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Next 2 weeks - what needs to happen

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2 straight seasons of no postseason play is a horrendous turn of events for this program and what L had built here. Even Frank Haith never missed the postseason in consecutive seasons

The last time this happened was nearly 20 years ago - the 02-03 and 03-04 seasons with Perry Clark.
 
TheOriginalCane said:
UPDATE: Assuming Miami win over Notre Dame today. Everything is predicated on winning out. I realize some people have written off our NCAA chances, but I'm going to hold out hope that winning 8 or 9 straight and getting healthy will get us some consideration (and we need other teams to lose as well).

Currently, there are 6 ACC postseason-eligible teams with either 7 or 8 ACC conference wins this year.

Obviously, Miami (7-10 ACC after beating ND) needs to win all 3 remaining games and thus finish 10-10 ACC. Remaining - @GaTech, UVa, and Syracuse. UVa will be the toughest game, though it is a home game.

If Miami gets to a 5 or 6 seed in the ACC, we would play a play-in team from the 10-14 seed range (GaTech is ineligible for the postseason). This would increase our chances of getting at least 1 tournament win. If we get to 5, a win would get us a rematch against UVa. Unfortunately, the 6 seed would force us to play Louisville, Duke, or F$U, all of whom have destroyed us this year, though we might have a shot at beating F$U given the rivalry nature of the game.

1. BC (7-10 ACC) - we don't need BC to lose again, as we have the tiebreaker over BC with our victory over them earlier in the season. Remaining games - Notre Dame, Syracuse, @F$U. Very likely to finish with 11 or more losses.
2. Notre Dame (7-9 ACC) - including a loss to Miami (which gives us the tiebreaker), we need Notre Dame to lose at least once more. Remaining - @BC, @Wake, FSU, VaTech. Very likely to finish with 10 or more losses.
3. Clemson (8-8 ACC) - we need Clemson to lose at least TWICE (we have the tiebreaker, as we beat them in our 1 game this year). Remaining - @GaTech, F$U, @VaTech, GaTech. Clemson will probably lose to F$U, thus we need help from one of GaTech(twice)/VaTech. Likely (just barely) to finish with 10 or more losses, as they play GaTech and VaTech on the road.
4. Syracuse (8-8 ACC) - including a loss to Miami (which gives us the tiebreaker), we need Syracuse to lose at least once more. Remaining - @Pitt, UNC, @BC, @Miami. We need help from Pitt/UNC/BC. Likely (just barely) to finish with 10 or more losses, as they play Pitt and BC on the road, 2 teams with very comparable records.
5. NC State (8-8 ACC) - this one is **** near impossible. We need NC State to lose 3 out of 4 games, since they swept us this year. Remaining - @UNC, Pitt, @Duke, Wake. They are near-mortal locks over Wake, and would likely lose @Duke, meaning that we would ALSO need them to lose @UNC and at home to Pitt. UNC is a rivalry game, anything could happen. Losing at home to Pitt is unlikely. Therefore, the chances of all of these things happening is VERY UNLIKELY.

Likely to finish ahead of BC and ND.

Need help to finish ahead of Clemson and Syracuse.

Will be tough to finish ahead of NC State.

Overall, we have a fairly decent shot, ASSUMING WE WIN OUT, to get the 6th seed in the ACC tournament, with our biggest obstacle being Clemson, who needs to lose 2 of 4 to teams not named Miami. We would need major miracles to get the 5th seed, as NC State needs to lose 3 of 4 to non-Miami teams.

So, on Tuesday:

Root for UNC over NC State
Root for GaTech over Clemson

On Wednesday:

Root for Pitt over Syracuse
Root for BC over Notre Dame

On Saturday:

Root for Pitt over NC State
Root for F$U over Clemson
Root for UNC over Syracuse
Root for Wake over Notre Dame

And on Saturday, root for MIAMI over GaTech. Required.
Click to expand...
Great update.
 
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