National Seeds and Reaching Omaha

Brian Piccolo

Thunderdome
Joined
Mar 6, 2016
Messages
1,637
Except for the fact that being a national seed does nothing to help your chances. The stats back that up. Home team national seeds are losing more than they are winning. You're focusing on an aspect that doesn't matter.

Only someone who could make these statements, in all seriousness, can be delusional enough to be a professional whiner.

I was challenged to run the numbers so I did. Let's address the first line which is the most egregiously stupid of them all.

Since 2007 there have been 80 teams that competed in Omaha. The seeds of those teams breakdown as follows

N1's: 39 (48.75%)
n1's: 18 (22.5%)
2's: 14 (17.5%)
3's: 7 (8.75%)
4's: 2 (2.5%)

A perfect curve. National seeds were almost exactly half of the teams in Omaha. Followed by non-national #1 's and so forth. Seeding obviously plays a large part in determining the field in Omaha.

So saying that being a national seed does nothing to help your chances is patently absurd. That's been settled.

KeyWestConch's is ignorant of math. He doesn't understand probabilities. The fact that more national seeds lose than win is irrelevant to the question that he so wrongly attempted to answer.

Just to add more emphasis let's look at the numbers as a percentage of each seed in the field.

N1's: 39/80 (48.75%)
n1's: 18/80 (22.5%)
2's: 14/160 (8.75%)
3's: 7/160 (4.38%)
4's: 2/160 (1.25%)

So since there are 16 of each seed in any given field the numbers are even longer for non 1-seed's.

This statement was simply dumb.
 
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