Reyrey
Senior
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- Jan 12, 2020
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Here’s a look at some numbers of Miami Vs FSU. The right column “Vs FSU” is them on the other side of the ball. So points per game. Miami scores 30.1 ranking 42nd and FSU gives up 17.0 ranking 10th.
In all rivalry games you can typically throw out stats. Too much emotion and anything can happen. But, it does give you insight into what areas we could or should focus to find success. Let’s make no mistake, as painful as it is to say, FSU has a good team, especially on paper. But, that doesn’t mean a team is unbeatable. So let’s look at some games where FSU showed holes and a path to success.
Clemson
Clemson out-gained FSU by over a 100 yards. If they had a kicker, the would have won that game. Rushing for a 150 and holding onto the ball for almost 10 more min is great, tire the defense keep their offense of the field. The key moment in the game, a fumble return for a TD that brought back FSU to tie it. A key aspect in keeping FSU offense of the field, holding them to 1.1 yards per carry and 22 total yards. The other key to that, FSU was 4-13 on 3rd down. How? They converted 3rd and short and 3rd and medium-long they did not.
Boston College
This was another game FSU was outgained by their opponent by over a hundred yards. Time of Possesion? BC + almost 8 minutes. 3rd down? FSU 1-9. A critical story for BC, 18 penalties for 131 yards.
Duke led at half but eventual gave up 21 unanswered in the 4th. The key for FSU, long methodical drives. Duke had plenty of success on the ground as well, 197 yards and 5.6 yards per carry.
Pitt was another close game but they ultimately pulled away. They found plenty of success in the air, and with a 3 point game at half, Pitt turned it over 3 times and ultimately lost by 17.
Keys to Winning.
Well, it doesn’t take rocket science for us to know what is holding us back. Self inflicted wounds. We don’t turn the ball over or commit massive amount of penalties, this game is much easier. So, I’ll leave that to the side because that’s a given.
Looking at the Clemson and BC games, I think it’s clear how we can find success. It mirrors a lot of what we did Vs Clemson. Protect the ball (again duh), control the LOS, lead in TOS. We should be able to move the ball on the ground. The key is the passing game. I personally hope to see Jacurri in the game. I think him and our running game will be difficult to handle. The FSU pass defense by the numbers is good. And they are one of the best in country at 3rd down. Can’t be playing behind the sticks and having an effective run game on 1st or 2nd is critical.
On defense, force them to play from behind the sticks. Their offense is balanced, but when teams have forced them to play out of their rhythm, the have struggled more. Part of that is big plays. Our defense has done a relatively good job limiting big plays, especially into TD. FSU loves misdirection, counters, play action, and using eye candy to get the ball to their play makers.
Personally, I’m hoping to see a gritty performance from us. Our defense will give up some points but should be able to have a solid game. A lot is dependent on offense, but if that side of the ball doesn’t impload, a la the past few weeks, I don’t think they score over 30. Whatever happens at QB, I hope to see LOS play similar to Clemson. I don’t think they have been smacked in the mouth before especially at the LOS. Our oline is capable of doing that. Dawson dialed up a game plan that was needed for Clemson. It wasn’t perfect, but kept us in good positions. Please do the same. Healthy flow of different run schemes. Mix in some screens. Please run a fake screen and go. Especially if the play coverage like every other team the past few weeks. We need to run effectively enough to force them to not play drop 8 rush 3. If we do that, it should make the pass game easier, God knows we need it. And for the love of all things good in this world, mix in some other skill positions. 84 can block, but 0, and 15 have speed. Get them the ball. Take some shots. Show some balls.
There are eyes from the national media, recruits, and fans all over this game. There’s a difference in loosing a shoot out to a team in the playoff and turning the ball over 5 times, getting stuffed on the 1, going 0-for in the redzone but out gaining your opponent. Don’t
the bed.
Score prediction- Id rather not. Means nothing. Can we win. Yes. Is it likely based on the past few weeks, no. But, football is a crazy game. Crazy things happen. Anything can happen in a rivalry game. This team has shocked me plenty of times, good and bad. We have watched them the bed, get smacked in the mouth, look terrible and respond to win. We have also seen the opposit. Let’s hope it doesn’t look like the later.
FSU. Let’s ruin someone’s season.
| Category | Miami | VS FSU | FSU Category | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 30.1 (42nd) | 17.0 (10th) | Opp Points Per Game | |
| Opp. Points per Game | 21.6 (31st) | 39.6 (7th) | Points Per Game | |
| Total Offense YPG | 419 (40th) | 332.7 (28th) | Defense YPG | |
| Offense Yards Per Play | 6.1 (29th) | 4.9 (28th) | Defense YPP | |
| Pass Rating | 139.8 (51st) | 101.7 (4th) | Def Pass Rating | |
| Pass O | 250.4 (47th) | 192.4 (26th) | Def Pas O | |
| Yards Per Att | 7.5 (51st) | 6.3 (18th) | Def Yards Per Att | |
| Rush O | 168.6 (46th) | 140.2 (53rd) | Def Rush O | |
| Yards per Cary | 5.0 (22nd) | 4.0 (58th) | Def Yards Per Cary | |
| Red Zone O | 83.87% (70th) | 74.07 (14th) | Def Ref Zone | |
| Sacks Allowed | 1.3 (20th) | 2.7 (30th) | Def Sacks | |
| TFL Allowed | 4.56 (26th) | 5.9 (55th) | Def TFL | |
| Completion % | 66.92 (18th) | 48.36 (2nd) | Def Comp % | |
| 3rd Down O % | 40.00 (52nd) | 28.00 (4th) | Def 3rd down | |
| Total Defense YPG | 329.8 (25th) | 458.3 (16th) | Offense YPG | |
| Defensive YPP | 4.9 (27th) | 6.8 (7th) | Off YPP | |
| Passer Rating | 119.6 (24th) | 162.7 (11th) | Off Passer Rtg | |
| TFL | 7.6 (9th) | 4.56 (26th) | Off TFL Allowed | |
| Sacks | 3.1 (16th) | 1.3 (34th) | Off Sacks Allowed | |
| Rush D | 96.3 (13th) | 164.4 (53rd) | Rush O | |
| Yards per Cary | 3.1 (15th) | 5.0 (19th) | Off ypc | |
| Red Zone D % | 84.38 (68th) | 89.19 (35th) | Red Zone O | |
| Pass D | 233.5 (62nd) | 293.9 (17th) | Pass O | |
| Yards Per Attempt | 6.9 (43rd) | 8.9 (18th) | Off ypa | |
| Completion % | 54.98 (6th) | 65.10 (27th) | Off Completion% | |
| 3rd Down D % | 34.48 (32nd) | 43.22 (36th) | Off 3rd Down | |
| Penalty Yards Per Game | 69.3 (123rd) | 65.3 (119) | Penalty Yards perfect game | |
| Avg TOP | 32:00 (21st) | 30:10 (63rd) | Avg TOP | |
| Turnover Margin | -.5 (106th) | +.8 (13th) | Turnover Margin | |
| FG% | 89.47 (18th) | 91.67 (7th) | FG % | |
| Avg Scoring Margin | +8.5 (28th) | +22.6 (4th) | Avg Scoring Margin |
In all rivalry games you can typically throw out stats. Too much emotion and anything can happen. But, it does give you insight into what areas we could or should focus to find success. Let’s make no mistake, as painful as it is to say, FSU has a good team, especially on paper. But, that doesn’t mean a team is unbeatable. So let’s look at some games where FSU showed holes and a path to success.
Clemson
Clemson out-gained FSU by over a 100 yards. If they had a kicker, the would have won that game. Rushing for a 150 and holding onto the ball for almost 10 more min is great, tire the defense keep their offense of the field. The key moment in the game, a fumble return for a TD that brought back FSU to tie it. A key aspect in keeping FSU offense of the field, holding them to 1.1 yards per carry and 22 total yards. The other key to that, FSU was 4-13 on 3rd down. How? They converted 3rd and short and 3rd and medium-long they did not.
Boston College
This was another game FSU was outgained by their opponent by over a hundred yards. Time of Possesion? BC + almost 8 minutes. 3rd down? FSU 1-9. A critical story for BC, 18 penalties for 131 yards.
Duke led at half but eventual gave up 21 unanswered in the 4th. The key for FSU, long methodical drives. Duke had plenty of success on the ground as well, 197 yards and 5.6 yards per carry.
Pitt was another close game but they ultimately pulled away. They found plenty of success in the air, and with a 3 point game at half, Pitt turned it over 3 times and ultimately lost by 17.
Keys to Winning.
Well, it doesn’t take rocket science for us to know what is holding us back. Self inflicted wounds. We don’t turn the ball over or commit massive amount of penalties, this game is much easier. So, I’ll leave that to the side because that’s a given.
Looking at the Clemson and BC games, I think it’s clear how we can find success. It mirrors a lot of what we did Vs Clemson. Protect the ball (again duh), control the LOS, lead in TOS. We should be able to move the ball on the ground. The key is the passing game. I personally hope to see Jacurri in the game. I think him and our running game will be difficult to handle. The FSU pass defense by the numbers is good. And they are one of the best in country at 3rd down. Can’t be playing behind the sticks and having an effective run game on 1st or 2nd is critical.
On defense, force them to play from behind the sticks. Their offense is balanced, but when teams have forced them to play out of their rhythm, the have struggled more. Part of that is big plays. Our defense has done a relatively good job limiting big plays, especially into TD. FSU loves misdirection, counters, play action, and using eye candy to get the ball to their play makers.
Personally, I’m hoping to see a gritty performance from us. Our defense will give up some points but should be able to have a solid game. A lot is dependent on offense, but if that side of the ball doesn’t impload, a la the past few weeks, I don’t think they score over 30. Whatever happens at QB, I hope to see LOS play similar to Clemson. I don’t think they have been smacked in the mouth before especially at the LOS. Our oline is capable of doing that. Dawson dialed up a game plan that was needed for Clemson. It wasn’t perfect, but kept us in good positions. Please do the same. Healthy flow of different run schemes. Mix in some screens. Please run a fake screen and go. Especially if the play coverage like every other team the past few weeks. We need to run effectively enough to force them to not play drop 8 rush 3. If we do that, it should make the pass game easier, God knows we need it. And for the love of all things good in this world, mix in some other skill positions. 84 can block, but 0, and 15 have speed. Get them the ball. Take some shots. Show some balls.
There are eyes from the national media, recruits, and fans all over this game. There’s a difference in loosing a shoot out to a team in the playoff and turning the ball over 5 times, getting stuffed on the 1, going 0-for in the redzone but out gaining your opponent. Don’t
the bed. Score prediction- Id rather not. Means nothing. Can we win. Yes. Is it likely based on the past few weeks, no. But, football is a crazy game. Crazy things happen. Anything can happen in a rivalry game. This team has shocked me plenty of times, good and bad. We have watched them
the bed, get smacked in the mouth, look terrible and respond to win. We have also seen the opposit. Let’s hope it doesn’t look like the later. FSU. Let’s ruin someone’s season. 