of the season with an almost brand new roster, is it that indicative of how far this team will go? Like could we mess up this series but make adjustments and play better?
 
Canes_Blooded said:
even it being the first game of the season with an almost brand new roster, is it that indicative of how far this team will go? Like could we mess up this series but make adjustments and play better?
Click to expand...
In a one-game setting you can always run into bad luck, a hot pitcher, or some bad calls, but really no.

Miami should win tonight decently, then by large margins over the weekend.
 
Back
Top